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Not sure why it wouldn't

Posted by steve101 on 18th of Feb 2026 at 10:47 am

Not sure why it wouldn't play:             https://www.youtube.com/shorts/C40RldqccOg

Nice short video. The second

Posted by steve101 on 18th of Feb 2026 at 10:44 am

Nice short video. The second chart he shows illustrates how the SPX has a bunch of stocks tanking while the index itself manages to hold up: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/C40RldqccOg

Here is the largest Iron

New Setups

Posted by steve101 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 08:46 pm

Here is the largest Iron ore and steel producer in Brazil: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=SID&a=2110035112&p=W&yr=6&mn=6&dy=0&id=p10621350134

Energy names I like and

Posted by steve101 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 08:10 pm

Energy names I like and am positioned in: First off we have a trend change back to a stage 2 uptrend in Nat Gas stocks. Clear breakout right here:

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=FCG&a=2179135051&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

And we have a breakout in XOP on the monthly chart. I've carefully selected he stocks I'm in as most were and still are trading around half their enterprise value which is ridiculously cheap.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=XOP&a=2063196843&p=M&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p72526531601

So XOP is in a stage 2 Weinstien uptrend right NOW.

I like to buy the laggards cause they play catch up. As long as they have higher lows from their 2020 March 16th lows. That's what mattered to me. 

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=GTE&a=2190253839&p=W&yr=4&mn=10&dy=0&id=p2527701803

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=EQNR&a=2177324553&p=W&yr=7&mn=8&dy=0&id=p46614071459

I bought this AG chemicals company on the break of this pattern. Enterprise value is only half the book value. It has an experienced turnaround CEO. The numbers are improving.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=AVD&a=2171522837&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p69242861012

Its absolutely smashed. At minimum I think it gets up to the 38% retrace: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=AVD&a=2171523357&p=W&yr=6&mn=6&dy=0&id=p10621350134

I like SM. It just broke out of a two year downtrend line: I'm in it. Expect a big move.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=SM&a=2102713305&p=W&yr=10&mn=10&dy=0&id=p57769263886

KOS is a long term hold. It has high leverage to Nat Gas. its starting a large degree wave 3. I make big bets like this. My portfolio was up over 200% in the last twelve months. I am in very good shape financially. 

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=KOS&a=2102597055&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

KOS is breaking out against XLE. Its in XOP. Its going to have a massive move: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=KOS%3AXLE&a=2164838057&p=W&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&id=p92886610793

Here is a monthly chart of OBE. Its in FCG and XOP. The monthly chart has a massive inverse head and shoulders pattern and its just broken above resistance. I'll be holding this for several years: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=OBE&a=2117524649&p=M&st=1995-11-17&id=p52296276800

RIG is in a wave 3. I own it since the break of the downtrend line at 2.50: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=RIG&a=2102707505&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

Before today's move REI had a price to book value ridiculously low of .30. This is Ben Graham material. 

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=REI&a=2098918391&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

Its just getting started really: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=REI&a=2118176173&p=W&yr=10&mn=10&dy=0&id=p57769263886

Sent to me by a

Posted by steve101 on 25th of Jan 2026 at 10:07 pm

Sent to me by a friend with dual citizenship who has close ties to internal politics: https://x.com/jenniferzeng97/status/2015083318925283555?s=66

AVD -- AG chemicals company

Posted by steve101 on 21st of Jan 2026 at 11:31 am

Was going to post this two days ago but forgot. I've been in it for 3 days. This is an Agricultural chemicals company. Hired new CEO turn around situation:

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=AVD&a=2171522837&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p69242861012

Weekly view. Its just getting started: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=AVD&a=2171523357&p=W&yr=6&mn=6&dy=0&id=p10621350134

3 year falling wedge pattern is what this has broken out from. I like to find equities that I can hold over a year for long term capital gains. And over the past two years I am up over 500% in my equity accounts. I showed KOS last week. And now I am showing this one. Long term wave count and  10 year ABC pattern, and reversal. 

You guys may recall I bought CRML at 1.37 and put 60K in it. Still holding it. On June 11th, I'll be in the long term capital gains picture with that one. I suspect this one will go up hundreds of percent from here if one is a little patient. 

