Posted by robincage1 on 17th of Aug 2009 at 03:22 pm
do you have any sort of wave count on this? i thought
Friday was a wave 4 on the 30 min chart. if so, we'd be in
5. and would expect a bounce. your target of a possible
990 would not be much of one, so, i'm assuming my count is way
off.??
You always look at the big picture in your analysis. And
your watch list swing trades show long term targets. But your
analysis focuses a lot on current waves and imminent
pullbacks. I have traded out of positions with small profits
instead or riding the pullbacks and gotten larger profits.
some of the watch list, for ex. AMLN, will probably be sold with
stop at buy point on the next wave down. or sold for small
profit (many of us, I assume, are trading a couple of 100 shares,
not thousands) soon. but, the price target still seems sound
if we expect a pullback and the next wave up.
that is the type of longer pic, swing trading analysis that
would be helpful to me.
some of the picks fly up out of the breakout, but not all
of them and I feel like I do a lot of churning and commission
costs, though small, add up.
that said, I am, of course, absolutely responsible for my
choices and your advice is great.
Posted by robincage1 on 27th of Jul 2009 at 10:11 pm
Matt,
would you be willing or able to have a link for your "trade
ideas to watch" at the top of the blog, under dynamic stockchart
links for us to access during the day, without having to switch
over to watch list?
maybe just one more thing for you to keep up with, but it'd be a
help.
Posted by robincage1 on 10th of Jul 2009 at 10:44 am
so far, Matt, your 5 min chart with the 8/21/50 moving averages
have kept me on the right side of a short play today instead of
getting whipsawed out. thank you.
Posted by robincage1 on 9th of Jul 2009 at 12:16 pm
I have not found turn dates for the market consisitent enough to
help my trading. But there is a Bradley turn date July 14-15 and
the next is Sept. 14-15. does anyone want to wager a guess as
to whether next week will be a swing low or high? or
neither......
Posted by robincage1 on 8th of Jul 2009 at 01:53 pm
if this is a minor wave 4 bounce, as Matt suggested, wouldn't
there be a wave 5 down before getting anywhere near 900.
maybe stopping today in the 885 range and then going down once
more?
Posted by robincage1 on 8th of Jul 2009 at 11:58 am
Even if SPX holds 875 here, most everything else broke
thru support.
Dow, Tran, XLF, etc. Seems like a bounce would likely be
another small bear flag up to the broken trend lines. I
would, of course, prefer the retracements and ABC bounce to
reposition short. I see the divergence on the charts.
But, unless the PPT comes in, the broken trend lines seem like they
would make formidable resistance.
Posted by robincage1 on 6th of Jul 2009 at 08:41 am
come on guys. let's stick to stock trading. 1/2 the
blog so far this morning does not even mention the market!
give it a rest or put it in off topic. rants are not of
interest to some of us.
Posted by robincage1 on 1st of Jul 2009 at 03:30 pm
Matt,
will you take a look at XLF tonight. it may be underperforming,
but it still has the support of the 50day and 200 DMA. at the
moment. if we lose 11.8 in the next 1/2 hour it may be a moot
point.......
thanks
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matt, SPX wave count?
yawn....I'm sorry there really isn't much to say, one boring ...
Posted by robincage1 on 17th of Aug 2009 at 03:22 pm
do you have any sort of wave count on this? i thought Friday was a wave 4 on the 30 min chart. if so, we'd be in 5. and would expect a bounce. your target of a possible 990 would not be much of one, so, i'm assuming my count is way off.??
any thoughts or charts?
Posted by robincage1 on 12th of Aug 2009 at 03:30 pm
just onward and upward?
DOW
Posted by robincage1 on 7th of Aug 2009 at 10:43 am
the Dow is hitting the top of a trendline from May and is about at the 38% fib retracement of bear mkt. S&P not far behind.
NVAX
Posted by robincage1 on 5th of Aug 2009 at 08:22 am
NVAX up a buck premarket.! on watch list.
