Posted by sanrafael on 25th of Oct 2012 at 05:05 pm
But they only slightly beat on sales and guided lower for
upcoming 1Q---The Hedge Funds are heading out for now, until they
can start buying again at much lower prices...IMO
The Market just wants an orderly exit...because there will
surely be selling tomorrow at the open---then probably a bounce
because most of this report was already sold in the last month.
The Hedge funds want to be able to re-buy at wholesale
prices...
Posted by sanrafael on 25th of Oct 2012 at 01:15 pm
(just a guess) but it looks like 'big boys' are selling into
fear today...who knows what will happen after the close---only one
thing is certain: there will be a huge volatility crush by tomorrow
morning...I went long puts at the open this morning and will be out
by the end of day or sooner, becaus the institutions often bounce
up to VWAP for the close). I agree that if earnings
disappoint, i.e. they aren't as fantastic as usual, that the 580 or
so level is where it may end up. Make sure the popcorn is
non-GMO :-)
Thanks Tom...in this crazy market I'm ready for anything (e.g. a
complete reversal into the close), but at this point it seems like
lower to me too. A negative earnings suprise by AAPL is a big
risk even though it has already lost $100 over the last few
weeks--it could still go more...or not...
Doesn't look too good at this point: bonds have reversed by
almost a point, and VIX reversed more than a hundred points, all
the index futures are down...of course it could turn on a dime, but
it is pretty shaky right now...
Posted by sanrafael on 23rd of Oct 2012 at 12:13 pm
I think we're going to have a small "binary" event at 10am
Pacific time this morning when the mini iPad announcement is made.
Vol. is a little more pumped up on the weeklies with
aapl--even slightly more than usual during an earnings week.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
Thank you, that's what I
Fiscal Cliff
Posted by sanrafael on 29th of Nov 2012 at 11:26 am
Thank you, that's what I thought. All these "pronouncements" have been market movers lately...we'll see on this one...
Fiscal Cliff
Posted by sanrafael on 29th of Nov 2012 at 11:08 am
Boehner is scheduled to speak...does anyone know the exact time?
Maybe reality is being allowed
Greek vote driving this..
Posted by sanrafael on 7th of Nov 2012 at 03:13 pm
Maybe reality is being allowed to kick in momentarily...
Thanks much!
Greek vote driving this..
Posted by sanrafael on 7th of Nov 2012 at 02:05 pm
Does anyone know when the Greek vote is PST?
Greek vote driving this..
Posted by sanrafael on 7th of Nov 2012 at 01:41 pm
Is that 3pm PST or EST?
Greek vote driving this..
Posted by sanrafael on 7th of Nov 2012 at 01:37 pm
Thanks much
Greek vote driving this..
Posted by sanrafael on 7th of Nov 2012 at 12:18 pm
When is the Greek vote coming out?
Greek vote driving this..
Posted by sanrafael on 7th of Nov 2012 at 11:48 am
I'm expecting a report that
NFP in 15 minutes
Posted by sanrafael on 2nd of Nov 2012 at 08:28 am
I'm expecting a report that we have moved to full employment this last week. I think QE 3 just started to work!
What's the officer, problem?
AAPL View
Posted by sanrafael on 25th of Oct 2012 at 10:35 pm
What's the officer, problem?
But they only slightly beat
AAPL---Ooops...seems it's just fruit after all...
Posted by sanrafael on 25th of Oct 2012 at 05:05 pm
But they only slightly beat on sales and guided lower for upcoming 1Q---The Hedge Funds are heading out for now, until they can start buying again at much lower prices...IMO
The Market just wants an orderly exit...because there will surely be selling tomorrow at the open---then probably a bounce because most of this report was already sold in the last month. The Hedge funds want to be able to re-buy at wholesale prices...
Back up yo VWAP for
AAPL View
Posted by sanrafael on 25th of Oct 2012 at 05:02 pm
Back up yo VWAP for the conference call---Steve Cook better do some fast talking!
It will resume trading at
AAPL---Ooops...seems it's just fruit after all...
Posted by sanrafael on 25th of Oct 2012 at 04:48 pm
It will resume trading at 4:50 EST---sorry about the copy and paste--I didn't know
AAPL---Ooops...seems it's just fruit after all...
Posted by sanrafael on 25th of Oct 2012 at 04:37 pm
But the uglyness is in the forecast. And this time it is not a low-ball:
Stock halted so keep an eye on the QQQ as a proxy.
Institional selling
AAPL
Posted by sanrafael on 25th of Oct 2012 at 01:15 pm
(just a guess) but it looks like 'big boys' are selling into fear today...who knows what will happen after the close---only one thing is certain: there will be a huge volatility crush by tomorrow morning...I went long puts at the open this morning and will be out by the end of day or sooner, becaus the institutions often bounce up to VWAP for the close). I agree that if earnings disappoint, i.e. they aren't as fantastic as usual, that the 580 or so level is where it may end up. Make sure the popcorn is non-GMO :-)
Hold...
Posted by sanrafael on 25th of Oct 2012 at 01:02 pm
Hold...hold...hold...
Title: Great technical perspective... Thanks Tom...in
US Dollar continues higher while ES (SPX) continues to move ...
Posted by sanrafael on 25th of Oct 2012 at 12:22 pm
Thanks Tom...in this crazy market I'm ready for anything (e.g. a complete reversal into the close), but at this point it seems like lower to me too. A negative earnings suprise by AAPL is a big risk even though it has already lost $100 over the last few weeks--it could still go more...or not...
Title: Tape action Doesn't look too
US Dollar continues higher while ES (SPX) continues to move ...
Posted by sanrafael on 25th of Oct 2012 at 11:55 am
Doesn't look too good at this point: bonds have reversed by almost a point, and VIX reversed more than a hundred points, all the index futures are down...of course it could turn on a dime, but it is pretty shaky right now...
I think we're going to
Moon cycle
Posted by sanrafael on 23rd of Oct 2012 at 12:13 pm
I think we're going to have a small "binary" event at 10am Pacific time this morning when the mini iPad announcement is made. Vol. is a little more pumped up on the weeklies with aapl--even slightly more than usual during an earnings week.
Earnings privacy was breached :-)
goog
Posted by sanrafael on 18th of Oct 2012 at 01:09 pm
Earnings privacy was breached :-)