Someone much smarter than I

    Posted by ssaffer on 8th of May 2020 at 11:06 pm

    Someone much smarter than I and a lot more years trading wrote this today: "If our analysis is correct, the Q2 and Q3 global economic data will be very distressing and likely prompt a continued downside price contraction in stock price levels and valuations.  The disruption to the global economy has likely shaved 5% to 15% (or more) off total global GDP output for this year.  Still, the US Fed and global central banks have poured more and more capital into the markets attempting to front-run this contraction in the global markets.  We believe this “reprieve” in selling is likely temporary right now.  The broader, longer-term, price cycle we've identified it still taking place and will likely prompt a deeper price bottom in the global markets before the end of 2020".   

    It is purely speculative but has some merit to it.   

    Logically I agree totally. But

    Posted by tgo5043 on 8th of May 2020 at 11:16 pm

    Logically I agree totally. But I follow price action and not logic because I’m not smarter then the market. I have stayed fully invested because the price action is bullish. Makes no sense but my account balance  keeps growing.

    I think we all agree.

    Posted by ssaffer on 9th of May 2020 at 12:12 am

    I think we all agree.  Follow price.    The post was not meant for actionable trades.   Just information from ones POV.    On 2/24 I was 100% in Cash and started buying back in to the market on 3/18.  I dont give a flip about public companies and what they make.  I trade on price.  It is like a movie.  The power of Cinema is the action, stock market is price action.  In a Cinema words just move the action.  Stock Market policies, debt, GDP, Unemployment, Inflation,  bankruptcies, etc.. move price over time.  

    I think we all agree.

    Posted by ssaffer on 9th of May 2020 at 12:12 am

    I think we all agree.  Follow price.    The post was not meant for actionable trades.   Just information from ones POV.   

    I think we all agree.

    Posted by ssaffer on 9th of May 2020 at 12:12 am

    I think we all agree.  Follow price.    The post was not meant for actionable trades.   Just information from ones POV.   

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