YSI
Posted by robincage1 on 4th of Aug 2009 at 11:39 am
YSI moving up. has earnings on thursday.
long term
Future Section for website - Long Term Charts etc
Posted by robincage1 on 31st of Jul 2009 at 10:51 am
Matt,
You always look at the big picture in your analysis. And your watch list swing trades show long term targets. But your analysis focuses a lot on current waves and imminent pullbacks. I have traded out of positions with small profits instead or riding the pullbacks and gotten larger profits.
some of the watch list, for ex. AMLN, will probably be sold with stop at buy point on the next wave down. or sold for small profit (many of us, I assume, are trading a couple of 100 shares, not thousands) soon. but, the price target still seems sound if we expect a pullback and the next wave up.
that is the type of longer pic, swing trading analysis that would be helpful to me.
some of the picks fly up out of the breakout, but not all of them and I feel like I do a lot of churning and commission costs, though small, add up.
that said, I am, of course, absolutely responsible for my choices and your advice is great.
CAB, another break out
Posted by robincage1 on 30th of Jul 2009 at 03:01 pm
I know we are running on fumes near a top, but take a look at the stoc CAP.
textbook reverse head and shoulders. huge short interest, 33%, 27 days to cover.
sorry, no chart enclosed.
5 min chart
SPX 5 min with TICK
Posted by robincage1 on 30th of Jul 2009 at 01:31 pm
Matt,
looking at the bear flag, would you expect another dip down to the fib # below and then a push to new highs to finish wave 5?
watch list
Posted by robincage1 on 29th of Jul 2009 at 12:36 pm
The stocks from the watch list that I am watching are certainly outperforming the major indices. From these, the trend still feel UP.
Trade ideas
Dynamic Stockhart Links
Posted by robincage1 on 27th of Jul 2009 at 10:11 pm
Matt,
would you be willing or able to have a link for your "trade ideas to watch" at the top of the blog, under dynamic stockchart links for us to access during the day, without having to switch over to watch list?
maybe just one more thing for you to keep up with, but it'd be a help.
thanks for all you guys do.
it is a great site.
your conclusion?
i thought i would post this link because i think ...
Posted by robincage1 on 27th of Jul 2009 at 08:58 pm
i looked at the chart and connotations and thought the idea was that C would go up and breakout up. what is your interpretation?
JAZZ
JAZZ
Posted by robincage1 on 27th of Jul 2009 at 03:48 pm
expecting more upside? or take profits and run?
5 min chart
Posted by robincage1 on 10th of Jul 2009 at 10:44 am
so far, Matt, your 5 min chart with the 8/21/50 moving averages have kept me on the right side of a short play today instead of getting whipsawed out. thank you.
SPX still pointing down at the moment
what?
Turn dates
Posted by robincage1 on 9th of Jul 2009 at 12:25 pm
what is Art saying "we'll see something"??????
Turn dates
Posted by robincage1 on 9th of Jul 2009 at 12:16 pm
I have not found turn dates for the market consisitent enough to help my trading. But there is a Bradley turn date July 14-15 and the next is Sept. 14-15. does anyone want to wager a guess as to whether next week will be a swing low or high? or neither......
spx move
A couple of potential inverse H&S
Posted by robincage1 on 8th of Jul 2009 at 01:53 pm
if this is a minor wave 4 bounce, as Matt suggested, wouldn't there be a wave 5 down before getting anywhere near 900. maybe stopping today in the 885 range and then going down once more?
Bounce?
Posted by robincage1 on 8th of Jul 2009 at 11:58 am
Even if SPX holds 875 here, most everything else broke thru support.
Dow, Tran, XLF, etc. Seems like a bounce would likely be another small bear flag up to the broken trend lines. I would, of course, prefer the retracements and ABC bounce to reposition short. I see the divergence on the charts. But, unless the PPT comes in, the broken trend lines seem like they would make formidable resistance.
fwif. comments welcomed.
flag waving politics, not market analysis
Here are the photos of the Tea Party with quote, ...
Posted by robincage1 on 6th of Jul 2009 at 08:41 am
come on guys. let's stick to stock trading. 1/2 the blog so far this morning does not even mention the market! give it a rest or put it in off topic. rants are not of interest to some of us.
Dollar
Regarding the dollar
Posted by robincage1 on 2nd of Jul 2009 at 03:54 pm
yes, some guidance on the $$ would be helpful. if the dollar is in a 5th wave down, the index could stop at the neckline.
everyone enjoy the time off. look forward to the Sunday night take on this action.
thanks for all you guys do....
XLF
Posted by robincage1 on 1st of Jul 2009 at 03:30 pm
Matt,
will you take a look at XLF tonight. it may be underperforming, but it still has the support of the 50day and 200 DMA. at the moment. if we lose 11.8 in the next 1/2 hour it may be a moot point.......
thanks