Wednesday January 10th, 2024 Newsletter - free

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BPT Newsletter technical analysis on the markets and trading systems update Jan 10th, 2024

Table of Contents:

1. Opening Discussion 

2. Systems Discussion: Mean Reversion and KISS Trend systems

3. General Market Analysis: SPX and Other Major Indices

4. Custom Indicators/Systems (VIX, NYMO, NAMO) and Bonds (TLT/HYG)

5. Major Sectors

6. US Dollar, Commodities, Precious Metals and GDX

7. Trade Ideas: NICE DAY for the trade ideas and I put out a handful of new ones in the morning (MSFT, NVDA, AQN, HCAT, LVS etc)

- SEC approves rule changes that pave the way for bitcoin ETFs

Key Events for This Week:

1. Crude Oil Inventories - Wednesday
2. Auction of 10Y Notes - Wednesday
3. CPI Inflation Data - Thursday
4. Initial Jobless Claims - Thursday
5. PPI Inflation Data - Friday
6. Total of Four Fed Speakers Next Week 

#  Administrative Note:   Steve and I will both be traveling and away on Monday January 15th-Wednesday January 17th.  Monday the markets are closed for MLK Holiday so you will be away for two trading sessions. 

The nice thing about the KISS systems is that they allow us to follow the trend, but with a protective stop, sort of like life insurance for your portfolio.

The KISS Systems for the indexes and many large cap stocks have been long since October just off the lows and are doing well. The KISS systems did their job avoiding a lot of the correction and going back long 2 to 3 days off the lows, thus capturing this rally with protection.   KISS STS Tables for Indexes, ETF's, Stocks

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KISS Trend Following Systems - Breakpoint Trades proprietary trend following systems that dynamically follow an uptrend and raise stops along the way  giving you an exit, while allowing you to stay in the trend. Check the indexes, as well as your individual stocks, ETF's etc, to see where the system is suggesting a stop.

KISS STS Tables for Indexes, ETF's, Stocks - check your stocks and ETF's to see where they are suggesting smart trailing stops if long. 

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Major Indexes Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
Dow JonesINDU - WDIA - W 0.45% 0.61% 37,695.73
S&P 500SPX - WSPY - W 0.57% 1.84% 4,783.45
NasdaqCOMPQ - W 0.75% 3.07% 14,969.65
NDX 100NDX - WQQQ - W 0.69% 2.99% 16,793.05
Russel 2000 (Small Caps)IWM - W 0.06% 0.95% 195.08
Market Sectors Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
TransportsTRAN - WIYT - W 0.58% 0.61% 15,602.87
BanksBKX - W -0.36% -1.11% 96.06
FinancialsXLF - W 0.16% 0.16% 37.81
BrokersXBD - W -0.36% -1.13% 543.65
XLE (Energy Select)XLE - W -0.98% -3.70% 81.55
Oil Service HoldersOIH - W -1.30% -6.17% 286.45
TechnologyXLK - W 0.85% 3.55% 190.65
SemiconductorSOX - WSMH - W -0.39% 2.93% 4,048.84
Communication Services XLC - W 0.93% 2.29% 73.69
RetailXRT - W 0.30% 1.20% 70.23
Consumer StaplesXLP - W -0.21% 0.79% 72.58
Consumer DiscretionaryXLY - W 0.80% 2.14% 176.31
IndustrialsXLI - W 0.51% 0.85% 112.38
Real EstateIYR - W 0.08% 0.81% 90.39
HomebuildersHGX - WXHB - W 1.53% 3.18% 661.53
MaterialsXLB - W -0.13% -0.85% 83.62
Metals And MiningXME - W -0.88% -1.75% 57.15
BiotechnologyBTK - WXBI - W -0.73% -0.08% 5,406.51
HealthcareXLV - W 0.46% 1.33% 140.97
DrugsDRG - W 0.72% 1.30% 959.06
UtilitiesUTIL - WXLU - W -0.11% 0.08% 899.39
Currencies Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
US DollarUUP - W -0.18% -0.04% 27.40
EuroXEU - WFXE - W 0.37% 0.25% 109.69
YenXJY - WFXY - W -0.85% -0.76% 68.63
AustralianXAD - WFXA - W 0.23% -0.24% 66.98
British PoundXBP - WFXB - W 0.20% 0.13% 127.34
Chinese YuanCYB - W 0.00% 0.00% 24.27
Canadian DollarCDW - WFXC - W 0.08% -0.13% 74.73
Swiss FrancXSF - WFXF - W 0.15% -0.16% 117.48
Cryptocurrencies Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
BitcoinBTCUSD - W -0.31% 4.61% 45,978.77
Bitcoin CashBCHUSD - W 2.81% 8.33% 251.77
EtheriumETHUSD - W 7.83% 13.76% 2,528.66
MoneroXMRUSD - W 4.03% 2.77% 150.28
LitecoinLTCUSD - W 3.97% 8.34% 69.67
RippleXRPUSD - W 5.49% 8.38% 0.60
Commodities Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
CommoditiesDBC - W -0.68% -1.40% 21.82
Crude OilWTIC - WUSO - W -1.20% -3.31% 71.37
GasolineGASO - W -0.45% -1.76% 2.09
Natural GasNATGAS - WUNG - W -4.73% 5.05% 3.04
CopperCOPPER - WJJCB - W 0.60% -0.66% 3.78
AgricultureDBA - W -0.15% 0.19% 20.62
CornCORN - WCORN - W 0.05% -0.27% 459.50
WheatWHEAT - WWEAT - W 0.12% -0.85% 610.75
CoffeeCOFFEE - W 1.49% 0.71% 1.84
SugarCANE - W -0.71% 0.59% 12.65
Precious Metals Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
Gold MetalGLD - W -0.23% -0.98% 187.50
SilverSLV - W -0.29% -1.27% 20.94
PlatinumPPLT - W -1.18% -4.34% 84.90
PalladiumPALL - W 2.27% -2.76% 92.20
GDX Gold Miners ETFGDX - W -0.21% -2.22% 29.11
Bonds Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
High Yield Corporate BondHYG - W 0.18% 0.90% 77.37
TLT 20 Year Bond ETFTLT - W -0.47% -0.12% 96.17
10 Year Treasury YieldTNX - W 0.27% -0.30% 40.30
30 Year Treasury YieldTYX - W 0.36% 0.00% 42.00

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Release ET For Trading Impact Forecast Consensus Prior
Jan 08
Consumer Credit15:00NovLowNA$9.3B$5.8B
Jan 09
Trade Balance08:30NovMediumNA-$64.7B-$64.3B
Jan 10
MBA Mortgage Applications Index07:0001/06LowNANA-9.4%
Wholesale Inventories10:00NovLow-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%
EIA Crude Oil Inventories10:3001/06HighNANA-5.50M
Jan 11
CPI08:30DecHigh0.2%0.2%0.1%
Core CPI08:30DecHigh0.2%0.2%0.3%
Initial Claims08:3001/06High213K209K202K
Continuing Claims08:3012/30HighNANA1855K
EIA Natural Gas Inventories10:3001/06LowNANA-14 bcf
Treasury Budget14:00DecLowNANA-$314.0B
Jan 12
PPI08:30DecHigh0.1%0.1%0.0%
Core PPI08:30DecHigh0.1%0.2%0.0%
Economic Calendar

Stock Earnings Calendar:

Click here for a list of Stocks that are reporting Earnings

**Generally we never hold a position into earnings since the risk/reward is too great

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SPX Daily

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SPX Cycle

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QQQ Daily

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QQQ Cycle

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