On Tuesday morning at this time, the
emini S&P 500 was around 30 points higher than where it is now,
which placed the index above the 200 and 20 DMA's, a much stronger
technical position. Now we notice that the e-SPU is attempting to
tread water below all of its relevant trending moving averages --
the 20, 50 and 200 -- and the decline could be the formation of the
"right shoulder" of a substantial 9-month head and shoulders top
(see colored rectangles on the enclosed chart).If the e-SPU continues to weaken and
violates multi-month support at 1037/32, then the significant
downside potential of the top pattern will be triggered. That said,
such an obvious topping pattern usually requires a few knee-jerk,
whipsaw headfakes in the opposite direction to confuse the most
investors and to make sure that when the top pattern finally breaks
down it will actually seem like a complete surprise.If such a scenario is approaching,
then we should expect possibly a couple of violent rallies that get
everyone "twisted" into a positive frame of mind. From my technical
perspective, the e-SPU needs to hold above 1070 to avert more
immediate downside damage and to trigger near-term buying interest
that can pop the index to 1100 or higher in the upcoming
days.Without a doubt, the index is at a
crossroads. We might know in a matter of hours if the "right
shoulder" construction will be a "simple affair," as in straight
down from current levels, or of a more complex nature that includes
a couple of vicious short-covering rallies back towards the "yuan
high." Right now, my near-term work is telling me to expect the
latter, but to be prepared for the former.View the chart charts athttp://www.mptrader.com/middayminute/
Stocks Fell Sharply
Mid-day Thursday, June 24
th, as expected given the Elliott Wave labeling we
showed in Wednesday's newsletter. Itlooks as if a five wave
decline is completing from Monday's top, the first leg of the
developing multi-week decline. Next should be a corrective bounce
that lasts a few days, to be followed by more intense selling. The
decline from Monday has taken away over 400 points from the
Industrials.
My husband bought one last week supposedly for me. I've
had five minutes and this morning when making up the bed, found it
"under his pillow". Oh my. p.
If we look at arguably the most
constructive chart of all, Apple (AAPL), there is no evidence yet
of a topping pattern, unlike in Ford (F), a stock we had liked for
some time. In fact, all of the action in AAPL since Monday's new
all-time high at 279.01 has the look of a high-level bullish
consolidation-continuation pattern, which should resolve itself to
the upside in a thrust to new highs. The chart projects into the
280-83 target zone, prior to a significant correction that points
towards 240 and possibly 210/00.At this juncture, only a decline and
close below 265 will indicate that a correction of significance is
already in progress.
Briefly, the GET platform automatically computes the Elliott
Wave counts based upon current price and will adjust those counts
as needed. Shorter term time frames, i.e., 5, 10 & 15,
may certainly show different projections than a 60 or
daily/weekly/monthly. I deliberately picked these two
different indexes as well as two different time frames because
Steve and Matt have been showing the possibility of a bullish as
well as bearish case scenario. Hope this helps. p.
I'm holding some shorts but the issue is that this market is
reminiscent of last year going higher on lousy volume and
advance/decline numbers. That tells me that the target is now
1136/1138 (that's my opinion) but maybe we get a decent pullback
first. Certainly am looking at those bear wedges.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
Thanks for the annotation on
Posted by Peridot on 25th of Jun 2010 at 03:33 pm
Thanks for the annotation on the 5 Minute TICK chart. Just amazing the way that happens. Magic fingers at work. p.
