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Is the Fed talking today?

Posted by Trendie on 9th of Mar 2022 at 01:04 pm

Is the Fed talking today? Huge spike in VIX and VXX.

I find that if someone posts while I'm working on my post, mine often won't go through. My workaround is to copy my text comments before posting. If it fails I just paste and post again.

Just sharing my observation about its historical behavior for the last two years. Doesn't mean it will do that tomorrow. I'm just looking at the "pop" days. Going back two years on a daily I see seven very large pops. Today's is by far the largest. Just look at the next day after each pop. Mind you - I won't short this. Way too risky for me. But the history shows a significant pullback the day after a huge pop.

When I look at MXC daily history I'd be lining up a short on these pop days. Seems to open a lot lower  the next day. Dangerous game though.

Still in freefall but I've had my eye on it. Looking for gap fill and maybe even a test of the 200 EMA (green). May not get it but I'm trying to be patient (ha).

ETHE

Anyone have a list of

Posted by Trendie on 4th of Mar 2022 at 02:25 pm

Anyone have a list of bear ETFs for crypto? I've seen several articles in the last 6 months about trying to get approval for them. Haven't seen any yet though.

Thankfully (total sarcasm), my TOS platform has decided to "protect" me by not allowing shorts on crypto - at least the few I tried. I get to be a spectator. Go get 'em!

CORN - not saying it's

Posted by Trendie on 4th of Mar 2022 at 02:07 pm

CORN - not saying it's a BUY here. Just saying it had a nice pullback today. Same for WEAT though it's still very extended.

WMT - testing 200 SMA

Posted by Trendie on 4th of Mar 2022 at 01:17 pm

WMT - testing 200 SMA from below.

With market caps larger than

Select Financials

Posted by Trendie on 4th of Mar 2022 at 12:25 pm

With market caps larger than GS we can certainly add WFC and MS to this list. MS is flat breaking down. WFC is coming up on a trendline test from June, 2022, and is testing the 200 SMA today.

That was the source for the info in my post.

Fertilizer - I've seen potash/fertilizer

Posted by Trendie on 4th of Mar 2022 at 11:57 am

Fertilizer - I've seen potash/fertilizer posts in the room the past several days. I knew Ukraine had something to do with it. Perhaps someone posted an article I didn't see because I'm in and out all day for work. Finally did a few searches and found that between Ukraine, Russia, China and Belarus, they produce 2/3 the global supply of the raw materials for fertilizer. I'm sure we can all figure out the potential impact on global food supplies if those materials were suddenly unavailable.

Hehe!  Like what you did

UNP - train leaving the station

Posted by Trendie on 4th of Mar 2022 at 11:35 am

Hehe!  Like what you did there. UNP. Train. It's the little things that make me smile. :o)  CSX looking good, too.

Thanks, Steve. I asked about

Select Financials

Posted by Trendie on 4th of Mar 2022 at 11:29 am

Thanks, Steve. I asked about these yesterday - ahead of my planned actions. Lots of bad news out there that can impact them. For JPM, e.g., I was looking for support in the 130 area at the gap fill. Getting close. We'll see how it reacts. BAC ~40. GS is testing the Jan low now.  Nothing yet to convince me that any big banks are a buy.

JO - wanted it to

Posted by Trendie on 4th of Mar 2022 at 10:29 am

JO - wanted it to close that darned gap or even test the 200. May ladder in with really small initial position.

Matt or Steve, I see

Posted by Trendie on 3rd of Mar 2022 at 03:22 pm

Matt or Steve, I see the banks really under pressure lately. Yet, I've been waiting for a chance to add one to my portfolio. I'm looking at this weekly of JPM. I've got three daily gaps indicated on the chart. I'm thinking of nibbling, but I usually like confirmation of a bounce beforehand. You have any thoughts about the beaten-down banks? Also looking at BAC, GS, and WFC, each of which has slightly higher relative strength than JPM at the moment, but they're all pretty close.

JO - definitely failed the

Posted by Trendie on 3rd of Mar 2022 at 11:26 am

JO - definitely failed the lower Bollinger Band test.

Embarrassed for a bad call

DTE follow up

Posted by Trendie on 3rd of Mar 2022 at 10:58 am

Embarrassed for a bad call on a chart that you didn't trade?  Ha!  Join the club. I do that every day! :o)

Nice, Ed.

PRPL  TCOM

Posted by Trendie on 2nd of Mar 2022 at 05:14 pm

Nice, Ed.

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