Can Matt or Steve weigh in on this? I closed out my SLV.
Now if I trade SLV again and take a loss, it will not
"count" to reduce my income as it will be called a wash sale.
Its really quite shameful the law is like this.
for stock technical trading I hypothesize that when the wilders
RSI 14 daily does a double top about 70, there is a large chance
for at least a near term pullback. Can you find stats to
prove or disprove or assign odds at least
The hypothesis that a double top pattern in the daily RSI
(Relative Strength Index) above 70 often leads to a near-term
pullback has some support in technical analysis literature. Several
sources provide insight into the behavior of RSI in overbought
conditions and its implications for potential pullbacks.
RSI Overbought Conditions: When the RSI exceeds
70, it indicates that an asset is overbought, suggesting that a
pullback may be imminent. Historical data shows that selling
signals triggered when the RSI crosses below 70 after being above
this level often correlate with short-term price declines (
Quantified Strategies) (
TradingSim).
Double Top Pattern in RSI: The double top pattern
in RSI, where the RSI hits above 70 twice before pulling back, is
considered a bearish signal. This pattern indicates that momentum
is weakening, even though the price may be reaching new highs. It
often precedes a price reversal or pullback (
Quantified Strategies) (
Quantified Strategies).
Backtesting Results: Backtesting of RSI-based
strategies generally shows that signals from overbought conditions
(RSI > 70) can be profitable. For example, a study of the
S&P 500 using a range-momentum trading strategy based on RSI
showed that while such strategies do not generate frequent signals,
the ones they do produce are often profitable. This implies that
overbought conditions, particularly with confirming patterns like a
double top, can indeed lead to significant pullbacks (
Quantified Strategies).
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 04:11 pm
Meaningless, in fact. Look at Japan - they just announced
they've been in recession for 3 quarters, and Germany, and the list
goes on. All of the above are either making or have made recent
market highs. It's all about currency debasement - almost 100%.
Once that variable in plugged in, it all starts to make logical
financial sense. I know my analysis became orders of
magnitude less complicated once I figure it out this seemingly
obvious but not so obvious fact (the gaslighting is heavy when it
comes to getting people to look in other directions for
explanations - you get hammered as biased if you say currency
dilution is causing market rallies). I was honestly a bit
frustrated until it really clicked....and I mean it had to REALLY
click...then I was fine. Game on - I just had to understand the
game because my stupid personality demands it for some reason. Life
would be easier if I just blindly followed trends but that's not
me.
My conspiracy theory is that 60% of the totally unaccountable
money we send to "Ukraine" gets returned to leftist organizations
and foundations in the USA as US stocks transferred in kind.
Prove me wrong.
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 05:19 pm
Haha. But 80% never gets sent to Ukraine in the first place -
most of it goes to enrich the long time Gov / military executives
running ITA components. The 20% or less that goes to Ukraine is
mostly a bribe. *FWIW - we look down our noses at bribes in
America but it's basically a mandatory part of doing business
around the world (I will not provide personal examples on a public
website....but I guess just trust me).
$SILVER - Chart Link- remember Silver broke out
of it's bullish triangle and had a successful backtest of previous
resistance turned support - that was super low risk area to load up
if you were not already long
USAU - Chart Link- all the pm stocks are doing
great, this was a lower priced new one I had in Wednesday's
newsletter, nice pop last couple days, esp today
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 03:10 pm
The FED has all but gotten on the table and screamed "stop
wasting your money on protection - we are the damn put! Let tax
payers pay for it in the next bailout." A high VIX in this
environment would be weird. Even if things were terrible (arguable
depending on the economists you listen to), the Fed has made
their support very clear.
sorry I was trying to post this in time but BA just popped.
here's the image, BA had a fairly large offer there at 184.18, here
is shows 4103 shares offered there, but it was 7,000 - when
those large offers match a resistance level, generally you get a
quick pop once that offer is taken out
anyway price took that offer before I was able to post, but this
can be an educational example
ha ha Steve and I know a couple guys, that's all they do, look
for large level 2 offers and scalp all day - the guys are good at
what they do but so fast, I tried to follow some of their trades in
a chat room and when I was getting my order in they were
already scaling out LOL. They are almost high frequency human
bot traders
Those guys are lightning trades LOL, so damn fast - not my
style, I do some day trades on momo stocks and futures, but I like
to catch more swing trades - and I'm so busy anyway
interacting with customers, and working on systems, website stuff,
no time for me to hyper focus all day long on level 2 scalping 100s
of times
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 12:25 pm
RDDT up 13%. I love the smell of a squeeze in the morning.
They only lost 605M on revenue of 883M....after being in business
for over 20 years. What's not to love??
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 12:29 pm
Ahhh, makes sense. I hope it's something like "Siri - help us
make money" ....but not Siri. Siri is going in down in
history as the worst AI humans ever created
It's so bad that they didn't even try to
improve it and just did a deal with Google instead to cover that
area for them.
