GDX sell signals

    Posted by perthx on 7th of Jan 2010 at 10:29 am

    the GDX:GLD ratio is crossing down on the 60 min and so is the 60 period slow sto. Dollar is up big and gold is off $9. HOWEVER, this may be a whipsaw correction so be careful with any new shorts. getting a bounce now ...maybe a place to short coming, watch the 5 min 60 period sto (it may turn back up) and all the other indicators.

    Earlier today it looked like

    Posted by stevedfw on 7th of Jan 2010 at 03:27 pm

    Earlier today it looked like a closing 60min line bar closed below the trendline and the 20period MA.  But now it looks like it bounced off the trendline and stayed above it. 

    I went short and now I guess I need to cover it.

    Anyone else see this?

    The line was re drawn

    Posted by perthx on 7th of Jan 2010 at 03:37 pm

    The line was re drawn when the original line was whipsawed. The redrawn line just takes into account more market data so it makes more sense.

    As for closing a position, that may or may not be a good idea depending on what you think will happen on the jobs report to the dollar, gold the MM and PM shares.

    I can see it going either way...fat lot of good that does you, sorry. But look at the other indicators the  60 period and regular sto, the rsi, macd etc.

    My bias is to the downside. My thinking is that from yesterday's high to this morning's low was only wave A and that we are finishing off wave B with a wave C to complete this corrective move downward yet to come. GDX may even fall to  possibly fill yesterday's gap or go even lower(maybe). This is my speculation and guess work, good luck.

    $gold holds up, so there

    Posted by junkie on 7th of Jan 2010 at 03:41 pm

    $gold holds up, so there is another push higher to come, IMO.

    Thanks for the info guys. 

    Posted by stevedfw on 7th of Jan 2010 at 03:47 pm

    Thanks for the info guys.  Since I shorted based on the broken trendline and that was incorrect I will just cover the position and wait for another trigger.  I also see the 60period Stoch has creeped back to 80.

    GDX retraced almost 50% of

    Posted by perthx on 7th of Jan 2010 at 11:31 am

    GDX retraced almost 50% of the decline from yesterday's highs. While that move up could be the A of an 'abc'  B wave retrace, my gut says to look for yesterday's gap to be filled today, or tomorrow. If this is a B wave  'abc'  bounce, it has upside potential to .786 or 49.74

    this looks like a currency

    Posted by junkie on 7th of Jan 2010 at 10:47 am

    this looks like a currency intervention to me by one of the Central banks in Asia. Please note the level at which they intervened, that could be a bottom for the greenback.

    Lots of gaps to be

    Posted by Palladin on 7th of Jan 2010 at 10:34 am

    Lots of gaps to be filled on the down side ...

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