Torvix, I will be cautious at these levels - I run simple
backtest with following rules - Buy: Daily GDX is down more than 5
percent and 60stochastic of GDX,SLV,GLD is less than 5 percent ,
Sell: after 1,2,3,4,5 days in trade. Image is selfexplanatory.
Sorry Sbaxman - I didn't provide complete setup yesterday:
buy at close of the last day of the positive month
(close>close[22]) and today close<today open. Exit at the
close of next trading day. Average yearly return is
2.54% with only -2.79% draw down and only 2 years with
negative return (since 1995). Number of winners:77 average win:0.9%
max consecutive winner 13. Number of losers:22 average loss:-0.57%
max consecutive loser 3. If you interested I can send you
report for this setup in html.
Very nice stats sbaxman! I try following - take only months with
positive return (close/close[22]>1) and with negative last
trading day (close/close[1]<1) I run this backtest on SPY since
inception (1995) and result is quite good.
On the first image on the left you can see equity curve of
strategy: buy open/ sell close. On the right you can see equity
curve with drow down curve for buy close sell open.
On the second image you can see statistics and market regimes
for buy close/sell open strategy.
I add also graphs for yearly, monthly, weekly and daily
statistics. On graphs there are also comparison between strategy
and index yields. As you can see from market regimes there are only
periods with very low volatility with negative yield (loss).
I will try to program the following : buy-> close[1]/sell
-> open//short ->open/cover ->close. I think it will be
stellar :-)
If somebody interested I can send trade list for further
analysis!
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Torvix, I will be cautious
Matt: JUNG is down 28% for the week so far, ...
Posted by iz_bs on 16th of Aug 2018 at 07:03 am
Torvix, I will be cautious at these levels - I run simple backtest with following rules - Buy: Daily GDX is down more than 5 percent and 60stochastic of GDX,SLV,GLD is less than 5 percent , Sell: after 1,2,3,4,5 days in trade. Image is selfexplanatory.
Can anybody explain GDX/NUGT/DUST action?
Posted by iz_bs on 11th of Dec 2017 at 12:25 pm
Can anybody explain GDX/NUGT/DUST action? GDX down -0,18% / DUST up 0,4% / NUGT up 0,4%
Large drop in gold commercials
Posted by iz_bs on 9th of Dec 2017 at 01:29 pm
Large drop in gold commercials net short.
Nice conclusion and of course
Bitcoin crazy story
Posted by iz_bs on 20th of Nov 2017 at 09:24 am
Nice conclusion and of course recommendation !
Sorry - some explanation -
Gold
Posted by iz_bs on 18th of Nov 2017 at 11:12 am
Sorry - some explanation - candlestick chart is 15 min GDX overlaid by 50 and 100 EMA of GDX/GLD multiplied by 122.
No cross of EMA50 over
Gold
Posted by iz_bs on 18th of Nov 2017 at 11:00 am
No cross of EMA50 over EMA100 on 15 min chart.
Matt, very nice trade! I
SPY Pro system new stop
Posted by iz_bs on 9th of Nov 2017 at 04:19 am
Matt, very nice trade! I am up more then 6K on it. Thank you for sharing.
SLTK
Posted by iz_bs on 3rd of Nov 2017 at 08:52 am
Nice bounce yesterday. STZ announcement this week may have spurred interest.
Constellation Brands Acquires 9.9% of Canopy Growth Corporation for CAD $245M
Your entries are nice, but exits
Breakout Trades
Posted by iz_bs on 5th of Oct 2017 at 01:37 pm
Your entries are nice, but exits are incredible. Thank you for sharing your hard work and knowledge.
NEG DAYS
Negative days on the last day of the trading month
Posted by iz_bs on 1st of Aug 2017 at 11:26 am
Sorry Sbaxman - I didn't provide complete setup yesterday: buy at close of the last day of the positive month (close>close[22]) and today close<today open. Exit at the close of next trading day. Average yearly return is 2.54% with only -2.79% draw down and only 2 years with negative return (since 1995). Number of winners:77 average win:0.9% max consecutive winner 13. Number of losers:22 average loss:-0.57% max consecutive loser 3. If you interested I can send you report for this setup in html.
One more improvement - witch
Negative days on the last day of the trading month
Posted by iz_bs on 31st of Jul 2017 at 02:52 pm
One more improvement - witch nearly double all relevant parameters (profit factor, inverse drawdown...) - instead close/close[1]<1 I use close/open<1.
Very nice stats sbaxman! I
Negative days on the last day of the trading month
Posted by iz_bs on 31st of Jul 2017 at 02:13 pm
Very nice stats sbaxman! I try following - take only months with positive return (close/close[22]>1) and with negative last trading day (close/close[1]<1) I run this backtest on SPY since inception (1995) and result is quite good.
... and Oscar goes to
Updated Statistics showing the market makes most of its gains on gaps
Posted by iz_bs on 28th of Jun 2017 at 01:07 pm
... and Oscar goes to .... GDX .
On the first image on the left you can see equity curve of strategy: buy open/ sell close. On the right you can see equity curve with drow down curve for buy close sell open.
On the second image you can see statistics and market regimes for buy close/sell open strategy.
I add also graphs for yearly, monthly, weekly and daily statistics. On graphs there are also comparison between strategy and index yields. As you can see from market regimes there are only periods with very low volatility with negative yield (loss).
I will try to program the following : buy-> close[1]/sell -> open//short ->open/cover ->close. I think it will be stellar :-)
If somebody interested I can send trade list for further analysis!
SLV statistics
Updated Statistics showing the market makes most of its gains on gaps
Posted by iz_bs on 28th of Jun 2017 at 11:04 am
SLV statistics
Sorry for the file format :-)
Updated Statistics showing the market makes most of its gains on gaps
Posted by iz_bs on 28th of Jun 2017 at 10:08 am
Sorry for the file format :-)
Gaps
Updated Statistics showing the market makes most of its gains on gaps
Posted by iz_bs on 28th of Jun 2017 at 10:05 am
here's the image
WEYLAND REPORT
Posted by iz_bs on 20th of Apr 2017 at 07:37 am
http://s1.q4cdn.com/460208960/files/News/2017/April-17-2017_WEYL_Thompson.pdf
Reply: Still monitoring for Nasdaq Listing (see 10k) and Other Strategic deals that are not reflected in that report.
SPY pro - second entry
IMPORTANT - SPY Pro system comments
Posted by iz_bs on 14th of Sep 2016 at 03:13 am
Matt, is second entry in SPY pro triggered by signal or percentage decline?
Matt, what about exits -
SPY Pro system - detailed information
Posted by iz_bs on 23rd of Jun 2016 at 01:11 am
Matt, what about exits - does all subsystems use the same logic?
Thank you for sharing!
RUT and TYX extreme conditions
Posted by iz_bs on 2nd of Feb 2016 at 04:04 pm
Thank you for sharing!