Posted by kingpin15 on 30th of Jul 2026 at 02:17 pm
RDDT offers the cleanest long setup in the table. The stock has
outperformed SPY by 484 bps since last quarter, yet at 28.2x
forward earnings, roughly 1.4x the SPY multiple, the valuation sits
toward the low end of its own range, which spiked above 99x and
110x in prior quarters. Forward growth is the strongest in the
group, with NTM revenue estimates at 39.4% and NTM EPS at 19.9%,
and revenue growth is still accelerating from 36.9% last quarter.
Short interest is very high at 12.4%, among the largest in the
table, providing meaningful squeeze fuel, and the beat-reaction
pattern is favorable at reasonable multiples: a 24.4% beat drove a
13.1% gain in Q1’26 and a 27.6% beat drove a 17.5% gain in Q2’25.
With an options implied move of plus or minus 11.3%, the
combination of a compressed multiple, accelerating growth, heavy
short interest, and a positive reaction history favors a LONG,
moderate to high conviction, sized to absorb the wide implied
move.
Posted by kingpin15 on 29th of Jul 2026 at 10:26 am
If the Fed hikes today, it’s not your garden variety interest
rate hike like 2022/2023. The economy is firing on just one
cylinder these days as AI Capex and deficits are the dominant
drivers of U.S. growth. The OBBBA buzz is gone now as its impact
peaked already and the rate of change of capex growth has turned
negative. The negative stock market reactions to increased capex,
the flip to cash-flow negative at companies like Google, rising CDS
that accompanies rising issuance, and physical limits to capex
growth all put a lid on how much AI Capex can add to 2027
growth.
Take Two (TTWO) buyer 400 Dec. $310 calls $8.60 offer, back
at an optimal entry again
Take Two (TTWO) up 3% and 650 August $235 calls buying $15
TTWO size buy 1750 November $280 calls $14.80 offer
$GMED small but unusual Aug calls being bought, quality
med-tech at support
Ferrari (RACE) buyer 400 weekly $375 calls $12 for earnings 7-30
Trimble (TRMB) strong, aggressive buy 5000 Sep $60 calls here
2.40 to 2.45 and noted last week those short puts holding still in
OI
Chyme (CHYM) 6500 September $20 puts sold to open 1.55 to
1.50
Universal Health (UHS) 1150 August $170 calls buy with 750
short $185/$145 strangles, the 2500 Aug. 165 calls bought recently
holding as well in OI into earnings tonight
Netflix (NFLX) 4000 September $68 short put sopen here 3.05
bid, good confidence near a low
Posted by kingpin15 on 23rd of Jul 2026 at 10:09 pm
Q2 2026 earnings: Historic Revenue Breakout Masked by Accounting
Noise Intel delivered its strongest revenue growth in 15 years,
surging 25% YoY to $16.1B and decisively reversing the multi-year
narrative of supply constraints and stagnation. The Data Center and
AI (DCAI) segment exploded by 59% YoY, proving management's claim
that 'the CPU is back' for agentic AI workloads. While a massive
$12.5B non-cash mark-to-market charge tied to CHIPS Act escrowed
shares resulted in a staggering $11.0B GAAP net loss, core
operations shone brightly: non-GAAP EPS reached $0.42, and non-GAAP
gross margin expanded 12.1 points YoY to 41.8%. Q3 guidance
confirms stable, accelerating momentum.
Look past the $11.0B GAAP net loss optical illusion.
Intel's core engine is firing on all cylinders: supply bottlenecks
are solved, Data Center is accelerating rapidly, and gross margins
are structurally recovering.
Newsletter
Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
YES!
AAPL / AAPD ... So tempting ... ... report ...
Posted by kingpin15 on 14th of Aug 2026 at 03:02 pm
YES!
Treasury (TLT) buyer 5000 Sep.
$TNX Daily ... still looking good ...
Posted by kingpin15 on 14th of Aug 2026 at 02:54 pm
Treasury (TLT) buyer 5000 Sep. 30th (W) $82 calls for $1.34, looking for a Bond bounce, and how cheap calls are, IV30 at 11%
qqq stalling at gap fill
Posted by kingpin15 on 14th of Aug 2026 at 10:30 am
charcoal pills.
Sorry guys been dealing with stomach issues
Posted by kingpin15 on 13th of Aug 2026 at 03:50 pm
charcoal pills.
SPCX Dec150c lit the f up. party on!
Posted by kingpin15 on 12th of Aug 2026 at 01:17 pm
"but the lockup"
SPCX
Posted by kingpin15 on 10th of Aug 2026 at 04:13 pm
"but the lockup"
great chart matt, this kept
SPCX
Posted by kingpin15 on 10th of Aug 2026 at 01:58 pm
great chart matt, this kept me in on this morning weakness. clear line of defense on the 2hr.
SPCX and chill.....
SPCX
Posted by kingpin15 on 7th of Aug 2026 at 08:20 pm
SPCX and chill.....
BOOM< LFG!
