Posted by tomoboyle on 7th of Dec 2010 at 09:54 am
MG, You need to ask yourself why the inordinate focus on the
bear side. Its understandable how you feel when the market goes
against your analysis. Happens to everyone at one time or another.
However I think you should consider that
we are in a cyclical bull market (within a secular bear) and its
ok to play the long side now. These trends last a couple years so
by the time it enters a bear phase you will have missed a lot of
opportunity to profit. I hope you are not shorting this
market.
Posted by tomoboyle on 3rd of Dec 2010 at 12:04 am
Conventional wisdom says when the bullish sentiment gets to an
extreme then expect a correction. In most cases that is what
happens. However I believe there are many sidelined
investors (sitting in bonds in bonds ) who are beginning to
realize they have really missed the boat regarding the gains in
equities and they are beginning to step back in. I actually believe
we could see a major move to the upside . Exactly what the
sentiment watchers will not expect.
Posted by tomoboyle on 12th of Nov 2010 at 08:44 am
I may be wrong but isn't it true that both these guys have been
terribly wrong on their calls since the "crisis" began? Schiff had
his followers shorting the dollar when instead it rallied
incredibly when everything else was going down. And Prechter has
been calling for a deflationary collapse while everything else
(pretty much) has been in a bull market since 3/2009.
I don't know why anyone would want to listen to these
guys...
Posted by tomoboyle on 21st of Oct 2010 at 06:21 pm
Agree wholeheartedly. There will be some bargains in the next
washout (and it WILL come if the dollar rallies) and that is when
you should have cash ready to buy.
Posted by tomoboyle on 7th of Oct 2010 at 11:49 am
Clive tends to go to extremes (the sky is falling!). I canceled
my membership after his huge swings. He had his subscribers
shorting silver and gold not to long ago. The Dow was going to
crash yadi yadi ya. I almost take his calls as contrarian
indicators now.
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Hindenburg Omen (buy signal!)
Hindenberg Omen Today
Posted by tomoboyle on 14th of Dec 2010 at 06:45 pm
Last time we had a HO the Dow was below 10,000. Since then it is close to 5% higher.
Seems that we should maybe consider it a BUY signal not a SELL.
I am sitting on big
AIG nice follow through
Posted by tomoboyle on 14th of Dec 2010 at 01:34 pm
I am sitting on big gains for this great stock pick Matt. Thinking of holding med term...
Your thoughts Matt?
I'm holding. Sitting on big
URRE
Posted by tomoboyle on 14th of Dec 2010 at 01:32 pm
I'm holding. Sitting on big gains but not selling for the medium term.
Matt, are you planning on
AIG following through
Posted by tomoboyle on 10th of Dec 2010 at 09:59 am
Matt, are you planning on adding AIG to the watch list?
MG, You need to ask
I know I wont get arguments from a couple people on the blog but I am truly too stupid to live...sorry in advance for the self loathing....
Posted by tomoboyle on 7th of Dec 2010 at 09:54 am
MG, You need to ask yourself why the inordinate focus on the bear side. Its understandable how you feel when the market goes against your analysis. Happens to everyone at one time or another. However I think you should consider that
we are in a cyclical bull market (within a secular bear) and its ok to play the long side now. These trends last a couple years so by the time it enters a bear phase you will have missed a lot of opportunity to profit. I hope you are not shorting this market.
Conventional wisdom says when the
not sure.....
Posted by tomoboyle on 3rd of Dec 2010 at 12:04 am
Conventional wisdom says when the bullish sentiment gets to an extreme then expect a correction. In most cases that is what happens. However I believe there are many sidelined investors (sitting in bonds in bonds ) who are beginning to realize they have really missed the boat regarding the gains in equities and they are beginning to step back in. I actually believe we could see a major move to the upside . Exactly what the sentiment watchers will not expect.
Lot's of shorts will get
Futures...
Posted by tomoboyle on 1st of Dec 2010 at 08:49 am
Lot's of shorts will get squeezed today IMO.
Yes , been in and
URRE solid BO
Posted by tomoboyle on 23rd of Nov 2010 at 01:35 pm
Yes , been in and holding long term.
I may be wrong but
A terrific debate between Peter Schiff and Robert Prechter over whether their predicted economic collapse will result from inflation or deflation.
Posted by tomoboyle on 12th of Nov 2010 at 08:44 am
I may be wrong but isn't it true that both these guys have been terribly wrong on their calls since the "crisis" began? Schiff had his followers shorting the dollar when instead it rallied incredibly when everything else was going down. And Prechter has been calling for a deflationary collapse while everything else (pretty much) has been in a bull market since 3/2009.
I don't know why anyone would want to listen to these guys...
I'm in it from about
URRE
Posted by tomoboyle on 11th of Nov 2010 at 04:55 pm
I'm in it from about 1.65 but sold 1/2 (per Steve's always good advice) when it hit 2.25.
Letting the balance ride as long term investment per Matt.
Matt, Where is the SPY system
Got taken to the cleaners today. I always tell myself not ...
Posted by tomoboyle on 3rd of Nov 2010 at 04:37 pm
Matt,
Where is the SPY system located on the site? Thanks!
What are they yielding? The
Irish bonds...
Posted by tomoboyle on 2nd of Nov 2010 at 09:25 pm
What are they yielding? The EU will not let them default. Could be a great by.
FAZ is the biggest dog
I posted one for the bulls yesterday. Now here's one for the bears.
Posted by tomoboyle on 28th of Oct 2010 at 10:52 pm
FAZ is the biggest dog ever. A sure way to lose $$$$.
Agree wholeheartedly. There will be
the PM shares-
Posted by tomoboyle on 21st of Oct 2010 at 06:21 pm
Agree wholeheartedly. There will be some bargains in the next washout (and it WILL come if the dollar rallies) and that is when you should have cash ready to buy.
We need your analysis Marketguy. Welcome back!
Subprime index....
Posted by tomoboyle on 20th of Oct 2010 at 09:05 pm
Thanks Roger. Let us know
Crude UUP Long/Short System
Posted by tomoboyle on 18th of Oct 2010 at 11:32 pm
Thanks Roger. Let us know when it goes long again.
I think you are probably
Here's a chart that I didn't post on Monday's newsletter ...
Posted by tomoboyle on 14th of Oct 2010 at 04:50 pm
I think you are probably correct. It does appear that he works for BPT by all his posts.
Thanks Matt! You are the
EUO 60 min chart
Posted by tomoboyle on 7th of Oct 2010 at 12:37 pm
Thanks Matt! You are the best!
Matt, Where can I find this
EUO 60 min chart
Posted by tomoboyle on 7th of Oct 2010 at 12:07 pm
Matt,
Where can I find this chart on the site?
ThanKs!
Clive tends to go to
Clive Maund
Posted by tomoboyle on 7th of Oct 2010 at 11:49 am
Clive tends to go to extremes (the sky is falling!). I canceled my membership after his huge swings. He had his subscribers shorting silver and gold not to long ago. The Dow was going to crash yadi yadi ya. I almost take his calls as contrarian indicators now.