Is it possible to know

    I think this is wave 2

    Posted by miller on 8th of Apr 2011 at 02:12 pm

    Is it possible to know the net speculative longs on US dollar. A chart which you do on Dollar chart every time?

    Breakdown on DX open interest:

    Posted by lessarda on 8th of Apr 2011 at 04:01 pm

    New data will be out later today, but here's last week's breakdown:

    Commercial longs 18686 - Commercial shorts 5031 = Net Commercial 13655

    Spec/Fund longs 27421 - Spec/Fund shorts 41334 = Net Non-Commercial -13913

    Excellent.  Thanks for the commentary

    Posted by sanrafael on 8th of Apr 2011 at 04:13 pm

    Excellent.  Thanks for the commentary today, it helped.

    Any time...

    Posted by lessarda on 8th of Apr 2011 at 04:23 pm

    I hope you sold some into those nice spikes in GDX and VXX.

    I only have a very

    Posted by sanrafael on 8th of Apr 2011 at 04:25 pm

    I only have a very small position in GDX, I still don't understand completely how the metal can be at 1474.7 and stay up there for the whole day while GDX does relatively little...?

     

     

    i THINK GDX WAS GREAT

    Posted by vinaypatel on 8th of Apr 2011 at 04:34 pm

    i THINK GDX WAS GREAT LAST 2DAYS

    The moves were similar...

    Posted by lessarda on 8th of Apr 2011 at 04:33 pm

    Just more volatility in the PM stocks and more strength overall in the PMs themselves. GLD & SLV only came down to their 20 MAs on the 15 minute and then bounced back near highs, whereas GDX & GDXJ moved all the way down to the bottom of their channels and bounced halfway up. Still a nice move up in all of them -- I favor the longs but play the corrections too instead of chasing up.

    Moves were similar...

    Posted by sanrafael on 8th of Apr 2011 at 04:39 pm

    Yes,

    I think you're right.  I need to become more nimble in playing the corrections.  Since there is more strength in the Metals, do you think the miners will gain some of that? Do they need to get confidence that the metals are for real? It seemed that everytime there was a slight weakness in the metals, the miners over-reacted... 

    Too hard to say...

    Posted by lessarda on 8th of Apr 2011 at 04:51 pm

    I've been long GLD for a long time and don't trade around it, except to add at support -- did so at the 150 again recently. I like the stocks for trading because they do trend up and down more. The GDX system combined with shorter term signals has shown over time that this is a viable way to approach the PM stocks. I would just listen to Matt & Steve on this over time in the newsletters and blog and test things out with small positions to get comfortable with whatever approach works best for you. 

    GDX

    Posted by fixdgear on 8th of Apr 2011 at 04:32 pm

    was up $1.41...it did plenty. Tongue out

    sold the

    Posted by zach06 on 8th of Apr 2011 at 04:24 pm

    Covered the TVIX at the end of the day instead

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