Posted by CopperMtn on 18th of May 2012 at 11:05 am
Immediately pulls back to retest former resistance downtrend
line. Note that Advance/Decline stats shows volume about 50-50 but
with many more new lows than new highs. Seems like this bounce
lacks conviction.
Posted by CopperMtn on 15th of May 2012 at 09:16 pm
...and look at a 5-minute chart of the close today. You'll see a
few hollow candles with very heavy volume. Just a precursor to an
oversold bounce or has an intermediate bottom been put
in?
Posted by CopperMtn on 2nd of May 2012 at 10:32 am
RSI 14 bottoming, at lower trendline of a descending triangle,
positive divergence on MACD histogram (bit still below 0), volume
after the gap down last week has been drying up as GG continues
falling. But, from OBV, it looks like GG is in serious
distribution.
Posted by CopperMtn on 2nd of May 2012 at 09:58 am
Two questions about this "signal"
1. Does it apply to 60-min charts or just daily? Tested on other
timeframes?
2. The GDX chart from the Monday newsletter stated when both are
oversold at the same time the chart is due for a bounce. Does this
hold in the opposite direction too - i.e. when both are overbought
at the same time, is a pullback due?
Posted by CopperMtn on 11th of Apr 2012 at 01:00 pm
Not sure this is related but Shandong Gold, the Chinese firm
that put in the $9.30 bid last fall that was rejected. Shandong was
halted yesterday but I haven't been able to find out why.
Posted by CopperMtn on 8th of Mar 2012 at 01:56 pm
Thanks TomW1. I see what you are looking at but doesn't that
only measure up a point or two? I'm considering more of a swing
trade rather than a day trade.
Posted by CopperMtn on 8th of Mar 2012 at 01:41 pm
Looks like the daily and 60-min are in position for low risk
short - assuming anything is low risk a few hours before the Greek
mess makes news later today...
Posted by CopperMtn on 5th of Jan 2012 at 11:27 am
I know charts for leveraged inverse ETFs can be misleading. But,
the SKF daily chart looks like a double bottom. I don't think what
sort of looks like a H&S on the chart really is. It seems to
violate too many criteria.
Posted by CopperMtn on 3rd of Jan 2012 at 11:28 am
I recently had our fee-only advisor ask the same question of
Schwab, the custodian of our funds. Their answer was that they can
only rehypothicate assets in client margin accounts that have a
margin balance, and then only up to the limit of the margined
position. FINRA who regulates brokers (unlike CFTC who regulated MF
Global) requires Schwab to allocate 102% of the rehypothicated
balance as cash to the client account from whose assets were
hypothicated. Schwab currently sports about a 13.4 leverage ratio
so they aren't too overleveraged.
The question I have asked is whether Schwab can transfer our
account to an affiliate in a jurisdiction with more lax
regulations - as MF Global apparently did when they transferred
client accounts to a British affiliate. To me, that is as big a
danger as whether or not they can rehypothicate assets.
Posted by CopperMtn on 27th of Dec 2011 at 11:45 am
Ragwing, In addition to DUST, I also have used ZSL to short
silver miners and SPPIX to short the DJ Precious Metals Index. This
fund only trades end of day but can give you inverse, non-leveraged
exposure to major gold producers too.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
How does that compare to
Some housing data to be released at 10:00 EST
Posted by CopperMtn on 23rd of May 2012 at 10:12 am
How does that compare to expectation or consensus estimates?
Waiting for more insiders to sell to provide liquidity LOL
Guys - we don't need to know the price of ...
Posted by CopperMtn on 18th of May 2012 at 11:12 am
BO of 5-min channel but...
SPX 5 min charts
Posted by CopperMtn on 18th of May 2012 at 11:05 am
Immediately pulls back to retest former resistance downtrend line. Note that Advance/Decline stats shows volume about 50-50 but with many more new lows than new highs. Seems like this bounce lacks conviction.
http://finance.yahoo.com/advances
OBV
money flow
Posted by CopperMtn on 18th of May 2012 at 10:04 am
OBV on 60-min charts for AUY, EGO, GDX, and GG have been falling despite their rise in price supports that there is selling pressure in the miners.
Pick your favorite gold stock...
rsi(14) hui history, daily chart
Posted by CopperMtn on 15th of May 2012 at 09:16 pm
...and look at a 5-minute chart of the close today. You'll see a few hollow candles with very heavy volume. Just a precursor to an oversold bounce or has an intermediate bottom been put in?
