TNP briefly broke out of triangle formation today (+10%
currently). Assuming long term bottom is in, symmetry suggest next
up leg target is 10 (currently 7.18).
Old article from FT Alphavilel regarding the way copper (and
metals in general have been used in China by local corporates to
speculates. It relates well with the price action in Copper post
the first large corporate default in China. The expectations are
that this is just the start and the Chinese government in its aim
to curbe credit will allow a lot more high profile defaults.
TMKS LI (TMK OAO is a global supplier of tubular products for
the oil and gas industry. The Company manufactures its core
products, OCTG and line pipe, as well as pipes for industrial
applications and offers services in heat treating, protective
coating, premium connections threading and warehousing.). The stock
trades in the London Int Exchange in USD. Has given a buy signal
today according to Steve's tutorial at 7.40. Low this week 6.665
(today intraday) and high of 2014 13.01. 9 EMA at 7.97 currently.
(sorry cannot post chart)
For those looking to place some profit on a high yielding asset
should monitor the bond GAZPRU 8.625% 04/28/34 (XS0191754729). It
currently trades at 112 cash price (ytm 7.45%) from a high of 140
(the decline is a comobination of higher long term rates and the
Ukranian situation). I can see the bond getting to 100/105 if the
situation gets worse...that would be a USD yield to maturity of
8.25% with potential price upside of 10-20pts. It is unlikely that
Europe will impose strict sanctions to GAZPRU given that
significance it plays to the continet's energy supply. The duration
of the bond at this cash price would be 9 years, much lower than
the 20years actuall maturity.
On the back of that (althought my opinion is that the decision
for the split of Ukraine has already been taken and the US and EU
Officals threats to Russia is just about TV time) there are some
very interesting opportunities in Russian equities and fixed
income developing (banking bonds with BBB names trading at 6.5%
yield to maturity) and corporate names trading at 0.5 P/B.
Unfortunately the problem with these analogs is that if you
search you will find correlations in certain periods even between
the amount of pasta consumed in Italy with an equity index.
Hi renko777, may I ask how do you go about applying this filter?
Do you find all STO <20 in your list and then visually check for
Doji? or is there an automated way in some platform? tks
I tried to upload a pdf document but I guess I am not
allowed...so pasting the text without the graph (whihch is a
comparison of Cisco to Tesla).
As we have written, we believe that US equity indexes should
continue to move higher as long as the market continues to keep the
“faith” and believes that QE = growth = higher stocks. However,
there is no doubt in our mind that this is a rather stretched
trade. Not only are US stocks indexes increasingly the singular
drivers of global “risk” but these very same indexes are also
littered with more and more individual stocks exhibiting late
stage, bubble like price action. That presents a significant risk
simply because, IF (yes, a big if) a significant number of these
names were to “pop” all at once, it may be impossible to reallocate
cash quickly or smoothly into other stocks. That in turn could
trigger a broader equity VaR shock forcing leveraged names to
disgorge their holdings into a falling market, which was exactly
what we got in bonds in the spring. In that scenario, even pledges
of more QE from the Fed may be unable to prevent a deep correction
in stocks and cause the market to lose its “faith” in a Fed, which
would be utterly disastrous.
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Proshares ETFs (posted to me by a friend)
Posted by ckats on 2nd of May 2014 at 09:40 am
Folks, being told that Proshare Suspends Purchase of New Creation Units in Some Funds - These ETFs could skew HARD (Usually higher) away from NAV (Recall TVIX from a few years ago???) ---> UCD, CMD, BOIL, KOLD, GDAY, CROC, ULE, EUFX, YCL, SVXY and VIXM.... BE WARY! http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20140502005376/en/ProShare-Capital-Management-LLC-Temporarily-Suspends-Ability#.U2OfQlcxh-I
Nasdaq 15min looks like a
Posted by ckats on 4th of Apr 2014 at 02:42 pm
Nasdaq 15min looks like a three push lower with RSI5 bullish div...but it's a falling knife
TNP (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd)
Posted by ckats on 14th of Mar 2014 at 11:32 am
TNP briefly broke out of triangle formation today (+10% currently). Assuming long term bottom is in, symmetry suggest next up leg target is 10 (currently 7.18).
What really drove Chinese commodity imports?
Posted by ckats on 14th of Mar 2014 at 11:26 am
Old article from FT Alphavilel regarding the way copper (and metals in general have been used in China by local corporates to speculates. It relates well with the price action in Copper post the first large corporate default in China. The expectations are that this is just the start and the Chinese government in its aim to curbe credit will allow a lot more high profile defaults.
http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2010/01/20/130156/what-really-drove-chinese-commodity-imports/
TMKS LI (TMK OAO is
Posted by ckats on 14th of Mar 2014 at 11:21 am
TMKS LI (TMK OAO is a global supplier of tubular products for the oil and gas industry. The Company manufactures its core products, OCTG and line pipe, as well as pipes for industrial applications and offers services in heat treating, protective coating, premium connections threading and warehousing.). The stock trades in the London Int Exchange in USD. Has given a buy signal today according to Steve's tutorial at 7.40. Low this week 6.665 (today intraday) and high of 2014 13.01. 9 EMA at 7.97 currently. (sorry cannot post chart)
tks for the post renko77,
DAX cash index head and shoulder (Nov2013 to today). Sorry ...
