If by commercials, you mean non-commercials who try to be on the
right side of trends, then yes. Commercials are right in line with
their hedging business plans, selling more forward into higher
prices and less into lower prices.
And specs are super long in gold: 2.59x 1 year & 3.35x 3
year Z-Scores as of Friday's CFTC release. With the USD at -2.11x
1 year you are buying very high expecting gold to go higher
here without more relief and a good setup first.
Prince had hip problems for decades and had one operation before
he converted to the Jehovah's Witnesses. They forbid blood
transfusions, so he never had another and took pain killers
instead. Opioid overdose was the cause of death.
The Saudis are the Draghi of oil. They will talk about freezes
and let news reinflate prices, but don't expect any actual moves
until late this year if not later. They are smoking out US
producers and aren't done doing it yet.
Iran isn't going to the meeting and the Saudis have said a
freeze needs Iran's participation. So how do they save face? Won't
be surprised if the meeting is postponed. But they may have
accomplished the desire to put a floor in.
I just finished David Stockman's "Great Deformation" -- a 769
page polemic on the modern corruption of free markets from FDR
forward. Excellent fiscal and monetary history that deepens the
case against the Fed in the last crisis and fills in much that I
didn't know from the New Deal forward. In terms of reputations, FDR
down deeper; Eisenhower up; Nixon even deeper in the cellar; Reagan
down; the Bushes sink deeper; Obama, hard to think it possible, but
lower. Maybe the most important book I've read in the last decade
and I read a lot of good books. I will read it many more times and
can't recommend it highly enough. If anyone has arguments against
him, I want to hear them, as it is a polemic. Just so much real
data and insight from the inside of business and government. His
attack is on the welfare and the warfare state. I was already with
him on crony capitalism, but he's put forth a strong challenge on
defense. I'm thinking it through.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
How about Yahoo as 2
Hedge Fund Holdings
Posted by a_l_ on 20th of May 2016 at 11:16 am
How about Yahoo as 2 of the top 5 top holdings? Brilliant.
GPS reports after the close
Posted by a_l_ on 19th of May 2016 at 09:42 am
GPS reports after the close for anyone looking at RTM on it.
Who knew? street.bomb
CRAMER DOESN'T BEAT THE MARKET
Posted by a_l_ on 16th of May 2016 at 10:22 am
Who knew? street.bomb
If by commercials, you mean
COT data is in Tradestation for futures symbols
Posted by a_l_ on 13th of May 2016 at 02:27 pm
If by commercials, you mean non-commercials who try to be on the right side of trends, then yes. Commercials are right in line with their hedging business plans, selling more forward into higher prices and less into lower prices.
And specs are super long
JP Morgan predicts $1400 Gold in 2016
Posted by a_l_ on 11th of May 2016 at 07:05 pm
And specs are super long in gold: 2.59x 1 year & 3.35x 3 year Z-Scores as of Friday's CFTC release. With the USD at -2.11x 1 year you are buying very high expecting gold to go higher here without more relief and a good setup first.
I would put a few
Best Arbitrage Trade in the World Today
Posted by a_l_ on 10th of May 2016 at 11:38 am
I would put a few bucks on Biden as a hedge.
Prince had hip problems for
When doves cry and musicians die
Posted by a_l_ on 6th of May 2016 at 07:04 pm
Prince had hip problems for decades and had one operation before he converted to the Jehovah's Witnesses. They forbid blood transfusions, so he never had another and took pain killers instead. Opioid overdose was the cause of death.
I'm more in the Maui
JO
Posted by a_l_ on 6th of May 2016 at 04:02 pm
I'm more in the Maui Brewing Coconut Porter camp, but share the sentiment.
Hope I didn't top tick
Somebody paid me .40 for Allm at the open. I ...
Posted by a_l_ on 4th of May 2016 at 12:35 pm
Hope I didn't top tick ALLM again selling into that huge strength today. Gotta trade around the core on these things.
Iran supplies coming online
Big Build in Crude Inventories
Posted by a_l_ on 4th of May 2016 at 12:10 pm
Iran supplies coming online
SPX specs almost to net
Speculative (non-commercial) SPX & ES futures & options positioning. Lowest ...
Posted by a_l_ on 2nd of May 2016 at 11:51 am
SPX specs almost to net long with a 1Y Z-Score of 1.90x.
Gold specs 1Y Z-Score = 2.06x
$USD specs 1Y Z-Score = -2.10x
All in the 2 standard deviation range here, which suggests caution and reversion risk.
Speculative (non-commercial) SPX & ES
Posted by a_l_ on 26th of Apr 2016 at 12:06 am
Speculative (non-commercial) SPX & ES futures & options positioning. Lowest net short since late last year. That's now a +0.92 1 year Z-Score.
He blocked me long ago.
The Big Short
Posted by a_l_ on 22nd of Apr 2016 at 01:41 pm
He blocked me long ago. But Kass hasn't yet.
Draghi delivered QE & rates
SPX 5 min with pivots
Posted by a_l_ on 20th of Apr 2016 at 03:54 pm
Draghi delivered QE & rates last month. This month will more likely just be more talk that it's all working as planned.
The Saudis are the Draghi
Latest Doha draft contains none of the binding provisions of previous version
Posted by a_l_ on 17th of Apr 2016 at 03:09 pm
The Saudis are the Draghi of oil. They will talk about freezes and let news reinflate prices, but don't expect any actual moves until late this year if not later. They are smoking out US producers and aren't done doing it yet.
Meant to compliment you on
Thursday Newsletter
Posted by a_l_ on 15th of Apr 2016 at 12:04 am
Meant to compliment you on that trendline addition on the VIX/BB chart, guys.
Iran isn't going to the
Russia's Energy Minister Says Doha Oil Output Freeze Agreement Will ...
Posted by a_l_ on 13th of Apr 2016 at 12:28 pm
Iran isn't going to the meeting and the Saudis have said a freeze needs Iran's participation. So how do they save face? Won't be surprised if the meeting is postponed. But they may have accomplished the desire to put a floor in.
Commercials don't get squeezed. Non-commercials
Gold breakout!!!! Very bullish IMO
Posted by a_l_ on 11th of Apr 2016 at 05:10 pm
Commercials don't get squeezed. Non-commercials do & they are net long.
I just finished David Stockman's
Tesla is the best car I've ever owned, it's the iphone of cars and future of cars
Posted by a_l_ on 11th of Apr 2016 at 02:49 am
I just finished David Stockman's "Great Deformation" -- a 769 page polemic on the modern corruption of free markets from FDR forward. Excellent fiscal and monetary history that deepens the case against the Fed in the last crisis and fills in much that I didn't know from the New Deal forward. In terms of reputations, FDR down deeper; Eisenhower up; Nixon even deeper in the cellar; Reagan down; the Bushes sink deeper; Obama, hard to think it possible, but lower. Maybe the most important book I've read in the last decade and I read a lot of good books. I will read it many more times and can't recommend it highly enough. If anyone has arguments against him, I want to hear them, as it is a polemic. Just so much real data and insight from the inside of business and government. His attack is on the welfare and the warfare state. I was already with him on crony capitalism, but he's put forth a strong challenge on defense. I'm thinking it through.
It's criminal no matter how
Tesla is the best car I've ever owned, it's the iphone of cars and future of cars
Posted by a_l_ on 10th of Apr 2016 at 08:29 pm
It's criminal no matter how much anyone loves the product. Not sure it will survive even with subsidies.