Maybe in x years we will know for sure how much fed manipulation
went on in the last year but frankly if the market was as
manipulated as many suspect then no wonder we are higher and no
wonder indicators seem to lead to such pathetic price
give back or any giveback at all for that matter.But that
aside interest rates are the one thing that makes me believe that a
sell off can actually occur.(Didn't say will).There is no way
in the world that the fed will want to see a rise in rates(too much
debt)with patterns breaking out( to propel rates higher)to
their detriment and frankly there is NO better way to see a
fall in treasury interest rates than to get an equity
selloff.Why can't they simply support a managed sell off to keep us
just frightened enough..the middle road shall we say.A few quick
Dow 300 point breaks would do the trick mighty fast !This is about
as good as equities can get IMO as much higher and we are looking
at confirmed breakouts or breakdowns(price/yield)in bonds and
frankly the fed will be far more a friend to the bear if that
occurs.Keep the 10 year under 4% and S and P around 1000 +- 100
range is not a bad middle road for them till they come up with the
next scam like forcing pension funds into holding 80%
treasuries or the like in their funds...lol..you Americans just got
capital controls so why not forced investment criteria next.
Anyway the fed could quickly become bear friendly IMHO and
each time we approach that treasury down trendline why not
turn the algos to equity sell mode.
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Manipulation...
Blog Post I did this weekend on correlation between interest rates and the market
Posted by hurricanemalta on 6th of Apr 2010 at 09:48 am
Maybe in x years we will know for sure how much fed manipulation went on in the last year but frankly if the market was as manipulated as many suspect then no wonder we are higher and no wonder indicators seem to lead to such pathetic price give back or any giveback at all for that matter.But that aside interest rates are the one thing that makes me believe that a sell off can actually occur.(Didn't say will).There is no way in the world that the fed will want to see a rise in rates(too much debt)with patterns breaking out( to propel rates higher)to their detriment and frankly there is NO better way to see a fall in treasury interest rates than to get an equity selloff.Why can't they simply support a managed sell off to keep us just frightened enough..the middle road shall we say.A few quick Dow 300 point breaks would do the trick mighty fast !This is about as good as equities can get IMO as much higher and we are looking at confirmed breakouts or breakdowns(price/yield)in bonds and frankly the fed will be far more a friend to the bear if that occurs.Keep the 10 year under 4% and S and P around 1000 +- 100 range is not a bad middle road for them till they come up with the next scam like forcing pension funds into holding 80% treasuries or the like in their funds...lol..you Americans just got capital controls so why not forced investment criteria next.
Anyway the fed could quickly become bear friendly IMHO and each time we approach that treasury down trendline why not turn the algos to equity sell mode.