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IYT - Transport etf -
Posted by raymuy on 18th of May 2024 at 03:16 am
IYT - Transport etf - showed that chart earlier - looks like a head and shoulder forming
for what it's worth -
Posted by raymuy on 18th of May 2024 at 03:01 am
for what it's worth - DJ transport and industrials have a neg divergence -
Can Matt or Steve weigh
Posted by steveo on 17th of May 2024 at 06:17 pm
Can Matt or Steve weigh in on this? I closed out my SLV. Now if I trade SLV again and take a loss, it will not "count" to reduce my income as it will be called a wash sale. Its really quite shameful the law is like this.
for stock technical trading I hypothesize that when the wilders RSI 14 daily does a double top about 70, there is a large chance for at least a near term pullback. Can you find stats to prove or disprove or assign odds at least
AI The hypothesis that a double
Posted by steveo on 17th of May 2024 at 06:17 pm
AI
The hypothesis that a double top pattern in the daily RSI (Relative Strength Index) above 70 often leads to a near-term pullback has some support in technical analysis literature. Several sources provide insight into the behavior of RSI in overbought conditions and its implications for potential pullbacks.
RSI Overbought Conditions: When the RSI exceeds 70, it indicates that an asset is overbought, suggesting that a pullback may be imminent. Historical data shows that selling signals triggered when the RSI crosses below 70 after being above this level often correlate with short-term price declines ( Quantified Strategies) ( TradingSim).
Double Top Pattern in RSI: The double top pattern in RSI, where the RSI hits above 70 twice before pulling back, is considered a bearish signal. This pattern indicates that momentum is weakening, even though the price may be reaching new highs. It often precedes a price reversal or pullback ( Quantified Strategies) ( Quantified Strategies).
Backtesting Results: Backtesting of RSI-based strategies generally shows that signals from overbought conditions (RSI > 70) can be profitable. For example, a study of the S&P 500 using a range-momentum trading strategy based on RSI showed that while such strategies do not generate frequent signals, the ones they do produce are often profitable. This implies that overbought conditions, particularly with confirming patterns like a double top, can indeed lead to significant pullbacks ( Quantified Strategies).
KISS STS tables updated
Posted by matt on 17th of May 2024 at 04:14 pm
daily systems are updated. The weekly will be updated shortly - the weekly only updates on Friday for obvious reasons
https://breakpointtrades.com/sts_table/?search=BPT_basket
weekly KISS updated as well,
Posted by matt on 17th of May 2024 at 04:43 pm
weekly KISS updated as well, and emails sent out
https://breakpointtrades.com/sts_weekly/?search=BPT_basket
SPX 5300 Pin for OPEX
Posted by steve on 17th of May 2024 at 03:58 pm
SPX 5300 Pin for OPEX
Economic backdrop - don't equate
Posted by steve on 17th of May 2024 at 03:50 pm
Economic backdrop - don't equate to Wall Street
Meaningless, in fact. Look at
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 04:11 pm
Meaningless, in fact. Look at Japan - they just announced they've been in recession for 3 quarters, and Germany, and the list goes on. All of the above are either making or have made recent market highs. It's all about currency debasement - almost 100%. Once that variable in plugged in, it all starts to make logical financial sense. I know my analysis became orders of magnitude less complicated once I figure it out this seemingly obvious but not so obvious fact (the gaslighting is heavy when it comes to getting people to look in other directions for explanations - you get hammered as biased if you say currency dilution is causing market rallies). I was honestly a bit frustrated until it really clicked....and I mean it had to REALLY click...then I was fine. Game on - I just had to understand the game because my stupid personality demands it for some reason. Life would be easier if I just blindly followed trends but that's not me.
My conspiracy theory is that
Posted by steveo on 17th of May 2024 at 05:13 pm
My conspiracy theory is that 60% of the totally unaccountable money we send to "Ukraine" gets returned to leftist organizations and foundations in the USA as US stocks transferred in kind. Prove me wrong.
No. You prove you are
Posted by steverobin on 17th of May 2024 at 07:27 pm
No. You prove you are right.
Haha. But 80% never gets
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 05:19 pm
Haha. But 80% never gets sent to Ukraine in the first place - most of it goes to enrich the long time Gov / military executives running ITA components. The 20% or less that goes to Ukraine is mostly a bribe. *FWIW - we look down our noses at bribes in America but it's basically a mandatory part of doing business around the world (I will not provide personal examples on a public website....but I guess just trust me).
Here's the bulk of the Ukraine funding:
Have a nice weekend -
Posted by steve on 17th of May 2024 at 04:14 pm
Have a nice weekend - and Digi spend some money this weekend before it deflates further
It's all in GLD, SLV,
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 04:15 pm
It's all in GLD, SLV, FCX, URA, BTC, ETH and SOL....I'm good! Thanks.
MAG Updated
Posted by steve on 17th of May 2024 at 03:43 pm
MAG - Chart Link - watchlist name with nice move
that is MAG-nificient!