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=AVD&a=2171630526&p=W&yr=40&mn=8&dy=0&id=p71522134574

Fundamentals: https://finviz.com/news/280188/american-vanguard-corp-avd-slid-despite-clear-operational-improvement

She's going to blow: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=KOS&a=2102597055&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

This is a wave 5:

Posted by steve101 on 14th of Jan 2026 at 03:07 pm

This is a wave 5: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=CRML&a=2108966640&p=D&yr=0&mn=10&dy=0&id=p12243182224

https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/pnf.php?c=CRML,PWAIEANRRR[PA][D][F1!3!1.0!!2!20]

I have a monthly point and figure chart that has been holding an 84 upside target. They announced this around 6:30 this morning. I knew it was coming. Big increase in the resources: https://finviz.com/news/276660/critical-metals-crml-stock-surges-after-high-grade-drilling-results

I put 60K in this at 1.37 back in early June and watched it rise to around 1.2 million in one stock! Sold my original 60K and put it back in at 7.00.  Holding for long term capital gains. Have 17 equities up over 100%. Things have been good since last May since I was entirely in cash going into Liberation day. 

Picked up some KOS, most

Posted by steve101 on 13th of Jan 2026 at 02:34 pm

Picked up some KOS, most oversold XOP component. Falling wedge pattern: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=KOS&a=2092169523&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p69242861012

KOS/XLE breaking above wedge: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=KOS%3AXLE&a=2164838057&p=W&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&id=p92886610793

Higher low from 2020 low, 5 waves down, long term downtrend line on weekly, when it crosses could go up hundreds of percent over time: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=KOS&a=2102597055&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

Bought this back in October

Posted by steve101 on 9th of Jan 2026 at 12:56 pm

Bought this back in October as the wedge started to break, and added to it two weeks ago. Largest Potash/fertilizer company in Brazil traded on Canadian exchange and in USA on the pink sheets under VNPKF.  What caused the breakout was the discovery of a large heavy rare earth deposit which is likely the largest in Brazil. 

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=NPK.TO&a=2090513943&p=D&yr=0&mn=11&dy=1&id=p63532272343

Here is what makes it interesting. I think that 11.54 peak looking back was a major wave (I) and it made a major wave (II) at .44 cents and that its starting a wave (III). 

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=NPK.TO&a=2090504595&p=W&yr=6&mn=6&dy=0&id=p93477072287

https://www.cmegroup.com/articles/2025/platinum-market-developments-in-china.html

article: THE CRISIS HIDING IN YOUR

Posted by steve101 on 24th of Nov 2025 at 09:47 pm

article: THE CRISIS HIDING IN YOUR WALLET: Why $58 Oil Means You're About To Get Much Poorer

https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/32795667658690

This pattern would be potent

Posted by steve101 on 16th of Nov 2025 at 12:19 pm

This pattern would be potent if it plays out over time: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=XOP&a=2118151895&p=M&st=1995-11-17&id=p52296276800

Some of the energy stocks are starting to break long term trendlines like the largest company in Columbia EC which I picked up last week at 9.75 prior to the break of a 7 year trendline. I think the dividend is around 16%. This should be a macro play for several years: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=EC&a=2116872941&p=W&yr=15&mn=10&dy=0&id=p36251508129

And XOP component SD Sandridge Energy broke out of a 3 year wedge two weeks ago, dipped back in last week where I picked it up. And this should run for a while.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=SD&a=2119706315&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

The deep water drillers tend to have long patterns both to the upside and the downside and tend to lead off major lows. Back into the April/May low in 3 different drillers executives bought up a lot of shares so I started adding some of these like RIG and TDW in April and BORR and HP in May. No drillers in XOP. the drillers are in XES, and OIH. 

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=HP&a=2035966364&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p66964893502, https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=BORR&a=2035961394&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p74472466963, https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=TDW&a=2035964905&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p66964893502

This one looks like it could be added now. I bought the first pinch on October 20th, where I put in the green vertical bar. And its tighted up again and looks like its ready for another push:

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=PTEN&a=2092144664&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p69242861012

I'll show some I like the wedge patterns they have. this one broke the first wedge and peaked out of the second one and pulled back. I think its going to break soon: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=RES&a=2098942016&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

26 looks like resistance. kind of an inverse head and shoulders pattern: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=APA&a=2092165662&p=W&yr=10&mn=10&dy=0&id=p19203493599, https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=APA&a=2121892553&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p74472466963

Interesting ratio Oil and Gas Services divided by SILJ: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=XES%3ASILJ&a=2121924343&p=W&yr=6&mn=6&dy=0&id=p93477072287

