here's some more stats. These tables show the strongest
1st quarters of the Dow going back to 1950, and also shows the 2nd,
3rd, 4th quarters and year end results.
As you can see, many times after a strong 1st quarter, the
market is due for a correction/rest in the second quarter or 3rd
quarter. Also we have the sell in May and go away coming up
and my thoughts are that the Sell in May will come earlier this
year using the MACD to exit earlier. I will discuss this in more
detail soon.
Otherwise one other thing that stands out is that after a 1st
strong quarter, even though the market may be due for a rest in the
2nd or 3rd quarter, notice that the year end is almost ALWAYS,
notice that there are only 2 years that closed negative after a
first strong quarter out of 37!
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April Almanac Stats
Posted by matt on 1st of Apr 2012 at 02:42 am
Seasonal: Bullish. April is the best DJIA month since 1950, second best for S&P and third best for NASDAQ (since 1971). But, in election years, April
has been weaker. Since 1952, monthly gains have been halved for DJIA and S&P 500. NASDAQ fares even worse since 1972 in election year Aprils with
its average gain becoming an average loss. April is also the last month of the “Best Six Months.”
early april stats playing out
Posted by matt on 2nd of Apr 2012 at 11:52 am
early april stats playing out so far, at least for today
thanks! interesting stuff!
Posted by morton13 on 2nd of Apr 2012 at 03:41 pm
more compelling stats
Posted by matt on 1st of Apr 2012 at 01:36 pm
here's some more stats. These tables show the strongest 1st quarters of the Dow going back to 1950, and also shows the 2nd, 3rd, 4th quarters and year end results.
As you can see, many times after a strong 1st quarter, the market is due for a correction/rest in the second quarter or 3rd quarter. Also we have the sell in May and go away coming up and my thoughts are that the Sell in May will come earlier this year using the MACD to exit earlier. I will discuss this in more detail soon.
Otherwise one other thing that stands out is that after a 1st strong quarter, even though the market may be due for a rest in the 2nd or 3rd quarter, notice that the year end is almost ALWAYS, notice that there are only 2 years that closed negative after a first strong quarter out of 37!