Stocks are mixed to lower Monday, February 8
th, as the middle wave of
{2}up is unfolding, a small
degree wave
{b}down move. This should be
followed by a final wave
{c}up to
{2}up rally that ends mid-to-late
this week. Then a nasty decline, wave
{3}down of
3down should unfold. There are
completed and confirmed small Head & Shoulders top patterns in
the S&P 500 and Canada's TSX suggesting prices should drop at
least 10 percent below where they sit now over the next few weeks.
That said, shorts must be cautious about the president's working
group's stimulus intervention in stock markets to support prices,
or delay declines, so risk should be managed and the amount of
capital at risk limited when taking positions.
Does he tell how this prospective drop will correspond to the
movement of the $USD? 80.50 -81.00 is a resistance, and it needs to
be breached in order for his scenario to play out. That's the only
unanswered question for me, other his indicators support the
move.
McHugh believes that the $USD will bounce back to the shelf at
$81-$82 area and then a sharp plunge should occur. He shows
that plunge to be Wave 3 of 5 down. (I'm exerpting from his
weekly market forecast from his weekly chart.)
You can feel how "skittish" this market has become though.
Holding overnight positions right now for me means sleeping with
one eye open and listening to Bloomberg all night and I don't even
trade the futures. Cheese Louise, you gotta love it!
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McHugh excerpt (2:09 p.m.)
Posted by Peridot on 8th of Feb 2010 at 03:02 pm
Stocks are mixed to lower Monday, February 8 th, as the middle wave of {2}up is unfolding, a small degree wave {b}down move. This should be followed by a final wave {c}up to {2}up rally that ends mid-to-late this week. Then a nasty decline, wave {3}down of 3down should unfold. There are completed and confirmed small Head & Shoulders top patterns in the S&P 500 and Canada's TSX suggesting prices should drop at least 10 percent below where they sit now over the next few weeks. That said, shorts must be cautious about the president's working group's stimulus intervention in stock markets to support prices, or delay declines, so risk should be managed and the amount of capital at risk limited when taking positions.
Does he tell how this
Posted by junkie on 8th of Feb 2010 at 03:51 pm
Does he tell how this prospective drop will correspond to the movement of the $USD? 80.50 -81.00 is a resistance, and it needs to be breached in order for his scenario to play out. That's the only unanswered question for me, other his indicators support the move.
McHugh believes that the $USD
Posted by Peridot on 8th of Feb 2010 at 04:12 pm
McHugh believes that the $USD will bounce back to the shelf at $81-$82 area and then a sharp plunge should occur. He shows that plunge to be Wave 3 of 5 down. (I'm exerpting from his weekly market forecast from his weekly chart.)
Unless I misunderstand something obvious,
Posted by junkie on 8th of Feb 2010 at 04:19 pm
Unless I misunderstand something obvious, a sharp plunge in wave 3 down would be bullish for the markets, not bearish. Right?
Peridot
Posted by steve on 8th of Feb 2010 at 03:16 pm
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=5&b=5&g=0&id=p98463708000&a=155122471&listNum=61
Peridot -- Thanks for Posting
Posted by puma on 8th of Feb 2010 at 03:10 pm
Peridot -- Thanks for Posting -- Pretty much conforms with what I think is the most likely scenario -- but with his caution about PPT intervention.
You can feel how "skittish"
Posted by Peridot on 8th of Feb 2010 at 03:31 pm
You can feel how "skittish" this market has become though. Holding overnight positions right now for me means sleeping with one eye open and listening to Bloomberg all night and I don't even trade the futures. Cheese Louise, you gotta love it!