The free falling USDJPY broke below 100 last week. Given it
found support at ~98 back in 2009 and the fat divergence in the
MACD, I think it could bounce from around this level.
--
It's very hard for CBs to embark on extensive money printing
operations without the support of the issuer of the reserve
currency for which most commodities are exchanged, some exclusively
like crude oil. The US may have removed dollar gold backing in
1971, however since that time it has devoted enormous effort (both
diplomatic, military and covert) in securing dollar backing by the
next best commodity - crude oil (world consumes ~90 million bpd /
~$3T/year), RE: petro-dollar.
Some are of view that the JPGovt would have cleared its new
agressive QE program with the USGovt in order to ensure backup
support of the JPY by the USFed. With the BOJ owning ~$1T USTs, it
also has the option of selling USTs (buy JPY) to create a floor for
the USDJPY. This option is available as the USFed is openly buying
all excess USTs that come to market in order to suppress interest
rates and reduce USGovt interest payment outflows.
Newsletter
Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!
USDJPY Daily Chart
Posted by rixx on 12th of May 2013 at 07:17 pm
The free falling USDJPY broke below 100 last week. Given it found support at ~98 back in 2009 and the fat divergence in the MACD, I think it could bounce from around this level.
--
It's very hard for CBs to embark on extensive money printing operations without the support of the issuer of the reserve currency for which most commodities are exchanged, some exclusively like crude oil. The US may have removed dollar gold backing in 1971, however since that time it has devoted enormous effort (both diplomatic, military and covert) in securing dollar backing by the next best commodity - crude oil (world consumes ~90 million bpd / ~$3T/year), RE: petro-dollar.
Some are of view that the JPGovt would have cleared its new agressive QE program with the USGovt in order to ensure backup support of the JPY by the USFed. With the BOJ owning ~$1T USTs, it also has the option of selling USTs (buy JPY) to create a floor for the USDJPY. This option is available as the USFed is openly buying all excess USTs that come to market in order to suppress interest rates and reduce USGovt interest payment outflows.