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Of course, I have triggers

SPX 3 with Fibs

Posted by junkie on 3rd of Feb 2016 at 02:32 pm

Of course, I have triggers and stops, I want also to have the momentum on my side when I call a reversal in progress. Thank you for your input, Steve!

Do you have a reference

SPX 3 with Fibs

Posted by junkie on 3rd of Feb 2016 at 02:26 pm

Do you have a reference handy for all 13 combinations, please?

Thanks, Steve. I had to

SPX 3 with Fibs

Posted by junkie on 3rd of Feb 2016 at 02:17 pm

Thanks, Steve. I had to look up patterns, they are are explained hereor here

this move down is corrective or impulsive?

SPX 3 with Fibs

Posted by junkie on 3rd of Feb 2016 at 01:51 pm

Steve, do you see this move down from Monday highs as corrective (3 waves) or impulsive (5 waves)?

TLT has met its measured

TBT oversold

Posted by junkie on 29th of Jan 2016 at 11:44 am

TLT has met its measured move of 127.50ish and could be setting up an island reversal or keep moving higher next week. I entertain the latter possibility. TLT 60-min

Thanks. If the stochastics do

SPX 60 min

Posted by junkie on 29th of Jan 2016 at 12:44 am

Thanks. If the stochastics do cross, please post. In 2011 this setup  up resolved to the upside for a fake-out.

You had a reversion to the mean both on the upside and the downside tonight.

Matt, Is there a signal

SPX 60 min

Posted by junkie on 29th of Jan 2016 at 12:35 am

Matt, Is there a signal which would negate this 0 Stochastic short 80% reversal?

Matt, if you see another entry, please post. Because we took the entire candle from Friday, I was not going to risk much. I bailed out at 1864.25 when I could see that it would not stand.

We should have some kind of a retest of that overnight low. If we don't, I am not interested in the long side.

Edit: is there a similar wedge setup on the daily chart of SPX?

Answer: NO

I concede that I did not see that level. I had 1855 and 1844, and it fell in between. That level was close to 50% retrace of the move up. I will use your intraday updates for an entry.

Steve, we put a lower low on the daily ES chart, and could make a lower high. I am looking for a long position but am concerned that we could be in a downtrend (wave b down). Do you see a good entry on the long side? Or slightly exceeding yesterday's low (1855.75 and then 1851.75 today) is not a big deal?

I do not have a plan yet to trade.

Thanks for confirming it, Matt!

SPX 60 min with ATR

Posted by junkie on 25th of Jan 2016 at 04:03 pm

Thanks for confirming it, Matt! We posted a higher high on ES today, and barring a lower low (above 1855 is good), it is a pullback to support and a buying opportunity with a stop at 1854 or lower.

There is support at 1867/68,

ES 15 Minute View

Posted by junkie on 25th of Jan 2016 at 09:11 am

There is support at 1867/68, which could be a LOD. Also, 1891-92, if the wedge on ES were to hold.

Prior advances last year had

SPX 60

Posted by junkie on 24th of Jan 2016 at 07:30 pm

Prior advances last year had EMA(5) as its support, so 1890 should be a low tomorrow. SPX daily

As per Steve's tutorial, keep

SPX Daily RSI 14 Channel

Posted by junkie on 24th of Jan 2016 at 06:20 pm

As per Steve's tutorial, keep your stop a bit below of the 50% of Friday's candle, and trail it up. We should drop on Monday, and that drop should be bought to play the c wave up. IMO.

Ok, I see your pointers.

ES Daily and 60 Minute Views

Posted by junkie on 22nd of Jan 2016 at 08:57 am

Ok, I see your pointers. Is the wedge well formed at this point, and should resolve to the downside? Market is still oversold, which is why I am willing to buy pullbacks.

Steve, is buying a pullback

ES Daily and 60 Minute Views

Posted by junkie on 22nd of Jan 2016 at 08:42 am

Steve, is buying a pullback to the lower trendline is worth the risk?

Answer: Maybe but you will need a trigger on a smaller time frame.  Below is an example of a lower risk entry overnight on the 15 minute. I'd prefer to see higher low (right shoulder) form for a lower risk swing. 

The point about drawing my

ES 5

Posted by junkie on 22nd of Jan 2016 at 02:22 am

The point about drawing my own chart is taken.

Ok, it is good to

ES 5

Posted by junkie on 21st of Jan 2016 at 07:03 pm

Ok, it is good to know: I was expecting a bigger move lower.

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