The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.

HAT

Posted by rafe on 14th of Oct 2008 at 05:44 pm

Special on uranium on CNBC tonight at 8 CMT.

 

Hathor Exploration (HAT-TSXv) has just received a monster analyst report by analyst Patrick Donnelly of Salman Partners on Hathor Exploration. The 30-page report is headlined, “What Looks Like the Next Big Uranium Discovery in the Athabasca Basin.”

Donnelly writes, “World class discovery!” He points out that “On February 26, 2008, Hathor Exploration Ltd. announced that it had encountered anomalous uranium mineralization at the “Roughrider Zone” at its 90%-owned Midwest NorthEast property in the prolific Athabasca Basin.” At the time, they announced 11.9 m grading an incredible 5.29% U308.

“On August 27, 2008, Hathor announced additional results from its summer drilling program, including 69 m grading 2.33% U3O8.” Donnelly continues, “Hathor appears to have a deposit! How big is it? Based on discussions with management, we roughly estimate that the Roughrider Zone has approximately 828,000 tonnes at an average grade of 2.4% U3O8, containing approximately 43.8 million lbs of U3O8. We expect the Roughrider Zone could get much bigger.”

Donnelly also points out the “Great Neighborhood” of the discovery in that it “is located only 10 km from the McClean Lake mill which is currently awaiting word on when it might receive ore from AREVA Resources Canada Inc. (“AREVA”) and Cameco Corp.’s (CCO-TSX) Cigar Lake mine.”

Donnelly suggests that Hathor is a great takeover candidate and writes, “Given the Midwest NorthEast’s proximity to the McClean Lake mill, we expect that AREVA, Cameco or Denison Mines Corp. (DML-TSX) could attempt to take over Hathor.”

Donnelly suggests a 12-month target price of $6.40 and rates it as a “Speculative Buy” and the maps and scenario enclosed in the report shows how he expects it could get to becoming a takeover candidate.

David Coffin, the geologist half of the duo Coffin brothers that publish the Hard Rock Analyst, commenting on the Salman report (which is getting a lot of respect in the mining community) says …“His $12.50 per pound valuation base is a little higher than mine (I am using $10) but while he is assuming a 20% gain to the resource I point out that only half the geophysical anomaly that first spotted the deposit has so far been tested. That could/would imply a +60 million pound potential, which is well into the big category and would likely get a bidding war underway for the company that could well garner a better price per pound than either of us is using.”

He points to the sketch that Donnelly used showing there is actually potential trend extension greater than 50%. “It doesn’t show however” Coffin says, “a second anomaly behind the drill.” What to expect from this story from Coffin? He calls it under $3.00, just a “straight buy” and above $3.00, a speculative buy, but believes that if they can come up with the 60 million pounds of ore, he figures it’s worth $8.00 per share.

Canaccord's David Pescod took the Salman Partner's report around for other people’s comments. He states that Mining industry veteran Brad Cooke been involved in the stock since the first discovery was announced and what gets him excited about the Hathor play is that these uranium deposits tend to come in clusters and if there is a cluster, you see a takeout target in double-digits.

A fourth person suggests that’s “It’s the only mining story out there these days that is creating any interest” and has a price target that well, we aren’t even going to write about.

On Friday, Hathor announced some drilling results of a massive 46 metres grading a huge 3.25% U308, into a market that was in panic mode (like almost everyday lately). We suspect leading up to this winter’s drilling program, this will be the main mining story on beaten up mining brokers screens.

Additional drilling results from Hathor are expected in the next few weeks and then a big drilling program starts in January when the lake is frozen. In the meantime, we will mention that this is the speculative mining business in a fearful market and it seems anything that can go wrong does

Maybe someone can reduce size!

anticpatory investing

Posted by rafe on 22nd of Sep 2008 at 06:02 pm

i do more anticipation as a rule. on 9-11 i thought gold would not fall below 730 so started loading boat when about 735 with commodity stocks mostly pm.  my work was telling me that commodities would come to life.  i have virtually held every-thing and had some amazing plus days.  so when this type of investing is done with some conviction the returns can be superb and even less stressful.  today was the frosting as had best day EVER with accounts up $2xx,xxx.

