Table of Contents:
1. General Market Analysis: SPX and Other Major Indices
2. Review of Select Sectors
3. Glance at Currencies and Commodities
4. Precious Metals and GDX
5. Trade Ideas
The market continues it's frustrating grind and chop. The Russell 2000 small caps remains very weak, in fact 1 out of 4 of the stocks in that index were down over 3% today! Otherwise in the very short term the market has done pretty much what we pointed out - it went up in a small abc pattern and then after completing that c wave high yesterday has been selling off again. See the 15 min SPX chart (Chart #10 below). Also news related items can quickly move the market up and down in fast violent ways as we've seen.
Anyway nothing changes today technically: It's still possible that Monday's low put in an Int Wave a low and the market is simply grinding it's way higher, albeit in a very choppy manner, in that Int wave B. If Int wave B is in, then the market should form a higher low sometime on this pullback, moving in complex abc type patterns. Or it's possible that the wave A wasn't put in at Monday's low! Again tough market, my suggestion if you are trying to trade all these 'wiggles' then day trade. If you are long from Monday, stay long with a stop you are comfortable with. Let's not over complicate it!
Again guys like I stated last night, it's times like this when you should be focusing on capital preservation and keeping what you have, and if you do trade, focus on 1 or 2 items at most! And if you can day trade, there's plenty of opportunity for that, you can simply choose to focus on a 5 min chart of a volatile ETF with standard indicators. Or if you work a busy day job, stay on the sidelines, cash is a position! Below is a chart I've been trading, it's a specialized Renko chart on ES. Again in this volatility find something and laser focus on that or sit on sidelines.
Major Indexes | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dow Jones | INDU - W | DIA - W | 0.29% | 0.85% | 24,597.38 |
S&P 500 | SPX - W | SPY - W | -0.02% | 0.66% | 2,650.54 |
Wilshire 5000 | WLSH - W | -0.23% | 0.35% | 27,240.02 | |
Nasdaq | COMPQ - W | -0.39% | 1.45% | 7,070.33 | |
NDX 100 | NDX - W | QQQ - W | 0.06% | 2.34% | 6,767.97 |
Russel 2000 (Small Caps) | RUT - W | IWM - W | -1.55% | -1.06% | 1,432.70 |
Market Sectors | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Transports | TRAN - W | IYT - W | -1.64% | -2.80% | 9,672.74 |
Banks | BKX - W | -1.64% | -4.55% | 89.02 | |
Financials | XLF - W | -0.73% | -2.51% | 24.48 | |
Brokers | XBD - W | -1.40% | -1.26% | 243.76 | |
XLE (Energy Select) | XLE - W | 0.32% | -0.83% | 63.54 | |
Oil Service Holders | OIH - W | -1.45% | -3.32% | 16.33 | |
Technology | XLK - W | 0.17% | 2.46% | 66.19 | |
Semiconductor | SOX - W | SMH - W | -0.36% | 3.17% | 1,194.59 |
Communication Services | XLC - W | -0.45% | 1.47% | 44.04 | |
Retail | XRT - W | -2.68% | -1.82% | 42.52 | |
Consumer Staples | XLP - W | 0.62% | 1.32% | 55.44 | |
Consumer Discretionary | XLY - W | -0.50% | 0.67% | 104.06 | |
Industrials | XLI - W | -0.28% | -0.06% | 67.99 | |
Real Estate | IYR - W | 0.60% | -1.54% | 80.49 | |
Homebuilders | HGX - W | XHB - W | -0.91% | -2.30% | 250.42 |
Materials | XLB - W | -1.17% | -0.37% | 51.72 | |
Metals And Mining | XME - W | -0.57% | -1.07% | 27.76 | |
GDX Gold Miners ETF | GDX - W | 0.20% | 1.39% | 20.48 | |
Biotechnology | BTK - W | XBI - W | -1.90% | 0.66% | 4,497.42 |
Healthcare | XLV - W | 0.10% | 1.66% | 92.06 | |
Drugs | DRG - W | 0.41% | 1.78% | 593.99 | |
Utilities | UTIL - W | XLU - W | 0.80% | 0.80% | 759.55 |
Currencies | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
US Dollar | UUP - W | 0.00% | 0.54% | 25.94 | |
