This GET chart makes a lot more sense in terms of the wave
count. What's the target that it gives for GDX for wave 5 on the
15-minute charts? Thanks for the update, p.!
I was referring to the close connection between the euro and
$SPX that you pointed at during numerous times. Probably done
through hedges, like those between the $USD and gold (when one
moves, so does the other). We saw a move down in FXE without a
corresponding move down in $SPX. My inference is that someone was
buying $SPX to prevent its from breaking down. My logic is that
this cannot be done for too long, and when FXE moves down enough,
the $SPX will follow.
I see no fundamental reason for $SPX to go up at this time to
make a new high. If it does, I am not seeing the full picture then.
For what it is worth.
Steve, does that mean that the market top is in before a
correction ensues (a correction coincidental with the movement of
the euro on the charts you posted)?
Peridot, That the area to the right marked by two purple
horizontal lines, isn't it? What's the 74PTI on the chart? If my
interpretation is correct, I can see what you are pointing at.
There are two time targets at play: intermediate (to be
conferred with Steve's FXE chart) and long-term (Roger's). I
believe your GET system is including both in the that range. Can
you run the system on a shorter time frame (30 minutes or 60
minutes) to see if it will produce different results? Thanks for
the information!
He predicts for gold:"Worst case correction in our view is gold
to $1007. Support is now $1107-$1115 with next lower at $1092.50,
$1085 and a $1065-most probable low."
For silver: "Worst case silver to $16.00 support with other
higher supports at $17.15, $17.00, $16.85, and $16.48 most probable
new low before the next rally, We Forecast Gold & Silver Index
To 156.32 On The 41 Day Moving Average. Worst case XAU support
expected is 140. Support-resistance 150 most probable."
Extrapolating from what he said, for GDX MA(200)=40.91 is the
most probable target. FWIW.
It's possible. From the point of game playing, it does not
matter. Stick to your senses and follow them, don't rationalize
every move. The reason is always after the fact. Good luck!
Matt or Steve, Could today's drop be part of wave B down with
waveC up to follow? Or we are definitely past completion of wave C?
In simple words, is the short-term trend down now instead of up?
Today's volume is down 93%,declining issues 84%.
Advancing Sectors: (None)
Declining Sectors: Materials (-2.8%), Energy
(-2.6%), Industrials (-2.2%), Financials (-2.1%), Tech (-1.9%),
Consumer Discretionary (-1.8%), Utilities (-1.7%), Consumer Staples
(-1.4%), Health Care (-1.3%), Telecom (-1.1%)
Steve, From you update tonight I infer that you favor a break to
the downside. Is a likely target the 50% retracement at 1071 or it
could go lower? Is there a target of this drop based on the length
of wave A up? Thanks for sharing your insights.
Steve, What pivots would be used in the bullish and bearish
scenario for somebody, entering on a short side at the
right-shoulder location (1002- 1005ish)?
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Matt, wouldn't to buy on
IAG might be a good risk/reward trade here with a ...
Posted by junkie on 14th of Dec 2009 at 04:39 pm
Matt, wouldn't to buy on a pullback to a higher lower be better? Thanks for the idea, I'll keep watching this stock. Its fundamentals are terrific.
This GET chart makes a
GDX 15 Min. from GET
Posted by junkie on 14th of Dec 2009 at 12:11 pm
This GET chart makes a lot more sense in terms of the wave count. What's the target that it gives for GDX for wave 5 on the 15-minute charts? Thanks for the update, p.!
I was referring to the
Euro (FXE) Daily and 60 Minute
Posted by junkie on 13th of Dec 2009 at 12:02 pm
I was referring to the close connection between the euro and $SPX that you pointed at during numerous times. Probably done through hedges, like those between the $USD and gold (when one moves, so does the other). We saw a move down in FXE without a corresponding move down in $SPX. My inference is that someone was buying $SPX to prevent its from breaking down. My logic is that this cannot be done for too long, and when FXE moves down enough, the $SPX will follow.
I see no fundamental reason for $SPX to go up at this time to make a new high. If it does, I am not seeing the full picture then. For what it is worth.
Steve, does that mean that
Euro (FXE) Daily and 60 Minute
Posted by junkie on 12th of Dec 2009 at 07:04 pm
Steve, does that mean that the market top is in before a correction ensues (a correction coincidental with the movement of the euro on the charts you posted)?
Peridot, That the area to
Correction targets for $gold and $silver from Roger Wiegand
Posted by junkie on 12th of Dec 2009 at 11:59 am
Peridot, That the area to the right marked by two purple horizontal lines, isn't it? What's the 74PTI on the chart? If my interpretation is correct, I can see what you are pointing at.
