lpwise Tks or posting! Today in particular Friedman is
proving to be right with long bond yields rising significantly even
with the Fed buying treasuries on a daily basis running at an
annual rate of approx. $1.2 Trillion. This may possibly
be keeping a cap on today's rally.
One of the concerns continues to be the deflation vs inflation
debate. Jim Rogers of Quantum fund fame has been saying
lately that he has no shorts in the market as hyperinflation or
even a sudden currency devaluation could take the markets MUCH
higher, but of course of no greater value on an inflation adjusted
basis.
rp Echoes of Noam Chomsky's "Manufacturing
Consent" BTW my wife is a social worker in a large
hospital and when I read your deliberations or should I say
"Reminiscences" to her she strongly felt you were immediately
eligible for an honorary degree in social work LOL. From a
purely numbers point of view, and if anyone agrees that earnings
still matter, S&P eanings this year of $40:00 and a PE of 15
would take us back to 600 on the S&P. We also know that
index PE's have and can go into the single digits. Either way
the director of this movie wil have to work overtime to have us
riding into the sunset.
curranjohn: Just read one of your earlier posts.
Once you take a position in an EOD (End Of Day) system you must
always exit your position in the last minute of the trading day no
matter what. The SRS system is an EOD system! You must
therefore take action accordingly.
curranjohn: Yes. The MA with the smallest # is always the
fastest moving. It is the one that does the crossing.
In this case it is the 9. Your buy and sell rules are correct
but always wait for the candle to expire with the MA still crossed
for a buy or sell, as explained in the instructions.
hornsant: What a beautiful analogy. Of course by
applying these principles, over time, and with proper money
management principles, your equity curve will grow
systematically.
ravun: Thanks for posting the money management
ideas. Of course the first name that comes to mind in looking
at money management is Ralph Vince. . Larry Williams
who is a personal friend of Vince's has has highlighted his work
and pounded the table on money management principles for many
years. I recently attended a seminar given by Larry Williams
in Ft. Lauderdale Florida, where he stressed he felt proper
money management was no less than "The Keys To The Kingdom."
IMHO I agree with him. Thanks for continuing to post top tier
information ravun. I read everything you post. Thank you for
being so generous in your "educational" efforts.
rp Thks for thinking aloud. I have to tell you that in
light of rapidly rising yields on long term bonds I'm surprised how
long the market has held up. Ideal scenario is that the
market will eventually fall with the bond yield wind in it's face,
and your puts can end up deep in the money!
All the best...Vince.
Last Friday SPG increased their latest common stock offering to
20 million shares with a over allotment of 3 million shares at a
price of $50:00 per share. SPG is now trading @ $49:50. It
will be interesting to see how vigorously the managers of the
offering, ie Merrill Lynch, JPM and MS will defend that $50:00 line
in the sand.
Newsletter
Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
SDS
SDS possibility
Posted by vmath on 20th of Jul 2009 at 09:13 pm
Peridot: Just got home... Beautiful chart. Tks for posting!
srs chart
srs from freecharts
Posted by vmath on 17th of Jul 2009 at 09:41 am
sorry. you're right. the srs chart at the bottom is the daily and not the 15 minute
srs charts
srs from freecharts
Posted by vmath on 17th of Jul 2009 at 09:35 am
the srs chart is posted at the bottom below the faz
lpwise Tks or posting! Today
Milton Friedman
Posted by vmath on 18th of Jun 2009 at 02:21 pm
lpwise Tks or posting! Today in particular Friedman is proving to be right with long bond yields rising significantly even with the Fed buying treasuries on a daily basis running at an annual rate of approx. $1.2 Trillion. This may possibly be keeping a cap on today's rally.