Euro | XEU - W | FXE - W | -0.09% | -0.23% | 113.58 |
Yen | XJY - W | FXY - W | -0.30% | -0.77% | 88.01 |
Australian | XAD - W | FXA - W | 0.12% | 0.30% | 72.26 |
British Pound | XBP - W | FXB - W | 0.23% | -0.59% | 126.56 |
Chinese Yuan | CYB - W | -0.21% | 0.29% | 25.55 | |
Canadian Dollar | CDW - W | FXC - W | 0.03% | -0.20% | 74.90 |
Swiss Franc | XSF - W | FXF - W | -0.07% | -0.33% | 100.61 |
Commodities | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodities | DBC - W | 1.29% | -0.06% | 15.69 | |
Crude Oil | WTIC - W | USO - W | 2.80% | -0.06% | 52.58 |
Gasoline | GASO - W | 4.07% | -0.51% | 1.48 | |
Natural Gas | NATGAS - W | UNG - W | -0.29% | -8.11% | 4.12 |
Copper | COPPER - W | JJCB - W | -0.11% | 0.27% | 2.77 |
Agriculture | DBA - W | 0.46% | 0.00% | 17.41 | |
Corn | CORN - W | CORN - W | -0.26% | -0.32% | 384.25 |
Wheat | WHEAT - W | WEAT - W | 1.80% | 0.89% | 536.00 |
Coffee | BJO - W | -2.04% | -3.06% | 41.78 | |
Sugar | CANE - W | -0.27% | -1.20% | 7.43 |
Precious Metals | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gold Metal | GLD - W | -0.22% | -0.47% | 117.53 | |
Silver | SLV - W | 0.29% | 0.95% | 13.86 | |
Platinum | PPLT - W | -0.68% | 0.51% | 75.54 | |
Palladium | PALL - W | 1.52% | 5.55% | 123.65 | |
GDX Gold Miners ETF | GDX - W | 0.20% | 1.39% | 20.48 |
Bonds | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
High Yield Corporate Bond | HYG - W | 0.24% | 0.82% | 83.51 | |
TLT 20 Year Bond ETF | TLT - W | -0.24% | -0.29% | 118.07 | |
10 Year Treasury Yield | TNX - W | 0.17% | 2.14% | 29.11 | |
30 Year Treasury Yield | TYX - W | 0.48% | 0.64% | 31.63 |
Date | ET | Release | For | Actual | Briefing.com Forecast | Briefing.com Consensus | Prior | Revised From |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 10 | 10:00 | JOLTS - Job Openings | Oct | 7.079M | NA | NA | 6.960M | 7.009M |
Dec 11 | 06:00 | NFIB Small Business Optimism Index | Nov | 104.8 | NA | NA | 107.4 | |
Dec 11 | 08:30 | PPI | Nov | 0.1% | -0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | |
Dec 11 | 08:30 | Core PPI | Nov | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
Dec 12 | 07:00 | MBA Mortgage Applications Index | 12/08 | 1.6% | NA | NA | 2.0% | |
Dec 12 | 08:30 | CPI | Nov | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | |
Dec 12 | 08:30 | Core CPI | Nov | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
Dec 12 | 10:30 | EIA Crude Inventories | 12/08 | -1.2M | NA | NA | -7.3M | |
Dec 13 | 08:30 | Export Prices | Nov | -0.9% | NA | NA | 0.5% | 0.4% |
Dec 13 | 08:30 | Export Prices ex-ag. | Nov | -1.0% | NA | NA | 0.5% | |
Dec 13 | 08:30 | Import Prices | Nov | -1.6% | NA | NA | 0.5% | |
Dec 13 | 08:30 | Import Prices ex-oil | Nov | -0.3% | NA | NA | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Dec 13 | 08:30 | Initial Claims | 12/08 | 206K | 225K | 228K | 233K | 231K |
Dec 13 | 08:30 | Continuing Claims | 12/01 | 1661K | NA | NA | 1636K | 1631K |
Dec 13 | 10:30 | Natural Gas Inventories | 12/08 | -77 bcf | NA | NA | -63 bcf | |
Dec 13 | 14:00 | Treasury Budget | Nov | -$204.9B | NA | NA | -$138.5B | |
Dec 14 | 08:30 | Retail Sales | Nov | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | ||
Dec 14 | 08:30 | Retail Sales ex-auto | Nov | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | ||
Dec 14 | 09:15 | Industrial Production | Nov | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | ||
Dec 14 | 09:15 | Capacity Utilization | Nov | 78.5% | 78.6% | 78.4% | ||
Dec 14 | 10:00 | Business Inventories | Oct | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Stock Earnings Calender:
Click here for a list of Stocks that are reporting Earnings
**Generally we never hold a position into earnings since the risk/reward is too great