Tonight Update

    Posted by frank on 20th of Nov 2008 at 10:57 pm

    Matt,

    I am a little confused now. You showed 2 charts of the S&P. In the first chart it shows that we are in wave 3 of 5 and in the second chart it shows we are in 5 of 3...is this correct.

    Any idea how high wave 4 should take us too ?

     

    frank - yes and yes.  Remember

    Posted by matt on 20th of Nov 2008 at 11:12 pm

    frank - yes and yes.  Remember the wave 3 of 5 is of a smaller time frame, think of it as minor subwave 3 of wave 5. 

     

    Now on the larger time frame, we are in wave 5 of major wave (3) which began at the May top (see the chart).  When we put in a bottom, it will be wave 5 of major (3).

     

    As far as wave 4, well wave 4's can be tricky and wave 4's ABC up.  Wave 4 cannot retrace above the low of wave 1, if it does, the count is invalidated.  Use Fibonacci retracements from the wave 2 at 917.

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