The BIG picture Bollinger Band chart
work on the emini S&P 500 shows that the recent vertical upmove
from 1002.75 to 1099.50 traversed the April-July down-sloping price
channel completely. But during the last 4 sessions it failed
to hurdle the upper channel resistance line in the vicinity of
1095-1091.Today's decline confirms the failure
to hurdle the down trendline, and may confirm a failure to sustain
above the declining 50 DMA (1082) as well. The mid-point of the
BBnds is at the 20 DMA (now at 1062.70), but keep in mind that the
average is still declining and failed to flatten out and turn up
despite the 100 point vertical move in the e-SPU.This is a very negative signal-- a
still-declining 20 DMA, which warns us that if the e-SPU continues
lower to test the average, it will represent little or no support
in its current position. Bottom line: As impressive as the July
upmove has been, it failed to inflct significant damage to the
dominant downtrend off of the April high, and in fact looks like it
added another coordinate along the down trendline at 1099.
The plot thickens for the rally off of Tuesday morning's low
at 1003 on the near-term point and figure chart, as the emini
S&P 500 makes another marginal new high at 1071. That's the
lower portion of my preferred next target zone of 1070-75, but no
real selling pressure has emerged just yet that has approached the
trigger of a near-term sell signal.To do that, the e-SPU will have to print at 1063.00, breaking
the prior upside pivot at 1064.00 from late yesterday, which should
initiate a press towards 1055-54 thereafter. That said, as we
speak, the index still remains perched right near its rally peak.
The question is whether or not it is at or near exhaustion (near
term). My pattern and momentum work are telling me that in the
absence of upside continuation in the upcoming two hours, decisions
will have to be made ahead of the weekend whether or not to reduce
exposure on Friday afternoon, after a 7% three-day thrust.
This chart is in my Stockchart "library" and was originally
created by another BP member. I'm sorry I don't remember who
that member was but I think it's a nice chart. p.
Well Sue Herrera is now talking about the big H&S pattern on
CNBC. Do we remember what happened the last time (Summer
2009) that they were talking about it?
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Thank you for dollar chart
dollar
Posted by Peridot on 29th of Jul 2010 at 08:11 am
Thank you for dollar chart Michael. p.
Great GS chart Steve. I
GS 60 Minute
Posted by Peridot on 28th of Jul 2010 at 11:29 am
Great GS chart Steve. I want it to break to the upside.
Yes, I took profits in
Anyway nice to finally have some good trades today, many ...
Posted by Peridot on 23rd of Jul 2010 at 03:04 pm
Yes, I took profits in PWER today. Thanks for the suggestion. It seems a little tired and I know I am. Hope everyone has a good weekend. p.
Thanks Michael! p.
that 5 min 60 sto getting ready to cross down ...
Posted by Peridot on 23rd of Jul 2010 at 02:40 pm
Thanks Michael! p.
Paulenoff Mid-Day
Posted by Peridot on 16th of Jul 2010 at 02:47 pm
The BIG picture Bollinger Band chart work on the emini S&P 500 shows that the recent vertical upmove from 1002.75 to 1099.50 traversed the April-July down-sloping price channel completely. But during the last 4 sessions it failed to hurdle the upper channel resistance line in the vicinity of 1095-1091. Today's decline confirms the failure to hurdle the down trendline, and may confirm a failure to sustain above the declining 50 DMA (1082) as well. The mid-point of the BBnds is at the 20 DMA (now at 1062.70), but keep in mind that the average is still declining and failed to flatten out and turn up despite the 100 point vertical move in the e-SPU. This is a very negative signal-- a still-declining 20 DMA, which warns us that if the e-SPU continues lower to test the average, it will represent little or no support in its current position. Bottom line: As impressive as the July upmove has been, it failed to inflct significant damage to the dominant downtrend off of the April high, and in fact looks like it added another coordinate along the down trendline at 1099.
Thank you both. p.
intraday cumulative tick - nasdaq
Posted by Peridot on 14th of Jul 2010 at 08:32 am
Thank you both. p.
I agree with Matt. And if I
Emotionless Trading
Posted by Peridot on 14th of Jul 2010 at 07:53 am
I agree with Matt. And if I could only have one indicator it would be that "144".
WOW!! What a good looking
ZZZtgifzzzz
Posted by Peridot on 9th of Jul 2010 at 03:48 pm
WOW!! What a good looking upside down Great Dane. Of course, my favorite breed. p.
Paulenoff Mid Day
Posted by Peridot on 9th of Jul 2010 at 01:44 pm
The plot thickens for the rally off of Tuesday morning's low at 1003 on the near-term point and figure chart, as the emini S&P 500 makes another marginal new high at 1071. That's the lower portion of my preferred next target zone of 1070-75, but no real selling pressure has emerged just yet that has approached the trigger of a near-term sell signal. To do that, the e-SPU will have to print at 1063.00, breaking the prior upside pivot at 1064.00 from late yesterday, which should initiate a press towards 1055-54 thereafter. That said, as we speak, the index still remains perched right near its rally peak. The question is whether or not it is at or near exhaustion (near term). My pattern and momentum work are telling me that in the absence of upside continuation in the upcoming two hours, decisions will have to be made ahead of the weekend whether or not to reduce exposure on Friday afternoon, after a 7% three-day thrust.
As always, I appreciate your
SPY update: 15-minute chart
Posted by Peridot on 8th of Jul 2010 at 01:43 pm
As always, I appreciate your great charts and the clarity of your targets!
SPX 15 Min from the GET at 1:54
Posted by Peridot on 1st of Jul 2010 at 01:55 pm
Not holding my breath for that Wave 5 up there but stranger things have happened.
VIX 30 Min.
Posted by Peridot on 1st of Jul 2010 at 11:26 am
VIX 30 Min.
Thanks for the update RP.
Posted by Peridot on 30th of Jun 2010 at 12:19 pm
Thanks for the update RP. p.
Almost forgot: eod is where
VIX
Posted by Peridot on 30th of Jun 2010 at 10:43 am
Almost forgot: eod is where it will really matter.
Steve, I believe that it's
VIX
Posted by Peridot on 30th of Jun 2010 at 10:38 am
Steve, I believe that it's showing positive divergence, as well as today's $VIX is currently back inside the band.
This chart is in my
VIX
Posted by Peridot on 30th of Jun 2010 at 10:30 am
This chart is in my Stockchart "library" and was originally created by another BP member. I'm sorry I don't remember who that member was but I think it's a nice chart. p.
VIX
Posted by Peridot on 30th of Jun 2010 at 10:24 am
VIX
Ditto. I just took a
Well Sue Herrera is now talking about the big H&S ...
Posted by Peridot on 29th of Jun 2010 at 03:59 pm
Ditto. I just took a long ETF. p.
Well Sue Herrera is now
Posted by Peridot on 29th of Jun 2010 at 03:54 pm
Well Sue Herrera is now talking about the big H&S pattern on CNBC. Do we remember what happened the last time (Summer 2009) that they were talking about it?
Very nice. Thank you for
SPY update
Posted by Peridot on 28th of Jun 2010 at 11:15 am
Very nice. Thank you for sharing. p.