Volatility is a must

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    Posted by dickdos2 on 2nd of Sep 2011 at 01:02 pm

    I plugged this "30 minute MACD 25,170,25"concept into NinjaTrader this morning, just to see what would happen. I used the MACD histogram as described here, taking trades upon a crossover of the zero line with one confirming bar.

    It's pretty straightforward: when trading SPY, taking both long and short positions accordingly, the profit factor was 1.38 with cumulative profit of 22.3% (frictionless) for the period beginning 6/1/2010 and ending today, 9/2/2011.

    I compared the results to a daily chart of SPY over the same time period. Comparing trades dates with the daily charts, I could see that the signal worked well in periods of high volatility (i.e., choppy markets). The signal resulted in whipsaws whenever it encountered a strongly trending market.

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