SPCX
Posted by kingpin15 on 6th of Aug 2026 at 10:25 am
BOOM< LFG!
weekly bull flag into eps
BROS - bands are very tight, reports after close tomorrow
Posted by kingpin15 on 5th of Aug 2026 at 03:47 pm
weekly bull flag into eps
buy the lockup.....everyone knows about
SPCX
Posted by kingpin15 on 5th of Aug 2026 at 12:03 pm
buy the lockup.....everyone knows about it.
IAU is triggering today? not
SLV 120
Posted by kingpin15 on 31st of Jul 2026 at 03:59 pm
IAU is triggering today? not gld tho?
LEU
Posted by kingpin15 on 30th of Jul 2026 at 04:02 pm
RDDT EPS tonight
Posted by kingpin15 on 30th of Jul 2026 at 02:17 pm
RDDT offers the cleanest long setup in the table. The stock has outperformed SPY by 484 bps since last quarter, yet at 28.2x forward earnings, roughly 1.4x the SPY multiple, the valuation sits toward the low end of its own range, which spiked above 99x and 110x in prior quarters. Forward growth is the strongest in the group, with NTM revenue estimates at 39.4% and NTM EPS at 19.9%, and revenue growth is still accelerating from 36.9% last quarter. Short interest is very high at 12.4%, among the largest in the table, providing meaningful squeeze fuel, and the beat-reaction pattern is favorable at reasonable multiples: a 24.4% beat drove a 13.1% gain in Q1’26 and a 27.6% beat drove a 17.5% gain in Q2’25. With an options implied move of plus or minus 11.3%, the combination of a compressed multiple, accelerating growth, heavy short interest, and a positive reaction history favors a LONG, moderate to high conviction, sized to absorb the wide implied move.
MSFT will be higher post
I really don't see how MSFT and META will bounce ...
Posted by kingpin15 on 29th of Jul 2026 at 01:36 pm
MSFT will be higher post eps
rate hike?
Posted by kingpin15 on 29th of Jul 2026 at 10:26 am
If the Fed hikes today, it’s not your garden variety interest rate hike like 2022/2023. The economy is firing on just one cylinder these days as AI Capex and deficits are the dominant drivers of U.S. growth. The OBBBA buzz is gone now as its impact peaked already and the rate of change of capex growth has turned negative. The negative stock market reactions to increased capex, the flip to cash-flow negative at companies like Google, rising CDS that accompanies rising issuance, and physical limits to capex growth all put a lid on how much AI Capex can add to 2027 growth.
great call here Matt, definitely
a lot of these Ags may be in spots for a pullback so FYI
Posted by kingpin15 on 27th of Jul 2026 at 09:06 pm
great call here Matt, definitely have to sell the rips in AG names.
options today
Posted by kingpin15 on 27th of Jul 2026 at 03:48 pm
Boston Scientific (BSX) 12,000 Dec. $50 calls buy 4.48 into earnings
Adobe (ADBE) seeing interesting trade in Jan. 2028 with the $380/$450/$480 call fly 400X800
ADBE strength
SpaceX (SPCX) 17,500 Oct. $85 puts buy $6.90 adjusting the $100 strike
Take Two (TTWO) buyer 400 Dec. $310 calls $8.60 offer, back at an optimal entry again
Take Two (TTWO) up 3% and 650 August $235 calls buying $15
TTWO size buy 1750 November $280 calls $14.80 offer
$GMED small but unusual Aug calls being bought, quality med-tech at support
Ferrari (RACE) buyer 400 weekly $375 calls $12 for earnings 7-30
Trimble (TRMB) strong, aggressive buy 5000 Sep $60 calls here 2.40 to 2.45 and noted last week those short puts holding still in OI
Chyme (CHYM) 6500 September $20 puts sold to open 1.55 to 1.50
Universal Health (UHS) 1150 August $170 calls buy with 750 short $185/$145 strangles, the 2500 Aug. 165 calls bought recently holding as well in OI into earnings tonight
Netflix (NFLX) 4000 September $68 short put sopen here 3.05 bid, good confidence near a low
2000 NVDA Sep26 4th 230 Calls $5.00
Posted by kingpin15 on 24th of Jul 2026 at 12:04 pm
Q2 2026 earnings: Historic Revenue
INTC, pop and drop. High of 113.72 and now 104.84, ...
Posted by kingpin15 on 23rd of Jul 2026 at 10:09 pm
Q2 2026 earnings: Historic Revenue Breakout Masked by Accounting Noise Intel delivered its strongest revenue growth in 15 years, surging 25% YoY to $16.1B and decisively reversing the multi-year narrative of supply constraints and stagnation. The Data Center and AI (DCAI) segment exploded by 59% YoY, proving management's claim that 'the CPU is back' for agentic AI workloads. While a massive $12.5B non-cash mark-to-market charge tied to CHIPS Act escrowed shares resulted in a staggering $11.0B GAAP net loss, core operations shone brightly: non-GAAP EPS reached $0.42, and non-GAAP gross margin expanded 12.1 points YoY to 41.8%. Q3 guidance confirms stable, accelerating momentum.
Look past the $11.0B GAAP net loss optical illusion. Intel's core engine is firing on all cylinders: supply bottlenecks are solved, Data Center is accelerating rapidly, and gross margins are structurally recovering.