Actually, I don't think that it matters.  If you toss thirty heads in a row, the odds of the next toss being tails is the same as all the other tosses, 50/50.  

    But we aren't dealing with

    Posted by rayalexander123 on 15th of Jun 2011 at 03:50 pm

    But we aren't dealing with coin toss odds, but rather a system that normally wins 90% of the time.

    Then every entry will have

    Posted by algyros on 15th of Jun 2011 at 03:52 pm

    Then every entry will have the same odds.  Probabilities don't have memory, so previous trades don't matter.

    Also be aware that backtested results aren't the same as live trading performance.

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