Table of Contents:
SPY systems update
1. General Market Analysis: SPX and Other Major Indices
2. Indicators and Bonds (TLT/JNK)
3. Major Sectors
4. US Dollar, Commodities, Precious Metals and GDX
5. Trade Ideas
Note: gut wrenching sell off the first 1hr of the day with the SPX over 90 points from Friday's close, and then a very nice recovery into the close with the indexes gaining back most of their losses.
Short term we can count 5 waves up on the SPX and QQQ. This implies either a wave A, which means a higher low wave B will likely form then another move higher in a C. A more bullish view is this is the start of a new uptrend.
Major Indexes | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dow Jones | INDU - W | DIA - W | -0.45% | -0.45% | 36,068.87 |
S&P 500 | SPX - W | SPY - W | -0.14% | -0.14% | 4,670.29 |
Wilshire 5000 | WLSH - W | -0.16% | -0.16% | 47,243.80 | |
Nasdaq | COMPQ - W | 0.05% | 0.05% | 14,942.83 | |
NDX 100 | NDX - W | QQQ - W | 0.14% | 0.14% | 15,614.43 |
Russel 2000 (Small Caps) | IWM - W | -0.35% | -0.35% | 215.32 |
Market Sectors | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Transports | TRAN - W | IYT - W | -1.54% | -1.54% | 16,018.58 |
Banks | BKX - W | -0.22% | -0.22% | 145.25 | |
Financials | XLF - W | -0.34% | -0.34% | 41.03 | |
Brokers | XBD - W | -0.07% | -0.07% | 499.23 | |
XLE (Energy Select) | XLE - W | -0.31% | -0.31% | 61.15 | |
Oil Service Holders | OIH - W | 0.01% | 0.01% | 211.90 | |
Technology | XLK - W | 0.02% | 0.02% | 165.96 | |
Semiconductor | SOX - W | SMH - W | 0.24% | 0.24% | 3,805.39 |
Communication Services | XLC - W | -0.63% | -0.63% | 75.96 | |
Retail | XRT - W | -1.65% | -1.65% | 85.74 | |
Consumer Staples | XLP - W | -0.79% | -0.79% | 76.81 | |
Consumer Discretionary | XLY - W | -0.61% | -0.61% | 198.26 | |
Industrials | XLI - W | -1.13% | -1.13% | 105.29 | |
Real Estate | IYR - W | -0.51% | -0.51% | 110.30 | |
Homebuilders | HGX - W | XHB - W | 0.32% | 0.32% | 493.21 |
Materials | XLB - W | -1.02% | -1.02% | 88.39 | |
Metals And Mining | XME - W | -0.82% | -0.82% | 45.69 | |
Biotechnology | BTK - W | XBI - W | 0.77% | 0.77% | 5,243.22 |
Healthcare | XLV - W | 1.03% | 1.03% | 135.73 | |
Drugs | DRG - W | 0.89% | 0.89% | 817.70 | |
Utilities | UTIL - W | XLU - W | -0.56% | -0.56% | 962.66 |
Currencies | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
US Dollar | UUP - W | 0.23% | 0.23% | 25.72 | |
Euro | XEU - W | FXE - W | -0.30% | -0.30% | 113.26 |
Yen | XJY - W | FXY - W | 0.30% | 0.30% | 86.81 |
Australian | XAD - W | FXA - W | -0.07% | -0.07% | 71.74 |
British Pound | XBP - W | FXB - W | -0.11% | -0.11% | 135.74 |
Chinese Yuan | CYB - W | 0.06% | 0.06% | 26.70 | |
Canadian Dollar | CDW - W | FXC - W | -0.30% | -0.30% | 78.87 |
Swiss Franc | XSF - W | FXF - W | -0.96% | -0.96% | 107.82 |
Cryptocurrencies | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin | BTCUSD - W | -0.30% | -0.30% | 41,743.41 | |
Bitcoin Cash | BCHUSD - W | -3.51% | -3.51% | 363.61 | |
Etherium | ETHUSD - W | -2.36% | -2.36% | 3,076.41 | |
Monero | XMRUSD - W | -4.23% | -4.23% | 182.76 | |
Litecoin | LTCUSD - W | -3.12% | -3.12% | 126.81 | |
Ripple | XRPUSD - W | -2.34% | -2.34% | 0.74 |
Commodities | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodities | DBC - W | -0.52% | -0.52% | 21.13 | |
