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Possibly, but I agree with your premise above, the UUP looks strong, I think that will force GLD down (along with other commodities). To me the biggest risk(of a big price rise) is all the craziness in the world right now might cause a flight to precious metals. That is less common now days, people seem to prefer BTC/ETH as an alternative. I made a pretty small trade because my certainty level is low.

Unity is bouncing nicely so

Following up on some names

Posted by jj4376jc on 20th of Aug 2021 at 10:56 am

Unity is bouncing nicely so far

Yeah I'm glutton for punishment, probably gonna buy some more next week before earnings

Yeah, I believe whatever happens will be relatively soon, and a modest move. I betting on the downward move, which is why I prefer the options. If GLD volatility spikes it will help my spread and greatly increase the theoretical price. I agree the move could also be up.

Well that escalated quickly, not in the direction I preferred, LOL

Oops I was trying to fix my picture but deleted the whole message. I bought 161 puts expiring September, sold 161 puts expiring next Friday. Net Debit .67 cents. I can roll the short option weekly if I desire to minimize Theta(time decay) of the long option. Ideally the short option expires as the GLD moves down, I can then decide to take my profit or continue to ride the price lower. If GLD goes above 168 I will just take my small loss and move on. Happy to answer questions, don't consider myself an expert, but I have traded options a long time, LOL.

Starting the day buying a

Posted by jj4376jc on 20th of Aug 2021 at 09:30 am

Starting the day buying a put calendar spread on GLD targeting the 161 recent low. GLD still looks fairly weak.

Certainly looks primed for a bounce, at least at the open

Showed a small loss for

Posted by jj4376jc on 19th of Aug 2021 at 05:13 pm

Showed a small loss for the day, I probably ended up overly bearish, but I admit I like what I'm holding. SDS shares I will hold at least until tomorrow but probably until Monday, and QQQ puts that don't expire for several weeks, I'll keep those until the markets prove me wrong or Theta starts getting too pricey. Plenty of growth stock plays, if the market spikes, I'll get some good moves in at least a few of them.

Nice, wish I would have

XLE Views

Posted by jj4376jc on 19th of Aug 2021 at 03:18 pm

Nice, wish I would have paid more attention to that one a couple weeks ago when Matt mentioned it looking bearish. I went ahead and sold some calls for a small trade, if it bounces I may sell some more

Took off the short portion

Posted by jj4376jc on 19th of Aug 2021 at 02:57 pm

Took off the short portion of my QQQ calendar, leaving me with the long QQQ puts. Hoping the market makes up it's mind in the next few days

Agreed that it looks rather weak

Buying more SDS here, leaving me fully hedged for the weekend(I hope, LOL)

BMBL Holding up well today as

Posted by jj4376jc on 19th of Aug 2021 at 09:52 am

BMBL Holding up well today as well.

Not really going against it, I'm hedging some longs I don't want to sell(U, SNOW, BMBL among others). I already had a QQQ put calendar hedge on, I may have to sell as the mid price of the spread is 360. If they start moving down from current levels I will need another hedge, which is now SDS. If Matt's main SPY system triggers I will likely close my hedge then buy some SSO

I'm actually thinking the down move is more likely,  bought some SDS, will probably buy more

If I buy it will also be SSO, not buying until I see if we get a flush or Matt's other system triggers

Make get that test of 52 today at the rate it's moving

Got into BMBL  yesterday, I

Posted by jj4376jc on 18th of Aug 2021 at 09:53 am

Got into BMBL  yesterday, I like the entry so far, need to see it push above 52 in the next several days or I'll have to assume I',m wrong and bail

SNOW   still looks bullish to me, I added more yesterday, caution earnings in a week

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