As I stated last night, if the SPX was able to move above the
840-50 resistance area then it was likely that wave 5 of 3
completed at last Thursday's lows. While we can't completely
rule out another attempt to take minor wave 5 lower the odds now
favor the bullish count. Thus, if the pullback is orderly we
will be looking to BUY such a decline. This decline should
unfold in 3 waves down once our near term uptrend is complete
(which may have occurred at today's highs). Pullbacks are
always telling so let's watch to see how the next pullback plays
out. If it's reflexive (3 waves) we should consider it
corrective and look to BUY such a move.
Should we start impulsing down once again then watch SPX 767 and
DOW 7695. If those levels are breached only then could we
make a credible argument that minor wave 5 down remains
intact. During the holiday week, trading volume should
diminish, which may exacerbate volatility, so be prepared for some
wild swings in both directions. Further, countertrend moves
can be dicey and our recent move is a countertrend advance against
the prevailing downtrend. Our long term view remains
bearish.
Quick Comments
Posted by dodgerdog on 24th of Nov 2008 at 05:53 pm
As I stated last night, if the SPX was able to move above the 840-50 resistance area then it was likely that wave 5 of 3 completed at last Thursday's lows. While we can't completely rule out another attempt to take minor wave 5 lower the odds now favor the bullish count. Thus, if the pullback is orderly we will be looking to BUY such a decline. This decline should unfold in 3 waves down once our near term uptrend is complete (which may have occurred at today's highs). Pullbacks are always telling so let's watch to see how the next pullback plays out. If it's reflexive (3 waves) we should consider it corrective and look to BUY such a move.
S&P 500 daily chart
Should we start impulsing down once again then watch SPX 767 and DOW 7695. If those levels are breached only then could we make a credible argument that minor wave 5 down remains intact. During the holiday week, trading volume should diminish, which may exacerbate volatility, so be prepared for some wild swings in both directions. Further, countertrend moves can be dicey and our recent move is a countertrend advance against the prevailing downtrend. Our long term view remains bearish.
Steve, Matt, what to deal
Posted by yawang36 on 25th of Nov 2008 at 08:47 am
Steve, Matt, what to deal with this gap up open? ES now is 868-870
yawang36 -well I would not be
Posted by matt on 25th of Nov 2008 at 09:36 am
yawang36 -well I would not be chasing a gap up on the Long side, aggressive traders could look to short