I, like most others here at Breakpointtrades, trade stocks
short-term and benfit immensely from the technical wisdom on offer.
But I also carry a long-term position on gold because in my
opinion, the US $$$ and the US fiscal situation is nothing more
than a house of cards waiting to collapse.
Waiting to be proved correct (paid off), however, has been
painful. I call it "The frustration of knowing you're right
and suffering the consequences anyway". Quite similar to
carrying a position based on fundamentals when the technicals are
saying don't do that.
I concur: there's untold manipulation going on in the precious
metals arena. Too much at stake for those with the power to
allow things to play out the way we know they should. How is
it that Bernanke can hint at the possibility that maybe, somewhere
down the road, the Fed will stop buying Treasuries, and as a result
of that garbage, the gold market breaks down? Do people think
for themselves?
Quite the farce...especially if one stops to think about what
they have doing anyway: that is, buying their own debt. Sort
of like me using a credit card to deposit money to my checking
account so I can pay my bills. One day the music stops!!
I got onto the gold bull in 2004. I was taught at the time
that gold stocks would be leverage on gold. More importantly,
I was taught that gold stocks led the metal. I was pretty
green back then -- I put my entire 401(k) into Fidelity Select
Gold. Gold (the metal), soared..... gold stocks didn't do
anything. There was no vehicle like GLD at the time (or at
least I wasn't allowed to own it through Fidelity). Once I
made a small gain, I bailed completely. Of course that is
when gold stocks soared LOL. Anyway, the first two years of
the gold bull saw massive appreciation of gold miners in
anticipation of the 12 year run in gold. For over two years
now, gold stocks have pretty much sucked wind. Further, they
failed to make gains in the parabolic silver stage. To me,
that is a warning -- especially when the broad stock market is in a
vicious bull run. I don't know why there is a disconnect, but
I do know that a 12 year run is about what was projected back in
early 2000s (before anybody could have known about QE). Gold
stocks (to me) look broken and are forming this ominous mother of
all head and shoulders potential topping patterns. Of course,
maybe it is just a massive basing pattern.
I'm 100% with you, zwyss.
Metals are very weak because?
Posted by RichieD on 4th of Jan 2013 at 07:22 am
I, like most others here at Breakpointtrades, trade stocks short-term and benfit immensely from the technical wisdom on offer. But I also carry a long-term position on gold because in my opinion, the US $$$ and the US fiscal situation is nothing more than a house of cards waiting to collapse.
Waiting to be proved correct (paid off), however, has been painful. I call it "The frustration of knowing you're right and suffering the consequences anyway". Quite similar to carrying a position based on fundamentals when the technicals are saying don't do that.
I concur: there's untold manipulation going on in the precious metals arena. Too much at stake for those with the power to allow things to play out the way we know they should. How is it that Bernanke can hint at the possibility that maybe, somewhere down the road, the Fed will stop buying Treasuries, and as a result of that garbage, the gold market breaks down? Do people think for themselves?
Quite the farce...especially if one stops to think about what they have doing anyway: that is, buying their own debt. Sort of like me using a credit card to deposit money to my checking account so I can pay my bills. One day the music stops!!
Title: Former gold bug I got
Posted by kalinm on 4th of Jan 2013 at 08:00 am
I got onto the gold bull in 2004. I was taught at the time that gold stocks would be leverage on gold. More importantly, I was taught that gold stocks led the metal. I was pretty green back then -- I put my entire 401(k) into Fidelity Select Gold. Gold (the metal), soared..... gold stocks didn't do anything. There was no vehicle like GLD at the time (or at least I wasn't allowed to own it through Fidelity). Once I made a small gain, I bailed completely. Of course that is when gold stocks soared LOL. Anyway, the first two years of the gold bull saw massive appreciation of gold miners in anticipation of the 12 year run in gold. For over two years now, gold stocks have pretty much sucked wind. Further, they failed to make gains in the parabolic silver stage. To me, that is a warning -- especially when the broad stock market is in a vicious bull run. I don't know why there is a disconnect, but I do know that a 12 year run is about what was projected back in early 2000s (before anybody could have known about QE). Gold stocks (to me) look broken and are forming this ominous mother of all head and shoulders potential topping patterns. Of course, maybe it is just a massive basing pattern.
Nice Gold article from this AM
Posted by amillett on 4th of Jan 2013 at 07:51 am
U.S. Dollar rallies off of support again, as traders rush in to sell Gold & Silver-
2013-01-04 07:32:41-05
CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE The U.S. Dollar has found line (1) to be support over the past year. Over the past few weeks the US$ is moving higher again off of this support. As traders are moving flows towards the US$, selling is taking place in Gold & Silver, creating a series of lower [...]
http://blog.kimblechartingsolutions.com/2013/01/u-s-dollar-rallies-off-of-support-again-as-traders-rush-in-to-sell-gold-silver/