USDX at 79.92 per CNBC site
Euro and USD
Posted by CopperMtn on 8th of May 2012 at 11:35 am
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15839178/
SDS 60-min Gap Fill
Posted by CopperMtn on 4th of May 2012 at 11:43 am
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SDS&p=60&b=5&g=0&id=p55487348010&a=165916617
GG Daily
Posted by CopperMtn on 2nd of May 2012 at 10:32 am
RSI 14 bottoming, at lower trendline of a descending triangle, positive divergence on MACD histogram (bit still below 0), volume after the gap down last week has been drying up as GG continues falling. But, from OBV, it looks like GG is in serious distribution.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GG&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p49737559689&a=160016210
Thoughts?
RSI 2 & 5,3 Stochastic
Posted by CopperMtn on 2nd of May 2012 at 09:58 am
Two questions about this "signal"
1. Does it apply to 60-min charts or just daily? Tested on other timeframes?
2. The GDX chart from the Monday newsletter stated when both are oversold at the same time the chart is due for a bounce. Does this hold in the opposite direction too - i.e. when both are overbought at the same time, is a pullback due?
Thanks.
SPY 60-min
Posted by CopperMtn on 17th of Apr 2012 at 10:38 am
While SPY is breaking up out of a triangle on the 60-min chart, it is on decreasing volume and OBV is falling.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY&p=60&b=5&g=0&id=p33218173304&a=241536391
Question is...
SPY weekly look
Posted by CopperMtn on 15th of Apr 2012 at 08:09 pm
...do we get a back test of the broken ascending triangle before it heads lower?
Not sure this is related
What's going in on with JAG today?
Posted by CopperMtn on 11th of Apr 2012 at 01:00 pm
Not sure this is related but Shandong Gold, the Chinese firm that put in the $9.30 bid last fall that was rejected. Shandong was halted yesterday but I haven't been able to find out why.
GDXJ 60-min also lining up
GDX - Update...
Posted by CopperMtn on 10th of Apr 2012 at 01:33 pm
Longer stochastics poised for simultaneous cross of 20 line
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDXJ&p=60&b=5&g=0&id=p00229947949&a=235856912
EXK Daily Chart
Posted by CopperMtn on 10th of Apr 2012 at 12:58 pm
Note the repeated bounces off $8.80 level.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EXK&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p20617187003&a=169896417
Thanks TomW1. I see what
$RUT Short Setup
Posted by CopperMtn on 8th of Mar 2012 at 01:56 pm
Thanks TomW1. I see what you are looking at but doesn't that only measure up a point or two? I'm considering more of a swing trade rather than a day trade.
$RUT Short Setup
Posted by CopperMtn on 8th of Mar 2012 at 01:41 pm
Looks like the daily and 60-min are in position for low risk short - assuming anything is low risk a few hours before the Greek mess makes news later today...
Daily: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$RUT&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p95358318985&a=203765714
60-min: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$RUT&p=60&b=5&g=0&id=p51595155447&a=207678600
Took a bit of SDS
SPY 10
Posted by CopperMtn on 13th of Jan 2012 at 12:22 pm
Took a bit of SDS here. We'll see how the last hour goes before I decide whether or not to hold over the long weekend.
I know charts for leveraged
BKX 60
Posted by CopperMtn on 5th of Jan 2012 at 11:27 am
I know charts for leveraged inverse ETFs can be misleading. But, the SKF daily chart looks like a double bottom. I don't think what sort of looks like a H&S on the chart really is. It seems to violate too many criteria.
Thoughts?
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SKF&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p07920392299&a=163341201
I recently had our fee-only
Question for the room...
Posted by CopperMtn on 3rd of Jan 2012 at 11:28 am
I recently had our fee-only advisor ask the same question of Schwab, the custodian of our funds. Their answer was that they can only rehypothicate assets in client margin accounts that have a margin balance, and then only up to the limit of the margined position. FINRA who regulates brokers (unlike CFTC who regulated MF Global) requires Schwab to allocate 102% of the rehypothicated balance as cash to the client account from whose assets were hypothicated. Schwab currently sports about a 13.4 leverage ratio so they aren't too overleveraged.
The question I have asked is whether Schwab can transfer our account to an affiliate in a jurisdiction with more lax regulations - as MF Global apparently did when they transferred client accounts to a British affiliate. To me, that is as big a danger as whether or not they can rehypothicate assets.
Other Short Options for Retirement Accounts
New GDX Swing System
Posted by CopperMtn on 27th of Dec 2011 at 11:45 am
Ragwing, In addition to DUST, I also have used ZSL to short silver miners and SPPIX to short the DJ Precious Metals Index. This fund only trades end of day but can give you inverse, non-leveraged exposure to major gold producers too.
http://www.profunds.com/funds/short_precious_metals.html
Good trading.