XOP divided by GLD. Looks like a 5 wave corrective pattern that will soon be favoring XOP to outperform GLD: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=XOP%3AGLD&a=2057007312&p=W&yr=7&mn=8&dy=0&id=p46614071459

That's the kind of trade

Goldmoney Updated

Posted by steve101 on 23rd of Oct 2025 at 12:53 pm

That's the kind of trade I like Steve. Undervalued, nice base. Would have bought the June breakout of this triangle. Your good at spotting those. Maybe you should title them PayAttension guys: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=XAU.TO&a=2102783793&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=1&id=p48052957242

Watch the video. This guy

Posted by steve101 on 23rd of Oct 2025 at 11:57 am

Watch the video. This guy is part of the most successful commodity fund, and his firm does outstanding research. The Gold to Crude Oil ratio is SEVEN standard deviations outside the normal range.  I took a stab at some long term wave counts on some of the most beat up energy equities. The drillers tend to move first. I am in all of these. These are some of the most beat up ones. A rising crude price and lower interest rates is the envirnment to drive these higher. 

https://youtu.be/gAxV4xrXaXU?si=-BOmDmXYfSo0auRk

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=BORR&a=2015287896&p=W&yr=15&mn=10&dy=0&id=p25277018033

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=BORR&a=2035961394&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p74472466963

Holding above the April low, but below the channel:

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=CIVI&a=2092058917&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p21643721244

One of the strongest ones since it broke out of that triangle in August:

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=HP&a=2035966364&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p66964893502

You can see the potential (1), (2) pattern, now in early stages of wave (3) that suggests it could take out that 48.59 high.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=HP&a=2085967162&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

SImilar potential (1), (2), bottoming pattern that suggests early stages of wave (3) that could eventually take out the 207 high.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=NBR&a=2085968919&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=NBR&a=2085969253&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p69242861012

Sideways in the channel but the moving average ribbon is just getting into a bullish configuration.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=PTEN&a=2092144664&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p69242861012

And I have labelled the weekly chart showing a potential (1), (2), with wave (3) at the very beginning and still needing to break above the weekly downtrend line, but looking like it really wants to do it.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=PTEN&a=2102362426&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

Potential (1), (2), early start of wave (3) after breaking out of the wedge pattern on the weekly chart:

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=REI&a=2098918391&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

Nice bottoming pattern between June and August:

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=REI&a=2102365316&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p25441192953

Nice easy to annotate clean chart. Multi year falling wedge pattern. Two breakpoints shown. Same (1), (2), early stage of wave (3) potential here.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=RES&a=2098942016&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=RES&a=2102423099&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p25441192953

Sure looks juicy right here. Double bottom. Bullish (1), (2), i, 2 potential kickoff today of wave the start of 3 of (3).

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=KOS&a=2102597055&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

RIG driller daily:

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=RIG&a=2035959149&p=D&yr=1&mn=8&dy=0&id=p66415129031

RIG weekly potentially in early stages of wave (3).

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=RIG&a=2102707505&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307

WTI daily looks good.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=WTI&a=2092145200&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p69242861012

Coming off a 9 year cycle low in April.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=WTI&a=2092146682&p=W&yr=10&mn=10&dy=0&id=p57769263886

As long as SM stays above 19.17 this count is valid.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=SM&a=2102713305&p=W&yr=10&mn=10&dy=0&id=p57769263886


The mines are in Brazil.

Bought this channel breakout a

Posted by steve101 on 21st of Oct 2025 at 01:04 pm

Bought this channel breakout a few weeks ago on news this Canadian based company with the largest Potash/Potassium mines in Canada has discovered a very large heavy rare earth deposit.  Daily, bigger picture. 

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=NPK.TO&a=2090512032&p=D&yr=0&mn=11&dy=1&id=p63532272343

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=NPK.TO&a=2090504595&p=W&yr=6&mn=6&dy=0&id=p93477072287

US based vesion: https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/VNPKF/overview

Picked up this one a

Posted by steve101 on 20th of Oct 2025 at 01:15 pm

Picked up this one a couple weeks ago. Largest iron ore and steel company in Brazil. Pays large dividend once a year in December for shareholders of record by X date in November: https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=SID&a=2092196616&p=W&yr=4&mn=8&dy=0&id=p77406956642

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