Posted by Orangeman on 19th of May 2022 at 10:19 am
Was going to post on UNG - 60m view - little poke below
trendline. Worked out well last time, but betting on a repeat
on inventory day is a little risky...
Institutional buyers
including
mutual
fundsuse VWAP to help move into or out of stocks with as small
of a market impact as possible. Therefore, when they can,
institutions will try to buy below the VWAP, or sell above it. This
way their actions push the price back toward the average, instead
of away from it.
Which means that when price is stretched from VWAP, the
likelihood of a reversion to mean (in this case VWAP) is higher
than not - can be useful for timing entry/exits intraday.
Intra-day, bears repeating.
it is a common indicator that you can add to your charts on
whatever platform you use. Tradingview will only show it on
intraday time frames.
Near perfect doji w/ bottom tail right on the BB. Anything
could happen, but I'm looking for a choppy bounce early-mid next
week.
Clearing 415 would be a nice little start on our way to 430 -
top rail of Steve's flat. Of course we could dive right into
that 402 gap Sunday night. Keeping an open mind.
Posted by Orangeman on 5th of May 2022 at 10:38 am
XLK - sort of a diamond pattern here. Noticed a bunch of
tech names have a similar look. I'll be watching to see if we
break that uptrend line (lower right) or hold on for another test
of that supply area 148-150.
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Was going to post on
UNG ... Levitating ... but something i'm watching right now ...
Posted by Orangeman on 19th of May 2022 at 10:19 am
Was going to post on UNG - 60m view - little poke below trendline. Worked out well last time, but betting on a repeat on inventory day is a little risky...
https://www.tradingview.com/x/2nUxi0iz/
GDX https://www.tradingview.com/x/Ls36RXvq/
Posted by Orangeman on 19th of May 2022 at 09:45 am
GDX
https://www.tradingview.com/x/Ls36RXvq/
IWM 5m chart - https://www.tradingview.com/x/8F2FQif7/ Kobie-style
Posted by Orangeman on 18th of May 2022 at 11:54 am
IWM 5m chart - https://www.tradingview.com/x/8F2FQif7/
Kobie-style look at today's price action. Possible ABC move down to bottom of Frin-Mon range.
Watching IWM here 15m - holding
Posted by Orangeman on 16th of May 2022 at 11:17 am
Watching IWM here
15m - holding the trend line after Friday's gap - https://www.tradingview.com/x/HMNHrHTU/
120m -MAs pinching here - https://www.tradingview.com/x/GDmM17Ry/
I could see it breaking up to 185 or down to 171 in the next day or so.
@Steve - in the intro
Thursday NewsletterI'm exhausted so wishing everyone a nice evening
Posted by Orangeman on 13th of May 2022 at 07:36 am
@Steve - in the intro to last night's newsletter you mentioned that you noticed changes to (secondary & primary) liquidity a while back.
How do you track/monitor that? Is it simply bid/ask spreads or do you have indicators or indexes that you follow?
Appreciate any insights.
Looking more like kiss it
IWM 5m - potential MACD Kiss set up.5m - Chart ...
Posted by Orangeman on 12th of May 2022 at 11:45 am
Looking more like kiss it goodbye...
https://www.tradingview.com/x/P1Kq55a9/
IWM 5m - potential MACD
Posted by Orangeman on 12th of May 2022 at 11:26 am
IWM 5m - potential MACD Kiss set up.
5m - Chart w/ sym on this morning's advance: https://www.tradingview.com/x/6kXXAmNq/
SPY - 120m view -
Posted by Orangeman on 11th of May 2022 at 01:25 pm
SPY - 120m view - looks like a few more gyrations left in a falling wedge...
https://www.tradingview.com/x/bW5KJ1kv/
It is VWAP - worth
Matt / Steve... Is there anything in the educational section ...
Posted by Orangeman on 11th of May 2022 at 08:22 am
It is VWAP - worth a quick study to begin to understand. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/v/vwap.asp
I often reflect on this bit:
Institutional buyers including mutual fundsuse VWAP to help move into or out of stocks with as small of a market impact as possible. Therefore, when they can, institutions will try to buy below the VWAP, or sell above it. This way their actions push the price back toward the average, instead of away from it.
Which means that when price is stretched from VWAP, the likelihood of a reversion to mean (in this case VWAP) is higher than not - can be useful for timing entry/exits intraday. Intra-day, bears repeating.
it is a common indicator that you can add to your charts on whatever platform you use. Tradingview will only show it on intraday time frames.
Better img: https://www.tradingview.com/x/c5wVz7CZ/
Sometimes I like to look at the 2d chart to ...
Posted by Orangeman on 6th of May 2022 at 05:37 pm
Better img: https://www.tradingview.com/x/c5wVz7CZ/
Sometimes I like to look
Posted by Orangeman on 6th of May 2022 at 05:20 pm
Sometimes I like to look at the 2d chart to smooth things out a bit:
SPY https://www.tradingview.com/x/wloYU6ke/
Near perfect doji w/ bottom tail right on the BB. Anything could happen, but I'm looking for a choppy bounce early-mid next week.
Clearing 415 would be a nice little start on our way to 430 - top rail of Steve's flat. Of course we could dive right into that 402 gap Sunday night. Keeping an open mind.
UNG - slight break below
Posted by Orangeman on 6th of May 2022 at 10:32 am
UNG - slight break below recent uptrend line.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/I7kAKpi3/
Took a tiny position in KOLD yesterday - up 10% thus far - stop at 6.05 - bottom of the little gap.
RAFA - https://www.tradingview.com/x/rdjWuPiI/
Posted by Orangeman on 6th of May 2022 at 09:41 am
RAFA - https://www.tradingview.com/x/rdjWuPiI/
XLK - sort of a
Posted by Orangeman on 5th of May 2022 at 10:38 am
XLK - sort of a diamond pattern here. Noticed a bunch of tech names have a similar look. I'll be watching to see if we break that uptrend line (lower right) or hold on for another test of that supply area 148-150.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/vui5MHAW/
update - maybe a washout
SPX bounce attempt off the declining trend line SPX 15 ...
Posted by Orangeman on 2nd of May 2022 at 02:15 pm
update - maybe a washout bounce, but not looking great...
https://www.tradingview.com/x/pJTg2s29/
SPY - 15m - Possible
SPX bounce attempt off the declining trend line SPX 15 ...
Posted by Orangeman on 2nd of May 2022 at 02:07 pm
SPY - 15m - Possible falling wedge - divergence on MACD, RSI too.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/vNAONhKn/
XLF - potential bounce in
Posted by Orangeman on 26th of Apr 2022 at 10:11 am
XLF - potential bounce in channel?
https://www.tradingview.com/x/gOCMDlAy/
Soooo far from VWAP too.
Worst one-day slide I've seen in quite a while. 15 ...
Posted by Orangeman on 21st of Apr 2022 at 02:53 pm
Soooo far from VWAP too. I'm not going to try to catch it, but a decent bounce into the close would not surprise me.
SPY - Matt's old bounce
Posted by Orangeman on 19th of Apr 2022 at 01:37 pm
SPY - Matt's old bounce of the 50 on a trend day just played out. What happens next will be interesting.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/7ahUIeop/
RAFA - Heck of a
Posted by Orangeman on 12th of Apr 2022 at 10:08 am
RAFA - Heck of a run off the bottom near 25cents. Up 15% today.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/VvkaG1Ka/