Posted by morton7 on 17th of May 2024 at 04:39 pm
that is MAG-nificient!
yeah all the silver plays
Posted by matt on 17th of May 2024 at 04:41 pm
yeah all the silver plays have been on fire for obvious reasons
if you want one that hasn't went parabolic yet, SSRM
I closed out my SLV,
Posted by steveo on 17th of May 2024 at 05:10 pm
I closed out my SLV, I had a large position, my biggest net profit of last 2 years, nice. No joke, can buy a house in Japan with that.
Also closed the SPY proxy for the /MES breakout long, LOL pays Matts fee for the year.
Silver
Posted by matt on 17th of May 2024 at 03:14 pm
SLV - Chart Link- monthly SLV
$SILVER - Chart Link- remember Silver broke out of it's bullish triangle and had a successful backtest of previous resistance turned support - that was super low risk area to load up if you were not already long
USAU
Posted by matt on 17th of May 2024 at 03:10 pm
USAU - Chart Link- all the pm stocks are doing great, this was a lower priced new one I had in Wednesday's newsletter, nice pop last couple days, esp today
NFLX
Posted by mla127 on 17th of May 2024 at 03:04 pm
NFLX
$VIX ... lowest print for
Posted by mla127 on 17th of May 2024 at 02:42 pm
$VIX ... lowest print for 2024 ... should be able to get it bellow 12 soon ...
Wasn't expecting the VIX bellow
Posted by mla127 on 17th of May 2024 at 03:05 pm
Wasn't expecting the VIX bellow 12 today ... was thinking early next week ... lol .. They will bankrupt it ...
The FED has all but
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 03:10 pm
The FED has all but gotten on the table and screamed "stop wasting your money on protection - we are the damn put! Let tax payers pay for it in the next bailout." A high VIX in this environment would be weird. Even if things were terrible (arguable depending on the economists you listen to), the Fed has made their support very clear.
GME and Scottie having a
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 02:30 pm
GME and Scottie having a rough day...
Go ahead, dilute me. Make
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 02:18 pm
Go ahead, dilute me. Make my day!
BA daily watching
Posted by morton7 on 17th of May 2024 at 01:48 pm
BA daily watching
stockcharts.com
BA | SharpCharts | StockCharts.com
Create advanced interactive price charts for BA, with a wide variety of chart types, technical indicators, overlays, and annotation tools.
sorry I was trying to
Posted by matt on 17th of May 2024 at 02:58 pm
sorry I was trying to post this in time but BA just popped. here's the image, BA had a fairly large offer there at 184.18, here is shows 4103 shares offered there, but it was 7,000 - when those large offers match a resistance level, generally you get a quick pop once that offer is taken out
anyway price took that offer before I was able to post, but this can be an educational example
ha ha Steve and I
Posted by matt on 17th of May 2024 at 03:06 pm
ha ha Steve and I know a couple guys, that's all they do, look for large level 2 offers and scalp all day - the guys are good at what they do but so fast, I tried to follow some of their trades in a chat room and when I was getting my order in they were already scaling out LOL. They are almost high frequency human bot traders
Those guys are lightning trades LOL, so damn fast - not my style, I do some day trades on momo stocks and futures, but I like to catch more swing trades - and I'm so busy anyway interacting with customers, and working on systems, website stuff, no time for me to hyper focus all day long on level 2 scalping 100s of times
GEV daily short
Posted by morton7 on 17th of May 2024 at 01:47 pm
GEV daily short
stockcharts.com
GEV | SharpCharts | StockCharts.com
Create advanced interactive price charts for GEV, with a wide variety of chart types, technical indicators, overlays, and annotation tools.
KOSS - a meme stock
Posted by mastermind on 17th of May 2024 at 01:19 pm
KOSS - a meme stock holding up better than the rest on the GME pullback.
IAG Updated
Posted by steve on 17th of May 2024 at 12:52 pm
IAG - Chart Link - book'em Dano
NEM Updated
Posted by steve on 17th of May 2024 at 12:48 pm
NEM - Chart Link - popped higher out of recent tight range but found some willing sellers near previous high..
SILJ Updated View
Posted by steve on 17th of May 2024 at 12:47 pm
SILJ - Chart Link
RDDT up 13%. I love
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 12:25 pm
RDDT up 13%. I love the smell of a squeeze in the morning. They only lost 605M on revenue of 883M....after being in business for over 20 years. What's not to love??
Did some deal with AI
Posted by steve on 17th of May 2024 at 12:27 pm
Did some deal with AI - so naturally up big
Ahhh, makes sense. I hope
Posted by DigiNomad on 17th of May 2024 at 12:29 pm
Ahhh, makes sense. I hope it's something like "Siri - help us make money" ....but not Siri. Siri is going in down in history as the worst AI humans ever created It's so bad that they didn't even try to improve it and just did a deal with Google instead to cover that area for them.