Lot of these stocks have had no real bid this week , just some
prints and then fade. There are open intraday gaps in
these stocks gong back to Friday. Smellgene broadening low
tapped out recent range right up into old lows, whole biotech
sector did that. Intradays on many issues much worse
than the dailys look, don't see anything taking us higher
here. Really liking the TZA , for skimming off /es
reversals easier to stomach than 6 tick stops on the /es.
AA, inverted hammer today , reminds me of the gold fakeout
. Gapping higher, vulnerable underneath.
seemed to be the major issue taking us higher ... 3 push running
out of gas a bit $41 , old highs held earlier. AA coming back
through breakout for a rest. GOOG bear flag played out after
pop. AMGN no follow thru today. GIS and WDC pounding
higher . TZA giving another entry . Doesn't feel all that
bearish but I don't see what can take us higher either
futs weakening , tza wedge play activates, Roger's heart
pounding as his account soars ... AA, this is only 2nd time up into
this area, and it's right arounda major fib line ... looks like
little multiple rising wedges , gap and fib line down at 11.03 ...
look like range trade short here
Some of those bios a long way away from the 9 dma yet, like
GILD and Celg, REGN tapped it Friday, pretty weak today.
Intraday not really good consolidative patterns on those bios
. TZA givin another low risk wedge setup at 15.78 from Friday
... would like to see another little futures pop first
Not a single biotech was green Friday. AMGN bear flag,
everything else in sector already at or near bottom of
pattern. Looks like last month or so could be a head on a lot
of h/s patterns upcoming. LMT, little bear flag developed this
week, $146 in play again. SBUX, complex fan pattern went back
up to neckline, looks like $67 now after hard hit last
week. AMZN was also just a bear flag , $293 tgt. For
quite a while, it looks like last summer's base will get undercut
on most stocks. QQQ has all the biotech, NLFX, PCLN etc in it, h/s
top forming, biotech flush upcoming should take tis back to
neckline at 83.74 and bounce back to where we are now, then long
hot summer. KSS has a little pop coming after flag on flag
pattern built a little inverted h/s this ernins season, tgt decadal
highs around 60plus. Strenth in JNJ WDC CLX T ACI
lnkd, goog, pcln all look solid and just too many thin areas
above in a lot of stocks ... es looks like very short term bullish
to repop these highs, then bearish up there at 1865 ... stocks were
too extended going into these lows methinks ... GOOG obvious bear
flag
There were shocking washouts yesterday and a few this
morning. ABX broadened lower, and has recaptured the
shortterm battle and broadening tgt is 18.99 or so. ABX has
no prominent gaps, GG does just underneath. Short term is
up. ANV very good here. AUY probably undercuts 8.90
then higher, but did not fill 8.63 gap quite ... 8.65 lows.
Definitely some lows to tap out out there. TZA, hits wedge
symmetry target at 16.15
still some intraday open gaps above so I expect this to backtest
, but overall lots of thin high wedges out there with no intraday
support and gaps under open ... es looks totally unsupported.
There should be a good inverted h/s setting up here, though I look
to buy milli vanilli right on that bottom trendline given the es
situation and the great daily support on the tza ...
Very thin trading on a lot of spy stocks, gaps all over on the 1
minute and we're right up into resistance. TZA right here wedging
into support. LMT, for example , gap open, 25c gap at 160.25,
very common intraday today
I suspect we'll see a magical broadening up of this bottom
since downside tgts only have 50c or so to 17.76, upside targets
near 19 flat to 19.75 ... straight down would be too easy no matter
how bad these look today ... seems to have started already ... WDC,
another big telecom breaking out , held major fib line at
double bottom around 85, tgt $100 or so
I see no leadership in the SPY at all. Momentum all gone
and these wild earnings gaps from last quarter have to fill - now
is that time. Lots of logical fib lines coming into play on a
lot of those charts. New momo play is T, which should say a
lot. MSFT is fine, CAT new yearly highs, JNJ looks great on
the breakout. TSLA, NFLX, CMG, all that stuff falling
down hard.