One of the concerns continues
Posted by vmath on 18th of Jun 2009 at 09:46 am
One of the concerns continues to be the deflation vs inflation debate. Jim Rogers of Quantum fund fame has been saying lately that he has no shorts in the market as hyperinflation or even a sudden currency devaluation could take the markets MUCH higher, but of course of no greater value on an inflation adjusted basis.
rp Echoes of Noam Chomsky's
Posted by vmath on 18th of Jun 2009 at 09:28 am
rp Echoes of Noam Chomsky's "Manufacturing Consent" BTW my wife is a social worker in a large hospital and when I read your deliberations or should I say "Reminiscences" to her she strongly felt you were immediately eligible for an honorary degree in social work LOL. From a purely numbers point of view, and if anyone agrees that earnings still matter, S&P eanings this year of $40:00 and a PE of 15 would take us back to 600 on the S&P. We also know that index PE's have and can go into the single digits. Either way the director of this movie wil have to work overtime to have us riding into the sunset.
rp- Toggled it! Sorry for
Posted by vmath on 17th of Jun 2009 at 12:10 pm
rp- Toggled it! Sorry for the inconvenience. Appreciate your thinking aloud on this.
rp AAPL
Posted by vmath on 17th of Jun 2009 at 12:01 pm
rp Nice trade! Can I ask you what your strike price was when you bought the calls? I'm assuming you were as close to "At the money" as you could get.
curranjohn: Just read one of
Hi all, new subscriber here. I want to dip my ...
Posted by vmath on 9th of Jun 2009 at 10:10 pm
curranjohn: Just read one of your earlier posts. Once you take a position in an EOD (End Of Day) system you must always exit your position in the last minute of the trading day no matter what. The SRS system is an EOD system! You must therefore take action accordingly.
curranjohn: You are correct. All
Hi all, new subscriber here. I want to dip my ...
Posted by vmath on 9th of Jun 2009 at 09:54 pm
curranjohn: You are correct. All the best in your trading.
curranjohn: Yes. The MA with
Hi all, new subscriber here. I want to dip my ...
Posted by vmath on 9th of Jun 2009 at 09:31 pm
curranjohn: Yes. The MA with the smallest # is always the fastest moving. It is the one that does the crossing. In this case it is the 9. Your buy and sell rules are correct but always wait for the candle to expire with the MA still crossed for a buy or sell, as explained in the instructions.
"They Dance Alone" With apologies to Sting"
Mech trading
Posted by vmath on 5th of Jun 2009 at 11:23 pm
hornsant: What a beautiful analogy. Of course by applying these principles, over time, and with proper money management principles, your equity curve will grow systematically.
Ralph Vince
SKF 6min mech
Posted by vmath on 5th of Jun 2009 at 11:09 pm
ravun: Thanks for posting the money management ideas. Of course the first name that comes to mind in looking at money management is Ralph Vince. . Larry Williams who is a personal friend of Vince's has has highlighted his work and pounded the table on money management principles for many years. I recently attended a seminar given by Larry Williams in Ft. Lauderdale Florida, where he stressed he felt proper money management was no less than "The Keys To The Kingdom." IMHO I agree with him. Thanks for continuing to post top tier information ravun. I read everything you post. Thank you for being so generous in your "educational" efforts.
ravun Thanks for posting. Sure
Had to post, I have a son just like Shay
Posted by vmath on 27th of May 2009 at 04:29 pm
ravun Thanks for posting. Sure recalibrates our perspective on life. All the best...Vince.
rp Thks for thinking aloud.
Posted by vmath on 27th of May 2009 at 04:11 pm
rp Thks for thinking aloud. I have to tell you that in light of rapidly rising yields on long term bonds I'm surprised how long the market has held up. Ideal scenario is that the market will eventually fall with the bond yield wind in it's face, and your puts can end up deep in the money! All the best...Vince.
XLF
Posted by vmath on 27th of May 2009 at 03:40 pm
rp_ I think it's listening to you. So far so good. Thks for the chart
Happy Birthday Matt!
Posted by vmath on 26th of May 2009 at 12:46 am
You're just a kid!!! Enjoy!.... and kindest regards to your mom as well.
Video
Posted by vmath on 22nd of May 2009 at 12:48 am
rp: unbelievable! BTW I completely agree with your thoughts on where the $ is actually going. Hope you're doing well. Vince
SRS
Posted by vmath on 13th of May 2009 at 04:28 pm
robin: Yes it was
SPD/SRS
Posted by vmath on 12th of May 2009 at 12:51 pm
Last Friday SPG increased their latest common stock offering to 20 million shares with a over allotment of 3 million shares at a price of $50:00 per share. SPG is now trading @ $49:50. It will be interesting to see how vigorously the managers of the offering, ie Merrill Lynch, JPM and MS will defend that $50:00 line in the sand.