Posted by falcon5678 on 27th of Jun 2013 at 11:19 am
Agree - I mean we can climb this wall of worry for another day
but not a bad spot to short. A few factors are working
against you though - Chinese govt will back their banks so no
systemic risk there (whether they can do it properly is another
question), GDP number was crappy (no quick tapper of QE) and
Shanghai Interbank Rate has settled, but is still high.
Rates have had a big runup and so many world averages are on decent
support.
Posted by falcon5678 on 25th of Jun 2013 at 11:49 am
Hi Robin,
What is the month to day returns? And last month?
Just wondering what kind of numbers you're putting together,
roughly speaking of course. I know it can be different
depending on each trader.
Posted by falcon5678 on 19th of Jun 2013 at 01:47 pm
You have to watch the vix futures to understand this
product. The vix cash has nothing to do with it. Near
term vix futures has more to do with it. There is also roll
yield involved I imagine, just like VXX. Volatlility has been bid
for two weeks and is coming out now. Market could be wrong
but it is not expecting the 1%+ moves that we've been
getting. I would be a buyer of vol products down in the 14s
on vix.
Posted by falcon5678 on 19th of Jun 2013 at 11:32 am
Thank you, very interesting! Time for the Fed to just stop
this nonsense. Rick Santelli had a great rant on CNBC this
morning about it. Enough's enough with this non-stop meddling
in world markets. They need to let market forces work at this
point and let the chips fall where they may
Posted by falcon5678 on 19th of Jun 2013 at 10:43 am
You can beta weight your portfolio and purchase SPY puts or Vix
Calls to cover it. I would wait until after the FOMC since
premiums are very high going into the event
Posted by falcon5678 on 17th of Jun 2013 at 12:31 pm
Be careful using VIX as an indicator. The VIX is bid for 2
reasons. Realized volatility has been very large lately, including
today. Up 1% today supports a 16 VIX. As long as we are
moving 1-2% a day vol will be bid. Secondly the volatility
markets are bid because of the Fed - people are nervous about what
might be said so if the market response is relatively tame over the
next two days you might see the VIX settle back to 15 but because
of the first point I believe it still has a solid floor to it.
Posted by falcon5678 on 14th of Jun 2013 at 08:50 am
BBRY on a rampage yesterday on an upgrade. Probably will
rally into the earnings later this month. Biggest earnings
report in their history perhaps and option premiums are very
reasonable
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BBRY getting destroyed pre-market. Company
Posted by falcon5678 on 28th of Jun 2013 at 09:16 am
BBRY getting destroyed pre-market. Company done but patent value should keep the stock alive perhaps for a takeover
Agree - I mean we
SPX now at 20 and 50 MA's
Posted by falcon5678 on 27th of Jun 2013 at 11:19 am
Agree - I mean we can climb this wall of worry for another day but not a bad spot to short. A few factors are working against you though - Chinese govt will back their banks so no systemic risk there (whether they can do it properly is another question), GDP number was crappy (no quick tapper of QE) and Shanghai Interbank Rate has settled, but is still high. Rates have had a big runup and so many world averages are on decent support.
Crazy confluence of indicators here
SPX now at 20 and 50 MA's
Posted by falcon5678 on 27th of Jun 2013 at 10:35 am
Crazy confluence of indicators here - big breakdown on SPX daily, several moving averages, 68% Fib
Z a nice looking chart. ASTX
Z
Posted by falcon5678 on 27th of Jun 2013 at 10:34 am
Z a nice looking chart.
ASTX nice support going back to November. Has consolidated a little here
great call! wish I had
YELP
Posted by falcon5678 on 27th of Jun 2013 at 08:42 am
great call! wish I had done something.
Hi Robin, What is the month
Having fun with Futures
Posted by falcon5678 on 25th of Jun 2013 at 11:49 am
Hi Robin,
What is the month to day returns? And last month? Just wondering what kind of numbers you're putting together, roughly speaking of course. I know it can be different depending on each trader.
8 day EMA there. Also about
SPX Short Term Intraday Views
Posted by falcon5678 on 25th of Jun 2013 at 11:40 am
8 day EMA there. Also about a 50% retracement of recent drop. I like that call.
You have to watch the
uvxy
Posted by falcon5678 on 19th of Jun 2013 at 01:47 pm
You have to watch the vix futures to understand this product. The vix cash has nothing to do with it. Near term vix futures has more to do with it. There is also roll yield involved I imagine, just like VXX. Volatlility has been bid for two weeks and is coming out now. Market could be wrong but it is not expecting the 1%+ moves that we've been getting. I would be a buyer of vol products down in the 14s on vix.
Vix futures are getting whacked
uvxy
Posted by falcon5678 on 19th of Jun 2013 at 12:47 pm
Vix futures are getting whacked even ahead of the FOMC. I hope you're not trading this without having an idea of what it is.
Thank you, very interesting! Time
A major liquidity shortage is happening in china. If not ...
Posted by falcon5678 on 19th of Jun 2013 at 11:32 am
Thank you, very interesting! Time for the Fed to just stop this nonsense. Rick Santelli had a great rant on CNBC this morning about it. Enough's enough with this non-stop meddling in world markets. They need to let market forces work at this point and let the chips fall where they may
Thank you for that. I
A major liquidity shortage is happening in china. If not ...
Posted by falcon5678 on 19th of Jun 2013 at 10:58 am
Thank you for that. I can see a slowdown worsening but a black swan?
You can beta weight your
A major liquidity shortage is happening in china. If not ...
Posted by falcon5678 on 19th of Jun 2013 at 10:43 am
You can beta weight your portfolio and purchase SPY puts or Vix Calls to cover it. I would wait until after the FOMC since premiums are very high going into the event
Can you explain about the
A major liquidity shortage is happening in china. If not ...
Posted by falcon5678 on 19th of Jun 2013 at 10:38 am
Can you explain about the inter bank lending rate? Also, how do we monitor that? Why the liquidity shortage? Thx
Nat Gas on fire today.
Posted by falcon5678 on 17th of Jun 2013 at 12:38 pm
Nat Gas on fire today. UNG
Be careful using VIX as
SPX 15 min
Posted by falcon5678 on 17th of Jun 2013 at 12:31 pm
Be careful using VIX as an indicator. The VIX is bid for 2 reasons. Realized volatility has been very large lately, including today. Up 1% today supports a 16 VIX. As long as we are moving 1-2% a day vol will be bid. Secondly the volatility markets are bid because of the Fed - people are nervous about what might be said so if the market response is relatively tame over the next two days you might see the VIX settle back to 15 but because of the first point I believe it still has a solid floor to it.
Oil breaking out
Posted by falcon5678 on 14th of Jun 2013 at 09:16 am
Oil breaking out
BBRY on a rampage yesterday
Posted by falcon5678 on 14th of Jun 2013 at 08:50 am
BBRY on a rampage yesterday on an upgrade. Probably will rally into the earnings later this month. Biggest earnings report in their history perhaps and option premiums are very reasonable
Not today! This mkt is
SPX Point and Figure View
Posted by falcon5678 on 13th of Jun 2013 at 12:57 pm
Not today! This mkt is incredibly resilient
Came close to that SPY
Posted by falcon5678 on 13th of Jun 2013 at 11:00 am
Came close to that SPY head and shoulders. That will provide some resistance around 162.65
That SPX head and shoulders
Posted by falcon5678 on 12th of Jun 2013 at 12:03 pm
That SPX head and shoulders could be toast, which brings us down to last week's lows?