yes, I agree. 2.2 is conservative, could go lower.
While I see very smart people argue for a rising yield,
falling stock environment, there has not been a week to prove it in
many years. Maybe that changes. Summer to fall of 2008
(height of the bear market), saw yields plunge from 4.8% to 2.55%.
Could we drop 40-50% in yields from here over this summer?
Maybe 1.6% is in the cards in the next year? As bizarre
as that sounds, nobody would have predicted 3% yields five years
ago.
Newsletter
Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!
yes, I agree. 2.2 is
30 year bond yield
Posted by kalinm on 26th of Apr 2013 at 09:48 am
yes, I agree. 2.2 is conservative, could go lower. While I see very smart people argue for a rising yield, falling stock environment, there has not been a week to prove it in many years. Maybe that changes. Summer to fall of 2008 (height of the bear market), saw yields plunge from 4.8% to 2.55%. Could we drop 40-50% in yields from here over this summer? Maybe 1.6% is in the cards in the next year? As bizarre as that sounds, nobody would have predicted 3% yields five years ago.