Posted by ckats on 12th of Mar 2014 at 12:46 pm
tks for the post renko77, actually i would be looking as a left shoulder the 9424 high of Dec2013
For those looking to place
Posted by ckats on 12th of Mar 2014 at 12:44 pm
For those looking to place some profit on a high yielding asset should monitor the bond GAZPRU 8.625% 04/28/34 (XS0191754729). It currently trades at 112 cash price (ytm 7.45%) from a high of 140 (the decline is a comobination of higher long term rates and the Ukranian situation). I can see the bond getting to 100/105 if the situation gets worse...that would be a USD yield to maturity of 8.25% with potential price upside of 10-20pts. It is unlikely that Europe will impose strict sanctions to GAZPRU given that significance it plays to the continet's energy supply. The duration of the bond at this cash price would be 9 years, much lower than the 20years actuall maturity.
DAX cash index head and
Posted by ckats on 12th of Mar 2014 at 12:17 pm
DAX cash index head and shoulder (Nov2013 to today). Sorry cannot post graph. Today's low so far exactly on the neck line.
On the back of that
Crimea : Referendum this Sunday
Posted by ckats on 12th of Mar 2014 at 08:39 am
On the back of that (althought my opinion is that the decision for the split of Ukraine has already been taken and the US and EU Officals threats to Russia is just about TV time) there are some very interesting opportunities in Russian equities and fixed income developing (banking bonds with BBB names trading at 6.5% yield to maturity) and corporate names trading at 0.5 P/B.
31 now with high 35...I
CANN
Posted by ckats on 26th of Feb 2014 at 01:26 pm
31 now with high 35...I was just referring to target of symmetry from the lows at 42
Crazy...i closed it yesterday :-( I
CANN
Posted by ckats on 26th of Feb 2014 at 01:10 pm
Crazy...i closed it yesterday :-(
I guess given symmetry target is 42...
CANN flying as well since yesterday
Posted by ckats on 25th of Feb 2014 at 01:21 pm
Looks like an open gap
did i miss some news
Posted by ckats on 13th of Feb 2014 at 10:19 am
Looks like an open gap fill...interesting to see if it reverses down once filled
Unfortunately the problem with these
McClellans' analog update
Posted by ckats on 12th of Feb 2014 at 06:00 am
Unfortunately the problem with these analogs is that if you search you will find correlations in certain periods even between the amount of pasta consumed in Italy with an equity index.
Hi renko777, may I ask
Oversold Slow STO < 20 + Doji
Posted by ckats on 15th of Jan 2014 at 03:20 am
Hi renko777, may I ask how do you go about applying this filter? Do you find all STO <20 in your list and then visually check for Doji? or is there an automated way in some platform? tks
Indeed and was up big
GRPN
Posted by ckats on 18th of Dec 2013 at 04:45 pm
Indeed and was up big even when indices were at their lows
TAN & GRPN strong on a weak day
Posted by ckats on 17th of Dec 2013 at 11:41 am
GRPN
Posted by ckats on 12th of Dec 2013 at 11:25 am
GRPN looks like a great long term buy here. Has broken out of three months bullish flag, retested yesterday and marching upwards today
BofA’s Countrywide Found Liable for Defrauding U.S. by Jury
Posted by ckats on 23rd of Oct 2013 at 03:42 pm
I tried to upload a
US Stocks: Bubble Watch
Posted by ckats on 23rd of Oct 2013 at 03:08 pm
I tried to upload a pdf document but I guess I am not allowed...so pasting the text without the graph (whihch is a comparison of Cisco to Tesla).
As we have written, we believe that US equity indexes should continue to move higher as long as the market continues to keep the “faith” and believes that QE = growth = higher stocks. However, there is no doubt in our mind that this is a rather stretched trade. Not only are US stocks indexes increasingly the singular drivers of global “risk” but these very same indexes are also littered with more and more individual stocks exhibiting late stage, bubble like price action. That presents a significant risk simply because, IF (yes, a big if) a significant number of these names were to “pop” all at once, it may be impossible to reallocate cash quickly or smoothly into other stocks. That in turn could trigger a broader equity VaR shock forcing leveraged names to disgorge their holdings into a falling market, which was exactly what we got in bonds in the spring. In that scenario, even pledges of more QE from the Fed may be unable to prevent a deep correction in stocks and cause the market to lose its “faith” in a Fed, which would be utterly disastrous.