We are looking at an

    Posted by matt on 11th of Jul 2008 at 09:24 am

    We are looking at an ugly open...futures are down hard (SPX down -13.25, gold is up +20 and of course crude oil is up $4.8 to a new all time high!  We get our answer, crude is making a new high. For the market, watch the 1235 pivot low, there really isn't any support below that

    Maybe we can get our capitulation after all?  It's a Friday and you have to ask yourself, who wants to go home Long over the weekend? 

    I sense panic in the air

    GE had earnings this morning and held on to its 2008 earnings outlook. They’re also selling their Japanese consumer lending business for $5.4 billion.

    Citigroup (C) is selling it German retail operation to Credit Mutuel (France) for $7.7 billion.

    MA is replacing GM in the S&P 100.

    CVX said yesterday after the close profits would be significantly lower than the previous quarter.

    WYNN jumped in after-hours after announcing an additional $500 million stock repurchase.

    FRE and FNM are down a bunch as word is the gov’t contemplates taking over the quasi gov’t companies in a fashion that would render them basically worthless to shareholders.

    Word from the Middle East is Israeli planes made test flights out of Iraq for a possible attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Crude oil has jumped over 5 bucks and is up near 147.0.

    Update

    Posted by drorlando on 11th of Jul 2008 at 09:35 am

    Great Job Matt!  Word from Military Man, Israel will attack!

    Yep, crude oil and the

    Posted by matt on 11th of Jul 2008 at 09:47 am

    Yep, crude oil and the Israel/Iran hold this market hostage.  Israel/Iran is an uncertainly that hangs over the market and the market hates uncertainty!

    Commercial Gold Shorts

    Posted by drorlando on 11th of Jul 2008 at 09:50 am

    Matt:  It has been a while, can you post where we go to find commercial gold shorts?  Is it on the site I just cannot find it?

    Commercial Gold shorts - remember to ignore

    Posted by matt on 11th of Jul 2008 at 09:52 am

    Commercial Gold shorts - remember to ignore the large speculators, only use the commercials.

    Shorts

    Posted by drorlando on 11th of Jul 2008 at 09:57 am

    Thanks!  Goldbugs this is a very useful Index!

    GDX etc

    Posted by kreem on 11th of Jul 2008 at 10:19 am

    Not sure how to read these COTs well, what's your read? will this stick?

    Are you guys taking profits on gold stocks or backing up the truck on this morning fade?

    Commercial Shorts

    Posted by drorlando on 11th of Jul 2008 at 10:25 am

    Matt:  Can you take that, I think I rember shorts below 75,000 buy, above 150,000 sell or caution.  Commercial Shorts are very good at picking tops and bottoms.

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