There are two time targets at play: intermediate (to be conferred with Steve's FXE chart) and long-term (Roger's). I believe your GET system is including both in the that range. Can you run the system on a shorter time frame (30 minutes or 60 minutes) to see if it will produce different results? Thanks for the information!
Peridot, please keep us updated
Bullish Dollar
Posted by junkie on 12th of Dec 2009 at 11:40 am
Peridot, please keep us updated on your dzz trade and your GET charts. I find them truly amazing for a mechanical system to produce! Thanks :-)
Correction targets for $gold and $silver from Roger Wiegand
Posted by junkie on 12th of Dec 2009 at 07:34 am
http://www.kitco.com/ind/Wiegand/dec112009.html
He predicts for gold:"Worst case correction in our view is gold to $1007. Support is now $1107-$1115 with next lower at $1092.50, $1085 and a $1065-most probable low."
For silver: "Worst case silver to $16.00 support with other higher supports at $17.15, $17.00, $16.85, and $16.48 most probable new low before the next rally, We Forecast Gold & Silver Index To 156.32 On The 41 Day Moving Average. Worst case XAU support expected is 140. Support-resistance 150 most probable."
Extrapolating from what he said, for GDX MA(200)=40.91 is the most probable target. FWIW.
Measured target for GDX wave 5
GDX 60 min playing out
Posted by junkie on 11th of Dec 2009 at 12:19 pm
I am getting 46 as the measured target for the pullback for GDX in wave 5. Too much? that would put gold in the middle of 1000-1100 range, I reckon.
Thanks to both of you,
GDX 60 Min. GET
Posted by junkie on 10th of Dec 2009 at 05:21 pm
Thanks to both of you, Peridot and Matt, for the update!
Matt, under the bullish count,
if this bearish count is correct
Posted by junkie on 10th of Dec 2009 at 02:47 pm
Matt, under the bullish count, is GDX still in wave 4 or wave 5 is completed for it? I am looking for an entrance point into a GDX swing.
Thanks for your updates, Matt!
Posted by junkie on 4th of Dec 2009 at 10:18 am
Thanks for your updates, Matt!
It's possible. From the point
can anyone offer a rational explanation
Posted by junkie on 4th of Dec 2009 at 10:16 am
It's possible. From the point of game playing, it does not matter. Stick to your senses and follow them, don't rationalize every move. The reason is always after the fact. Good luck!
intermediate trend: still up or already down?
Posted by junkie on 27th of Nov 2009 at 10:45 am
Matt or Steve, Could today's drop be part of wave B down with waveC up to follow? Or we are definitely past completion of wave C? In simple words, is the short-term trend down now instead of up? Today's volume is down 93%,declining issues 84%.
Advancing Sectors: (None)
Declining Sectors: Materials (-2.8%), Energy (-2.6%), Industrials (-2.2%), Financials (-2.1%), Tech (-1.9%), Consumer Discretionary (-1.8%), Utilities (-1.7%), Consumer Staples (-1.4%), Health Care (-1.3%), Telecom (-1.1%)
thank you, Matt!
Early Friday Morning Market Newsletter Ok I'm going to try and get ...
Posted by junkie on 27th of Nov 2009 at 07:34 am
Thank you, Matt, for your sense of duty and care of us, members of the site. Happy belated holidays!
End of the day or
SRS swing system went long
Posted by junkie on 25th of Nov 2009 at 04:03 pm
End of the day or non-end of the day? I don't have the possibility to check them now at work, could anyone clarify please?
Exhaustion of the up move?
US Dollar and market
Posted by junkie on 25th of Nov 2009 at 03:23 pm
$USD is at 74.45 right
US Dollar
Posted by junkie on 25th of Nov 2009 at 07:15 am
$USD is at 74.45 right now, down .065. I hope to see a break-out to the upside now to test 1017 area
Move to the downside
Posted by junkie on 24th of Nov 2009 at 07:39 pm
Steve, From you update tonight I infer that you favor a break to the downside. Is a likely target the 50% retracement at 1071 or it could go lower? Is there a target of this drop based on the length of wave A up? Thanks for sharing your insights.
Steve, could you please post
Currencies still Showing the Way
Posted by junkie on 23rd of Nov 2009 at 10:41 am
Steve, could you please post the chart for a reference? Many thanks!
Steve, What pivots would be
Here are two Bearish Views (short term)
Posted by junkie on 20th of Nov 2009 at 01:43 pm
Steve, What pivots would be used in the bullish and bearish scenario for somebody, entering on a short side at the right-shoulder location (1002- 1005ish)?