I agree Matt, deflation trend has longer to go than most people
think. Mish has been very accurate on that in his blogging this
year, saying this today;
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/
Expect more city and state unions across the country to face
the same set of choices as San Francisco: freeze or cut wages, cut
benefits, or face massive layoffs.
Falling or frozen nominal wages across a broad range of
industries is a symptom of a deflationary state, if not outright
economic depression.
And those falling wages in conjunction with rampant
overcapacity, massive destruction of wealth in housing and the
stock market, and panicked boomers facing retirement who will
continue to cut spending, makes it highly unlikely Obama's stimulus
plan will result in hyperinflation anytime soon.
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I agree Matt, deflation trend
DXO chart
Posted by homer on 24th of Dec 2008 at 03:05 pm
I agree Matt, deflation trend has longer to go than most people think. Mish has been very accurate on that in his blogging this year, saying this today;
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/
Expect more city and state unions across the country to face the same set of choices as San Francisco: freeze or cut wages, cut benefits, or face massive layoffs.
Falling or frozen nominal wages across a broad range of industries is a symptom of a deflationary state, if not outright economic depression.
And those falling wages in conjunction with rampant overcapacity, massive destruction of wealth in housing and the stock market, and panicked boomers facing retirement who will continue to cut spending, makes it highly unlikely Obama's stimulus plan will result in hyperinflation anytime soon.