The midpoint of yesterday's bar (3/23) is the line in the sand
and these leading stocks have lost the battle. Only reason
we're up overall is the overextended nature of the selloff.
CMG didn't make a nudge today, GOOG weak tap higher and has yet to
fill even first gap. NFLX same thing. The
biotech's are still among the SPY pct leaders year
to date, and they look terrible, BIS (double short
volume) even higher. The bios get some hellacious tails, but
they look like toast. TRIP is the best performer in the SPY
this year ... is this stock going up? Airlines about the only
thing giving some "lift"
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
can we tease tza out another little fade
Posted by cmunny on 1st of Apr 2014 at 03:30 pm
guess not ... these bull HFT algos are tuff
LMT , PPG , faders air pockets below
Posted by cmunny on 1st of Apr 2014 at 01:07 pm
Lot of these stocks have had no real bid this week , just some prints and then fade. There are open intraday gaps in these stocks gong back to Friday. Smellgene broadening low tapped out recent range right up into old lows, whole biotech sector did that. Intradays on many issues much worse than the dailys look, don't see anything taking us higher here. Really liking the TZA , for skimming off /es reversals easier to stomach than 6 tick stops on the /es. AA, inverted hammer today , reminds me of the gold fakeout . Gapping higher, vulnerable underneath.
MSFT out of wedge here
Posted by cmunny on 31st of Mar 2014 at 01:51 pm
seemed to be the major issue taking us higher ... 3 push running out of gas a bit $41 , old highs held earlier. AA coming back through breakout for a rest. GOOG bear flag played out after pop. AMGN no follow thru today. GIS and WDC pounding higher . TZA giving another entry . Doesn't feel all that bearish but I don't see what can take us higher either
TZA , alright Roger wedge play has activated, AA likely to fail
AMGN to top of bear flag broadening, BIS
Posted by cmunny on 31st of Mar 2014 at 11:23 am
futs weakening , tza wedge play activates, Roger's heart pounding as his account soars ... AA, this is only 2nd time up into this area, and it's right arounda major fib line ... looks like little multiple rising wedges , gap and fib line down at 11.03 ... look like range trade short here
AMGN to top of bear flag broadening, BIS
Posted by cmunny on 31st of Mar 2014 at 10:26 am
Some of those bios a long way away from the 9 dma yet, like GILD and Celg, REGN tapped it Friday, pretty weak today. Intraday not really good consolidative patterns on those bios . TZA givin another low risk wedge setup at 15.78 from Friday ... would like to see another little futures pop first
Not a single biotech was
Posted by cmunny on 29th of Mar 2014 at 10:42 am
Not a single biotech was green Friday. AMGN bear flag, everything else in sector already at or near bottom of pattern. Looks like last month or so could be a head on a lot of h/s patterns upcoming. LMT, little bear flag developed this week, $146 in play again. SBUX, complex fan pattern went back up to neckline, looks like $67 now after hard hit last week. AMZN was also just a bear flag , $293 tgt. For quite a while, it looks like last summer's base will get undercut on most stocks. QQQ has all the biotech, NLFX, PCLN etc in it, h/s top forming, biotech flush upcoming should take tis back to neckline at 83.74 and bounce back to where we are now, then long hot summer. KSS has a little pop coming after flag on flag pattern built a little inverted h/s this ernins season, tgt decadal highs around 60plus. Strenth in JNJ WDC CLX T ACI
This area looks like a short term buy , but GOOG etc bear flags
Posted by cmunny on 28th of Mar 2014 at 01:25 pm
lnkd, goog, pcln all look solid and just too many thin areas above in a lot of stocks ... es looks like very short term bullish to repop these highs, then bearish up there at 1865 ... stocks were too extended going into these lows methinks ... GOOG obvious bear flag
R , you obviously need some 3x
SDS 120
Posted by cmunny on 28th of Mar 2014 at 01:00 pm
No paint here, only cash registers ringing
The entry on golds was yesterday afternoon - TZA symm tgt hit
Matt, Steve - are there any comments on GDX?
