call credit spread. Margin on /NG is huge, but with a CCS you
could trade /NG with a small risk to your account on a smaller
margin. Go out by at least 30-45 days out, 60 will be ok too to
reduce time decay. I paid $1,600 for a CSS into March.
I have noticed a symmetry break on 15-min charts that you
posted, Steve. A lower high today or tomorrow is expected now. The
next rally should be sold.
/NG nat gas futures hold the 2.70 range after a gap down. If
that range holds into the close and tomorrow, that should mark a
short-term bottom. I am playing it with a CCS (call credit spread)
to limit my risks in case the range does not hold.
My trading plan for today is this. The manipulation has panned
out as advertised with this overnight drop. If we hold the Friday's
range into the open, the gap should be bought for a day trade. We
may or may not post a one more higher high, as was the case on
11/14. Otherwise, we risk retesting the uptrend line around 11900
on /NQ and 4000 on /ES. That retest should be bought for a bounce
trade.
With a cluster of Fib resistance at 4100 on /ES, we might have
completed wave 5 of 3 on 4-hour charts. A pullback may not be
shallow into Thursday, when big earnings reports are due.
A long symmetric triangle on Monday or Tuesday under today's
highs that looks like a bull flag but will fail due to resistance,
will do the job of engineering a meeting between the two. Just one
idea from a previous episode of how this could be done!
I think that Matt's strong trend shallow pullbacks subsystem
should have triggered long on this relentless melt-up :( It
would have done better than myself in managing being in and out of
the positions!
This is my take on this. We will probably take a third entry
today or on Monday. I expect some volatility next week due to
distribution of gains from smart money under the guises of Fed
speak or FOMC gyrations.
Why short? The move up is corrective in nature, so every one or
two weeks we retest either boundary of the range. That will be a
chance to close shorts.
I wish one of Matt's long systems were to have triggered so that
we could have nice official gains on the long side too. I am
running a PCS to hedge my long SPY puts as part of my hedging
strategy.
They ought to squeeze all shorts first. The December and
November highs are good targets to hunt for stops. It is a good
risk to reward ratio, since they could dump their positions
overnight or after a big news release.
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naked puts, lol! You are
Tried to trade UNG today. Tastyworks blocked the trade as ...
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2023 at 05:08 pm
naked puts, lol! You are only buying naked puts, right?
call credit spread. Margin on
Tried to trade UNG today. Tastyworks blocked the trade as ...
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2023 at 04:55 pm
call credit spread. Margin on /NG is huge, but with a CCS you could trade /NG with a small risk to your account on a smaller margin. Go out by at least 30-45 days out, 60 will be ok too to reduce time decay. I paid $1,600 for a CSS into March.
Try trading through a CCS
Tried to trade UNG today. Tastyworks blocked the trade as ...
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2023 at 04:34 pm
Try trading through a CCS on /NG futures instead.
on the day before, to
Has been escalator down today. The elevator must be out ...
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2023 at 03:31 pm
on the day before, to be exact. 11880 and 11680 are two targets for /NQ to restart the elevator up!
I have noticed a symmetry
SPX and QQQ Updated Wedges From Friday
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2023 at 10:57 am
I have noticed a symmetry break on 15-min charts that you posted, Steve. A lower high today or tomorrow is expected now. The next rally should be sold.
/NQ also exceeded the low
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2023 at 10:47 am
/NQ also exceeded the low from Friday today, pointing to a significant high in place from last week.
I am now expecting a drop into Thursday's big 3 earnings reports, as is customary in front on earnings reports.
Excellent timing and perfect execution
/NG nat gas futures hold the 2.70 range after a ...
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2023 at 09:56 am
Excellent timing and perfect execution on your part! Supply and demand zone produce very good gains when used in trading.
/NG nat gas futures hold
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2023 at 05:13 am
/NG nat gas futures hold the 2.70 range after a gap down. If that range holds into the close and tomorrow, that should mark a short-term bottom. I am playing it with a CCS (call credit spread) to limit my risks in case the range does not hold.
My trading plan for today
I’m always amazed at days like this when the stocks ...
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2023 at 05:01 am
My trading plan for today is this. The manipulation has panned out as advertised with this overnight drop. If we hold the Friday's range into the open, the gap should be bought for a day trade. We may or may not post a one more higher high, as was the case on 11/14. Otherwise, we risk retesting the uptrend line around 11900 on /NQ and 4000 on /ES. That retest should be bought for a bounce trade.
With a cluster of Fib resistance at 4100 on /ES, we might have completed wave 5 of 3 on 4-hour charts. A pullback may not be shallow into Thursday, when big earnings reports are due.
You are welcome. The minimal
CX was a great breakout to new highs but now ...
Posted by junkie on 29th of Jan 2023 at 03:18 pm
You are welcome. The minimal target for CX is 5.83 based on my cycle indicator chart (the solid red line).
GDX had a reaction from
GDX logical rejection off the 61.8% Fib last week
Posted by junkie on 29th of Jan 2023 at 01:40 pm
GDX had a reaction from its supply zone and broke its uptrend line. RSI is divergent.
It should pull back below 28.80 before continuing higher.
CX is inside the supply
CX was a great breakout to new highs but now ...
Posted by junkie on 29th of Jan 2023 at 01:05 pm
CX is inside the supply zone 5.31 to 5.52 on the daily charts. There is likely going to be a reaction from it, but pullbacks are to be bought.
CX: momentum indicators are all
CX was a great breakout to new highs but now ...
Posted by junkie on 29th of Jan 2023 at 12:20 pm
CX: momentum indicators are all positive, and there is no divergence on the daily charts.
Thank you for your guidance,
Have a nice weekend everyone
Posted by junkie on 27th of Jan 2023 at 04:08 pm
Thank you for your guidance, coach Steve!
A long symmetric triangle on
Short term very far from VWAP
Posted by junkie on 27th of Jan 2023 at 03:47 pm
A long symmetric triangle on Monday or Tuesday under today's highs that looks like a bull flag but will fail due to resistance, will do the job of engineering a meeting between the two. Just one idea from a previous episode of how this could be done!
I think that Matt's strong
Both mes system trades are in the dumper right now ...
Posted by junkie on 27th of Jan 2023 at 03:41 pm
I think that Matt's strong trend shallow pullbacks subsystem should have triggered long on this relentless melt-up :( It would have done better than myself in managing being in and out of the positions!
This is my take on
TICK pivots on ES
Posted by junkie on 27th of Jan 2023 at 03:32 pm
This is my take on this. We will probably take a third entry today or on Monday. I expect some volatility next week due to distribution of gains from smart money under the guises of Fed speak or FOMC gyrations.
Why short? The move up is corrective in nature, so every one or two weeks we retest either boundary of the range. That will be a chance to close shorts.
I wish one of Matt's long systems were to have triggered so that we could have nice official gains on the long side too. I am running a PCS to hedge my long SPY puts as part of my hedging strategy.
/NQ targets are 12335 (December
Well so much for a pull back... guess I'll buy ...
Posted by junkie on 27th of Jan 2023 at 03:16 pm
/NQ targets are 12335 (December highs) and about 13000.
There is very little volume
TICK pivots on ES
Posted by junkie on 27th of Jan 2023 at 03:11 pm
There is very little volume on the volume profile between 4115 and 4195 too.
They ought to squeeze all
I’m always amazed at days like this when the stocks ...
Posted by junkie on 27th of Jan 2023 at 02:35 pm
They ought to squeeze all shorts first. The December and November highs are good targets to hunt for stops. It is a good risk to reward ratio, since they could dump their positions overnight or after a big news release.