Broadly speaking the market has been wrestling with ongoing
uncertainty surrounding numerous banks and select financial firms
weighed against government and FED intervention/pivot. The FED
balance sheet has exploded upward approximately $400 billion in
just two weeks. This has led to a range bound trade in the
SPX and clear divergence between the QQQ (big tech) and IWM
(beholden to many smaller banks).
We simply have to play the levels and clear patterns as traders
until more clarity emerges. For example, yesterday morning we
had more weakness overseas which translated into a lower open in
our markets BUT the weakness helped form a distinct falling wedge
pattern in SPX/ES which I pointed out premarket and then said
to monitor along with the VIX for clues. The VIX smash supported a
wedge breakout leading to a nice upward move on Friday. Well done
team.
Summary
Posted by steve on 25th of Mar 2023 at 11:04 am
Broadly speaking the market has been wrestling with ongoing uncertainty surrounding numerous banks and select financial firms weighed against government and FED intervention/pivot. The FED balance sheet has exploded upward approximately $400 billion in just two weeks. This has led to a range bound trade in the SPX and clear divergence between the QQQ (big tech) and IWM (beholden to many smaller banks).
We simply have to play the levels and clear patterns as traders until more clarity emerges. For example, yesterday morning we had more weakness overseas which translated into a lower open in our markets BUT the weakness helped form a distinct falling wedge pattern in SPX/ES which I pointed out premarket and then said to monitor along with the VIX for clues. The VIX smash supported a wedge breakout leading to a nice upward move on Friday. Well done team.
ES levels for the week
Posted by steve on 26th of Mar 2023 at 03:01 pm
ES levels for the week 3930-4070 with extremes below 3875 and 4130 topside
Bulls held onto support Friday morning forming a falling wedge (we spotted) which preceded a nice move higher on Friday
Steve, could you please share
Posted by junkie on 26th of Mar 2023 at 03:32 pm
Steve, could you please share weekly levels for /NQ too? Thanks in advance!