On juniors----Know your fundamentals or use a fund or EDV but do your due dilegence!

No these are not trading

SMC chart

Posted by rafe on 22nd of Sep 2008 at 04:02 pm

No these are not trading stocks.  2 places to buy in bottom of W and PRIOR to posting B=4 BO!

EDV-T

EDV-T

Posted by rafe on 22nd of Sep 2008 at 03:11 pm

Newbies----I am the gold bug on the site.  On small Canadians you better know fundamentals or some going to get cow pasture!  A search of rafe will give you hundreds of posts.  ALWAYS do Due Diligence.  Here is site for EDV----plus other materal in a search!

http://www.endeavourfinancial.com/s/Home.asp

EDV-T

Posted by rafe on 22nd of Sep 2008 at 02:21 pm

For 90% on this site you are going to start hearing wild returns on small Canadians.  I could give you some but will not.  Your best bet is EDV-T---------Trading $6.20 likely less than half of book!

Depends where you are invested----Gart

Posted by rafe on 22nd of Sep 2008 at 12:47 pm

Depends where you are invested----Gart my hero!  You may make $ shorting GDX--I would not touch with 10' pole!

Gart couple weeks late!

Commodity trade back on?

Posted by rafe on 22nd of Sep 2008 at 12:12 pm

Gart couple weeks late!

DBA

MY FIRST DAY TRADE - Well, this has been a ...

Posted by rafe on 22nd of Sep 2008 at 11:56 am

Plenty of posts last week where some of us went long Ag's including DBAA----POT big winner.

gMaybe---but do not count on it!  Holding VERY lonf and strong. If as I think, G out of way who knows!

gold fever

GOLD FEVER

Posted by rafe on 22nd of Sep 2008 at 10:45 am

Not interested in trading YET!

CENTRAL BASNKS CONSIDER GOLD

Posted by rafe on 22nd of Sep 2008 at 10:42 am

Article in toyday's WSJ.  We have lots of gold(I hope). 

GOLD FEVER

Posted by rafe on 22nd of Sep 2008 at 10:22 am

Articles already showing up that Central Banks could own more gold.  Incentive for our G to hold down waining?  I remain a Gold Bug and am not selling what is now a very profitable trade (anticipatory) about 2 weeks ago!  Volatility will be staggering!  These my opinions---DUOT.

Switch to weekly technicals!

GOLD FEVER

Posted by rafe on 21st of Sep 2008 at 06:49 pm

I see no reason to change my mind. Thing so flecked up what else has value? We may even get the support of our great Government! Ironic? I REMAIN a huge GOLD Bull and SILVER!

LIHR GOLD

Posted by rafe on 19th of Sep 2008 at 03:39 pm

One of purchases this morning was 2500 LIHR at $20.52.  trading last look $28.50---have no clue why?

WHY GOLD FEVER

Posted by rafe on 19th of Sep 2008 at 03:11 pm

There is but one conclusion IMO that masses will come to----HYPER INFLATION!

HAT

Posted by rafe on 19th of Sep 2008 at 02:58 pm

clawing back on no news---up 20%---like to see more volume!  And news!

GOLD FEVER

Posted by rafe on 19th of Sep 2008 at 02:55 pm

We had about 382 correction off top yesterday.  Bot back and more goldies thatb opened weak this morning----I should be in this trade awhile----now 1 plus weeks!

csiq

Posted by rafe on 19th of Sep 2008 at 02:41 pm

buying----Divergences! 

Sinclair conclusion

Posted by rafe on 19th of Sep 2008 at 11:52 am

Gold is the only currency with no liability attached to it which, as you have seen recently, will be selected as the currency of the people-----

Time will tell!

 

PPT loced and loaded

Posted by rafe on 19th of Sep 2008 at 11:04 am

coming into the day!  The CROOKS are doing their job.  They had you where they wanted you.  So far have missed all bombs!  But is it worth it!

Newsletter

Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!