Crude Oil | WTIC - W | USO - W | -0.85% | -0.85% | 78.23 |
Gasoline | GASO - W | -1.02% | -1.02% | 2.28 | |
Natural Gas | NATGAS - W | UNG - W | 4.16% | 4.16% | 4.08 |
Copper | COPPER - W | JJCB - W | -1.32% | -1.32% | 4.35 |
Agriculture | DBA - W | -0.81% | -0.81% | 19.68 | |
Corn | CORN - W | CORN - W | -1.15% | -1.15% | 599.75 |
Wheat | WHEAT - W | WEAT - W | 0.46% | 0.46% | 762.00 |
Coffee | JO - W | -1.50% | -1.50% | 63.89 | |
Sugar | CANE - W | -0.79% | -0.79% | 8.81 |
Precious Metals | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gold Metal | GLD - W | 0.30% | 0.30% | 168.26 | |
Silver | SLV - W | 0.68% | 0.68% | 20.76 | |
Platinum | PPLT - W | -1.39% | -1.39% | 87.98 | |
Palladium | PALL - W | -1.09% | -1.09% | 177.64 | |
GDX Gold Miners ETF | GDX - W | 1.67% | 1.67% | 30.51 |
Bonds | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
High Yield Corporate Bond | HYG - W | 0.08% | 0.08% | 85.94 | |
TLT 20 Year Bond ETF | TLT - W | 0.25% | 0.25% | 142.61 | |
10 Year Treasury Yield | TNX - W | 0.51% | 0.51% | 17.80 | |
30 Year Treasury Yield | TYX - W | -0.38% | -0.38% | 21.10 |
Release | ET | For | Trading Impact | Forecast | Consensus | Prior |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jan 10 | ||||||
Wholesale Inventories | 10:00 | Nov | Low | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% |
Jan 11 | ||||||
NFIB Small Business Optimism | 06:00 | Dec | Low | NA | NA | 98.4 |
Jan 12 | ||||||
MBA Mortgage Applications Index | 07:00 | 01/08 | Low | NA | NA | -5.6% |
CPI | 08:30 | Dec | High | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% |
Core CPI | 08:30 | Dec | High | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
EIA Crude Oil Inventories | 10:30 | 01/08 | High | NA | NA | -2.14M |
Fed Beige Book | 14:00 | -- | Low | NA | NA | NA |
Treasury Budget | 14:00 | Dec | Low | NA | NA | -$143.6B |
Jan 13 | ||||||
Initial Claims | 08:30 | 01/08 | High | 198K | 202K | 207K |
Continuing Claims | 08:30 | 01/01 | High | NA | NA | 1.754M |
PPI | 08:30 | Dec | High | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% |
Core PPI | 08:30 | Dec | High | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
EIA Natural Gas Inventories | 10:30 | 01/08 | Low | NA | NA | -31 bcf |
Jan 14 | ||||||
Retail Sales | 08:30 | Dec | High | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
Retail Sales ex-auto | 08:30 | Dec | High | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
Import Price Index | 08:30 | Dec | Low | NA | NA | 0.7% |
Import Prices ex-oil | 08:30 | Dec | Low | NA | NA | 0.5% |
Export Price Index | 08:30 | Dec | Low | NA | NA | 1.0% |
Export Prices ex-ag. | 08:30 | Dec | Low | NA | NA | 1.0% |
Industrial Production | 09:15 | Dec | Medium | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
Capacity Utilization | 09:15 | Dec | Medium | 77.1% | 77.1% | 76.8% |
Business Inventories | 10:00 | Nov | Low | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% |
Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Prelim | 10:00 | Jan | High | 68.0 | 68.5 | 70.6 |
Stock Earnings Calender:
Click here for a list of Stocks that are reporting Earnings
**Generally we never hold a position into earnings since the risk/reward is too great