Jack Chan's latest...

    Posted by kalinm on 5th of Mar 2010 at 11:33 pm

    Jack Chan is presently 40% invested in gold and energy.   He recently removed a hedge on his gold positions and added some more longs.  His rationale is the $BPGOLD botttomed at a level that rivaled the level in Nov 2007.  He is also aware of the strength in the USD and thinks both can rally.  This is very much contrary to the P3 outcome and potentially suggests a melt up to test the highs of SPX.  He sees the HUI in a massive cup and handle and has very high targets in his sights.  I've followed JC for a while, and I've rarely seen him so outwardly bullish on the market.  I wish I would listen to him more!  For those who don't know JC, his track record is pretty good, but conservative.  He hasn't really made any money in about 3 years -- hasn't lost any either.  

    I honestly can't picture the markets doing that with the fundamental backdrop.  It is killing me to know the unbelievable challenges we face in the world economy -- and the market rockets higher on short squeezes and bearish sentiment.  I know "don't fight the fed", but why don't they just hold rates at 0% forever and everybody gets rich in perpetuity!  When things go bad, just squeeze the short sellers and the majority is happy!  Run huge deficits, but just push it off to another generation.

    May to July 2010 is

    Posted by junkie on 6th of Mar 2010 at 07:40 am

    May to July 2010 is a likely time frame when the backdrop happens. If you are a bear, you need to stay alive till then. Between now and then are more rallies on new IRA injections, I would guess. I cannot explain the upsloping accumulation/distribution line by anything else. Bears are slaughtered first and now, then bulls' turn will come.

    http://www.kitco.com/ind/Wieg_cor/roger_mar042010.html

    Jack Chan is doing the right thing: preserving the capital. FWIW.

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