Roku: Rising tensions with content publishers highlight
potential risks for long term earnings power -- Morgan Stanley
(152.40 -3.57)
Analyst Benjamin Swinburne said, "We continue to believe Roku's
valuation embeds a level of earnings that will be difficult to
achieve unless it reaches a substantially greater level of scale
and market share. At a $20bn EV and ~25x our '21E gross profits, we
believe the market is already pricing in global success and largely
ignoring rising risks. The key debate for Roku shares at these
levels is not, in our view, whether the consumer and advertisers
are shifting to streaming - they are. Rather, it is Roku's ability
to monetize this shift as a platform connecting consumers
(audience) with content (publishers). This ability hinges primarily
on its ability to drive scale, which it can translate into
leverage. The larger its user base and market share of connected TV
consumption, the greater leverage ithas over publishers in
extracting an economic rent. Similarly, the greater share of
streaming advertising inventory it can sell, the more effectively
it can monetize."
Posted by jdaswani on 29th of Jun 2020 at 09:02 am
They used the wrong chart, it should not be a log chart but a
linear chart. Top/bottom if the cup is $39pts, which implies target
closer to $81. Still a big move, but a far cry from $500
Posted by jdaswani on 28th of May 2020 at 04:09 pm
One of my favorite patterns popped up today..After 2 days IWM
closing above the upper BB, we closed back inside. Similar with the
SPY, historically they have been pretty good guides to short market
for a reversion trade. Minimum target is usually the middle BB
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
Most countries already requiring this
Wow, US going to require negative covid test for all ...
Posted by jdaswani on 12th of Jan 2021 at 01:59 pm
Most countries already requiring this as well. Some airlines offering free rapid covid tests before flights as well.
Matt, can you run a
Posted by jdaswani on 16th of Oct 2020 at 02:47 pm
Matt, can you run a KISS chart on $VIX and VXX. Been weak, but feels like its building energy for a sharp thrust up.
SPY Short - I did
Posted by jdaswani on 16th of Oct 2020 at 02:17 pm
SPY Short - I did not participate last night, but I bought the Dec 257 Put just now for $17.40 - Is the system going to stay short over the weekend?
what is a cycle sell
SPX 60 Updated View
Posted by jdaswani on 5th of Oct 2020 at 02:13 pm
what is a cycle sell signal
Naked or covering a long
Sold the NVDA Oct 09 '20 $540 Call for $10.25
Posted by jdaswani on 5th of Oct 2020 at 11:16 am
Naked or covering a long position
Yes, Good EPS and they
DELL - Did we ever hear any news out of ...
Posted by jdaswani on 14th of Sep 2020 at 10:37 am
Yes, Good EPS and they plan to spin off VMW which they own 80% of the company
SPY System still long?
SPX comments
Posted by jdaswani on 10th of Sep 2020 at 04:03 pm
SPY System still long?
This is an awesome chart
Apple Vol.. looks pretty ominous.. I would keep longs on ...
Posted by jdaswani on 24th of Aug 2020 at 02:01 pm
This is an awesome chart - how do you find symbols for individual stocks volatility
I know some of you
Posted by jdaswani on 28th of Jul 2020 at 02:40 pm
I know some of you play ROKU - Off Briefing
ROKU
Roku: Rising tensions with content publishers highlight potential risks for long term earnings power -- Morgan Stanley (152.40 -3.57)
Analyst Benjamin Swinburne said, "We continue to believe Roku's valuation embeds a level of earnings that will be difficult to achieve unless it reaches a substantially greater level of scale and market share. At a $20bn EV and ~25x our '21E gross profits, we believe the market is already pricing in global success and largely ignoring rising risks. The key debate for Roku shares at these levels is not, in our view, whether the consumer and advertisers are shifting to streaming - they are. Rather, it is Roku's ability to monetize this shift as a platform connecting consumers (audience) with content (publishers). This ability hinges primarily on its ability to drive scale, which it can translate into leverage. The larger its user base and market share of connected TV consumption, the greater leverage ithas over publishers in extracting an economic rent. Similarly, the greater share of streaming advertising inventory it can sell, the more effectively it can monetize."
looks broken
VIX thoughts???
Posted by jdaswani on 20th of Jul 2020 at 01:26 pm
looks broken
Aug options still pricing negative.
Gentlemen I’m sure you all noticed, the VIX is green ...
Posted by jdaswani on 13th of Jul 2020 at 09:46 am
Aug options still pricing negative. Go figure
jdaswani@gmail.com
Hey guys...I made a google sheet for trade entries/tracking like ...
Posted by jdaswani on 10th of Jul 2020 at 03:43 pm
jdaswani@gmail.com
can u pls send me
Hey guys...I made a google sheet for trade entries/tracking like ...
Posted by jdaswani on 10th of Jul 2020 at 03:42 pm
can u pls send me a copy as well
They used the wrong chart,
Don't take your eyes off the big prize. The multi ...
Posted by jdaswani on 29th of Jun 2020 at 09:02 am
They used the wrong chart, it should not be a log chart but a linear chart. Top/bottom if the cup is $39pts, which implies target closer to $81. Still a big move, but a far cry from $500
Thats what I am eyeing
I thought about mentioning ROKU yesterday. Took a small position ...
Posted by jdaswani on 16th of Jun 2020 at 01:55 pm
Thats what I am eyeing as well on ROKU
Shorted TSLA at $1004 -
Posted by jdaswani on 10th of Jun 2020 at 11:11 am
Shorted TSLA at $1004 - keeping a 1% stop - Figure round number trade/fail
Matt, Adjusted your 15min -
Posted by jdaswani on 10th of Jun 2020 at 11:08 am
Matt, Adjusted your 15min - What do you think..It stopped with perfect symmetry
I have an open order
everyone playing the Ron Baron interview in the morning on ...
Posted by jdaswani on 8th of Jun 2020 at 03:56 pm
I have an open order to short a small amount at 1000
One of my favorite patterns
Posted by jdaswani on 28th of May 2020 at 04:09 pm
One of my favorite patterns popped up today..After 2 days IWM closing above the upper BB, we closed back inside. Similar with the SPY, historically they have been pretty good guides to short market for a reversion trade. Minimum target is usually the middle BB
Mortan, do u recommend Motley
TWLO. 4 bagger from the March lows. Anyone catch this ...
Posted by jdaswani on 15th of May 2020 at 09:11 am
Mortan, do u recommend Motley Fool? are they as good as the ads state?