The dip to build a

    Posted by kriske9 on 16th of Oct 2018 at 03:47 pm

    The dip to build a long term portfolio was again at the 200-day MA of the S&P and Nasdaq.

    Just having a guess,I think

    Posted by matt on 16th of Oct 2018 at 04:07 pm

    Just having a guess,I think he might be referring to say if one was trying to follow that 401K system, I've mentioned before that's a long term trend thing and that it doesn't make sense to  contribute money to that when market is at highs, but on strong dips like we had in Feb, like we had in 2015/2016, like we had in Feb, and like we just had now down below the 200 MA that's obviously a much lower risk area than when market was at highs.  That doesn't mean price won't go lower over time and the system go red and by the time you get out price wont' be lower than where you got in, but was far better than looking to follow that 401K when market was at highs in late Sept/early Octt

    Please realize I'm not an investment adviser, so I'm just talking in generalities and I'm not giving advice.  I'm just following up on comments I've said in the past, if anyone is even following that system, far better to look at major dips than adding at new highs.  

    Otherwise longer term my concern is we are so late in a bull cycle, could a bear market be starting soon - could the 401K system flip red say next year and go red at lower prices than now etc?  Who knows. But otherwise I was just having a guess as to why you said that. 

    How long term?  A few

    Posted by steve on 16th of Oct 2018 at 03:49 pm

    How long term?  A few days/ weeks? I think the bounce forms a lower high so trade your plan.  Nothing wrong with playing long side from deep oversold but trail stops in accordance with your plan. 

    Correct answer was just a

    Posted by steve on 22nd of Oct 2018 at 08:35 pm

    Correct answer was just a few days on that initial bounce as expected - now let's monitor for any new evidence of reversal while respecting the trend. 

    Last Tuesday was such a

    Posted by matt on 22nd of Oct 2018 at 09:14 pm

    Last Tuesday was such a good area to unload longs or take some shorts, esp on IWM hat rallied almost to tag that horizontal line that was logical resistance now

    Years.

    Posted by kriske9 on 16th of Oct 2018 at 03:57 pm

    Years.

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