SPY on the 15 Min. from GET
Posted by Peridot on 25th of Jun 2010 at 03:13 pm
15 Min. from the GET at 8:45 a.m.
Posted by Peridot on 25th of Jun 2010 at 08:49 am
SPX 60 Min. per a request
Posted by Peridot on 24th of Jun 2010 at 02:46 pm
Paulenoff Mid-Day
Posted by Peridot on 24th of Jun 2010 at 01:34 pm
On Tuesday morning at this time, the emini S&P 500 was around 30 points higher than where it is now, which placed the index above the 200 and 20 DMA's, a much stronger technical position. Now we notice that the e-SPU is attempting to tread water below all of its relevant trending moving averages -- the 20, 50 and 200 -- and the decline could be the formation of the "right shoulder" of a substantial 9-month head and shoulders top (see colored rectangles on the enclosed chart). If the e-SPU continues to weaken and violates multi-month support at 1037/32, then the significant downside potential of the top pattern will be triggered. That said, such an obvious topping pattern usually requires a few knee-jerk, whipsaw headfakes in the opposite direction to confuse the most investors and to make sure that when the top pattern finally breaks down it will actually seem like a complete surprise. If such a scenario is approaching, then we should expect possibly a couple of violent rallies that get everyone "twisted" into a positive frame of mind. From my technical perspective, the e-SPU needs to hold above 1070 to avert more immediate downside damage and to trigger near-term buying interest that can pop the index to 1100 or higher in the upcoming days. Without a doubt, the index is at a crossroads. We might know in a matter of hours if the "right shoulder" construction will be a "simple affair," as in straight down from current levels, or of a more complex nature that includes a couple of vicious short-covering rallies back towards the "yuan high." Right now, my near-term work is telling me to expect the latter, but to be prepared for the former. View the chart charts at http://www.mptrader.com/middayminute/
SPY 30 Min from GET
Posted by Peridot on 24th of Jun 2010 at 01:19 pm
Excerpted from McHugh's Mid-Day
Posted by Peridot on 24th of Jun 2010 at 12:50 pm
Stocks Fell Sharply Mid-day Thursday, June 24 th, as expected given the Elliott Wave labeling we showed in Wednesday's newsletter. It looks as if a five wave decline is completing from Monday's top, the first leg of the developing multi-week decline. Next should be a corrective bounce that lasts a few days, to be followed by more intense selling. The decline from Monday has taken away over 400 points from the Industrials.
Can I "open my eyes"
Posted by Peridot on 24th of Jun 2010 at 11:49 am
Can I "open my eyes" yet?
Annotatations on the Renko Charts
Posted by Peridot on 24th of Jun 2010 at 11:14 am
Very nice. Thanks guys. p.
Matt's Video
Posted by Peridot on 24th of Jun 2010 at 10:30 am
How nice to receive such a timely update! p.
Hug your neck. From Elise
For Elise...
Posted by Peridot on 24th of Jun 2010 at 10:08 am
Hug your neck. From Elise
My husband bought one last
Paulenoff Mid-Day
Posted by Peridot on 23rd of Jun 2010 at 02:47 pm
My husband bought one last week supposedly for me. I've had five minutes and this morning when making up the bed, found it "under his pillow". Oh my. p.
Paulenoff Mid-Day
Posted by Peridot on 23rd of Jun 2010 at 02:31 pm
If we look at arguably the most constructive chart of all, Apple (AAPL), there is no evidence yet of a topping pattern, unlike in Ford (F), a stock we had liked for some time. In fact, all of the action in AAPL since Monday's new all-time high at 279.01 has the look of a high-level bullish consolidation-continuation pattern, which should resolve itself to the upside in a thrust to new highs. The chart projects into the 280-83 target zone, prior to a significant correction that points towards 240 and possibly 210/00. At this juncture, only a decline and close below 265 will indicate that a correction of significance is already in progress.
Briefly, the GET platform automatically
SPX 60 Min. & RUT 30 Min EOD
Posted by Peridot on 22nd of Jun 2010 at 05:23 pm
Briefly, the GET platform automatically computes the Elliott Wave counts based upon current price and will adjust those counts as needed. Shorter term time frames, i.e., 5, 10 & 15, may certainly show different projections than a 60 or daily/weekly/monthly. I deliberately picked these two different indexes as well as two different time frames because Steve and Matt have been showing the possibility of a bullish as well as bearish case scenario. Hope this helps. p.
SPX 60 Min. & RUT 30 Min EOD
Posted by Peridot on 22nd of Jun 2010 at 04:10 pm
From Kenny's blog, the Compq
Broken downtrendline backtest looks like tomorrows obvious work for spx..
Posted by Peridot on 22nd of Jun 2010 at 03:54 pm
From Kenny's blog, the Compq 20 MA is 2245 and 200 MA is at 2247. Another place to look for a possible support/bounce. p.
TZA with some GET Targets
Posted by Peridot on 22nd of Jun 2010 at 03:29 pm
For those of you who are enjoying TZA
Ever wondered who programs those black boxes?
Posted by Peridot on 16th of Jun 2010 at 07:34 pm
(borrowed from David Fry.)
I'm holding some shorts but
Short
Posted by Peridot on 16th of Jun 2010 at 02:38 pm
I'm holding some shorts but the issue is that this market is reminiscent of last year going higher on lousy volume and advance/decline numbers. That tells me that the target is now 1136/1138 (that's my opinion) but maybe we get a decent pullback first. Certainly am looking at those bear wedges.
Tick Chart
Posted by Peridot on 16th of Jun 2010 at 02:32 pm
Tick Chart