Posted by cmunny on 28th of Mar 2014 at 12:17 pm
There were shocking washouts yesterday and a few this morning. ABX broadened lower, and has recaptured the shortterm battle and broadening tgt is 18.99 or so. ABX has no prominent gaps, GG does just underneath. Short term is up. ANV very good here. AUY probably undercuts 8.90 then higher, but did not fill 8.63 gap quite ... 8.65 lows. Definitely some lows to tap out out there. TZA, hits wedge symmetry target at 16.15
TZA, live updates
SPX 3 Update
Posted by cmunny on 28th of Mar 2014 at 11:37 am
still some intraday open gaps above so I expect this to backtest , but overall lots of thin high wedges out there with no intraday support and gaps under open ... es looks totally unsupported. There should be a good inverted h/s setting up here, though I look to buy milli vanilli right on that bottom trendline given the es situation and the great daily support on the tza ...
We are going down, get your TZA
Matt or Steve
Posted by cmunny on 28th of Mar 2014 at 11:09 am
Alright, TZA live trading in right here at 15.84
SPX 3 Update
Posted by cmunny on 28th of Mar 2014 at 10:57 am
Good short here on spy - gaps all over the intraday on stocks
SPX 3 Update
Posted by cmunny on 28th of Mar 2014 at 10:46 am
Very thin trading on a lot of spy stocks, gaps all over on the 1 minute and we're right up into resistance. TZA right here wedging into support. LMT, for example , gap open, 25c gap at 160.25, very common intraday today
Low risk entry on golds as AUY fills gp at 8.62
Posted by cmunny on 27th of Mar 2014 at 12:40 pm
Very low risk entry after tweezer bottom taking out premarket and intraday lows in bull wedge. Signed , steve and matt
I believe it will, that was a major inflection point on a lot of these
SPX 5
Posted by cmunny on 26th of Mar 2014 at 01:52 pm
stocks. Targets are much lower.
HAR breaking down as per note last night
CMG GOOG CELG TRIP - SPY leaders falling hard
Posted by cmunny on 26th of Mar 2014 at 01:17 pm
/ES taking out alerts, down we go
ABX, WDC telecom ATH
GDX Views
Posted by cmunny on 26th of Mar 2014 at 11:27 am
I suspect we'll see a magical broadening up of this bottom since downside tgts only have 50c or so to 17.76, upside targets near 19 flat to 19.75 ... straight down would be too easy no matter how bad these look today ... seems to have started already ... WDC, another big telecom breaking out , held major fib line at double bottom around 85, tgt $100 or so
SPY Rising Wedges breaking down , T JNJ CAT MSFT strong
CMG GOOG CELG TRIP - SPY leaders falling hard
Posted by cmunny on 26th of Mar 2014 at 01:27 am
I see no leadership in the SPY at all. Momentum all gone and these wild earnings gaps from last quarter have to fill - now is that time. Lots of logical fib lines coming into play on a lot of those charts. New momo play is T, which should say a lot. MSFT is fine, CAT new yearly highs, JNJ looks great on the breakout. TSLA, NFLX, CMG, all that stuff falling down hard.
CMG GOOG CELG TRIP - SPY leaders falling hard
Posted by cmunny on 25th of Mar 2014 at 04:36 pm
The midpoint of yesterday's bar (3/23) is the line in the sand and these leading stocks have lost the battle. Only reason we're up overall is the overextended nature of the selloff. CMG didn't make a nudge today, GOOG weak tap higher and has yet to fill even first gap. NFLX same thing. The biotech's are still among the SPY pct leaders year to date, and they look terrible, BIS (double short volume) even higher. The bios get some hellacious tails, but they look like toast. TRIP is the best performer in the SPY this year ... is this stock going up? Airlines about the only thing giving some "lift"
They are busy buying gold stocks
Hello?
Posted by cmunny on 24th of Mar 2014 at 11:47 am
GLD may wedge up here, is into gap from mid feb, hard to see it filling it today. LSG tailing back after milli vanill gap buy at 60c