dpak, i am buying DAG, double dba, not the dba, because i
know it's goin up more. I am in SLW too, not waiting. I bot at the
MKT. ADM is also bottoming, goin up. ADM is easy to analyse, a
big volume stock. plot ADM/sPY chart. Don't know why food
going up? rgd,
Matt's using S & Resistence, use elliot wave, etc. I use
volume. My charts say, Coffee, DBA, DAG, SLW are bottom
& going up. Oil still down not sure can go up a
lot.? that include rig, looks like close to bottom, but not
yet. Coffee stocks in the newsletter look correct to buy, take the
signals
take a look at DBA, DAG, goin up, like Matt said.. Today's
newsletter has SLW, AGQ, DGP, i think, can go up some
more. Gold is not forming a triangle anymore.
time to go short TLT, next week.?? Unable to break its
upper BB band, going back to its trading range. If Bonds down
trend, means SP500 can not be crashing down.
S&P500 down? How about food, Crude Oil, JJG & DBA?
Today's news, food in Japan get contaminated,
high radiation level found in Milk and food. If Crude Oil
trend is up, then how come ERY & DBA also go up? Grains
and Oil move opposite. Anyone has idea?
plse note that $BDI 60stoch already crossing above 20, bulk
commodities shipping business is very busy now, at least in
Asia. This index usually go with Crude Oil. FYI
30days & 50days TLT's upper bb bands at 92s, 93s area, the
bands are - NOT expanding like they should be
whenever a trend going to change from down to up. Does it
mean, up side movement for tlt is limited, meaning rally again in
spx, oil, silver? Note that $bkx:$spx, $bkx:$gold,
C:$gold ratios already oversold in 60period stoch. this ratio
goes with treasury yields. when it goes up, yields also up, meaning
gold, oil, spx go up. But, $copper:$usb ratio still drifting down,
see its 60stochastic, this ratio usually go with spx. May be,
like you said, we got to wait for the triangle. I think, Crude
Oil able to go up to $150/barrel in 2011. See the spread
Copper minus 3xCrude, very high going down to zero line. Oil up,
TLT down. Crude Oil Seasonal is goin up during March-May, then
flat, then around July up again all the way to Nov. Oil up, Yields
up, TLT down. I'm watching TLT upper bb bands togather with
$wtic:$gold 60stochastic. The ratio overbot, goin down, or
slightly down, watch 50
level, it moves opposite TLT. Rgds,
we have a near zero spread on 30-10yr now. Since 1995, everytime
it hit zero or near zero spread, TY, 10 yr bond, always goes up.
Bond up, Spx down or slightly down. Dollar doesn't have to plunge
down in order Gold to rally, i think.
TLT's RSI indicator is oversold as well. I think get out from
shorting TLT soon. Bonds up, SPX down or flat down, i
sent you an email today via thomas' email on
3month+10yr bond rising trend, lag 2years. the graph in my
email was wrong, i was in hurrry, anyway read Kevin's chart, i
gave url Link in email. Thanks,
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DAG
Posted by scyee on 13th of Jul 2011 at 10:19 am
dpak, i am buying DAG, double dba, not the dba, because i know it's goin up more. I am in SLW too, not waiting. I bot at the MKT. ADM is also bottoming, goin up. ADM is easy to analyse, a big volume stock. plot ADM/sPY chart. Don't know why food going up? rgd,
JO, DBA
Posted by scyee on 13th of Jul 2011 at 10:08 am
Matt's using S & Resistence, use elliot wave, etc. I use volume. My charts say, Coffee, DBA, DAG, SLW are bottom & going up. Oil still down not sure can go up a lot.? that include rig, looks like close to bottom, but not yet. Coffee stocks in the newsletter look correct to buy, take the signals
ADM
Posted by scyee on 13th of Jul 2011 at 09:50 am
Also ADM goin up.
ADM/SPY also good. Food mkt goin up.
DBA, DAG, SLW
Posted by scyee on 13th of Jul 2011 at 09:40 am
Hi guys,
take a look at DBA, DAG, goin up, like Matt said.. Today's newsletter has SLW, AGQ, DGP, i think, can go up some more. Gold is not forming a triangle anymore.
rgd,
what time today's seminar
SPY system
Posted by scyee on 20th of Apr 2011 at 11:53 am
Hi Matt,
i take 1 day off from work today (Wed.) to attend your web seminar.
What time will that be ??
thanks,
TBT >?
USD Woke Up
Posted by scyee on 26th of Mar 2011 at 05:51 am
the FED talks up the dollar. But, doing so, the yield needs to go up on 30yr bond chart: https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/-GWoJrXZAoyQ/TYzXdzrEGyI/AAAAAAAAAQU/j7cHxovblG0/s1600/snapshot-569.png
time to go short TLT, next week.?? Unable to break its upper BB band, going back to its trading range. If Bonds down trend, means SP500 can not be crashing down.
rgd,
JJG & DBA
Posted by scyee on 19th of Mar 2011 at 08:55 pm
S&P500 down? How about food, Crude Oil, JJG & DBA? Today's news, food in Japan get contaminated, high radiation level found in Milk and food. If Crude Oil trend is up, then how come ERY & DBA also go up? Grains and Oil move opposite. Anyone has idea?
FCX
Posted by scyee on 16th of Mar 2011 at 12:58 pm
Anybody shorts FCX today's top? Looks like fcx still go down more. looks like S&P500 just beginning to go down too. Vale hits $31
FCX downtrend
Japan News
Posted by scyee on 13th of Mar 2011 at 09:56 pm
hey Ditch,
my charts say, down move fcx not over yet. It looks like half way down. Can't use Stochastic alone. Anyway be careful go long. rgd,
Bonds/Gold ratio
TLT
Posted by scyee on 10th of Mar 2011 at 01:36 am
time to short TLT again - very soon. Bounce up v limited.
Dollar should go back down, bounce up only a little, even if Commercials go net positive now. The bank stocks, C & BAC, they can outperform gold as in $bkx:$spx ratio rising togather with yield. http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-nJ3U-RoM5ys/TXf182G60HI/AAAAAAAAEO4/ZFqXDCGZ8nM/s1600/LTGBTRIGOLDR.JPG
Pimco get out from treasury. FYI
rgd,
TLT & BDI
TLT
Posted by scyee on 10th of Mar 2011 at 12:00 am
Hi Matt,
plse note that $BDI 60stoch already crossing above 20, bulk commodities shipping business is very busy now, at least in Asia. This index usually go with Crude Oil. FYI
TLT target?
TLT
Posted by scyee on 9th of Mar 2011 at 11:57 pm
Matt,
30days & 50days TLT's upper bb bands at 92s, 93s area, the bands are - NOT expanding like they should be whenever a trend going to change from down to up. Does it mean, up side movement for tlt is limited, meaning rally again in spx, oil, silver? Note that $bkx:$spx, $bkx:$gold, C:$gold ratios already oversold in 60period stoch. this ratio goes with treasury yields. when it goes up, yields also up, meaning gold, oil, spx go up. But, $copper:$usb ratio still drifting down, see its 60stochastic, this ratio usually go with spx. May be, like you said, we got to wait for the triangle. I think, Crude Oil able to go up to $150/barrel in 2011. See the spread Copper minus 3xCrude, very high going down to zero line. Oil up, TLT down. Crude Oil Seasonal is goin up during March-May, then flat, then around July up again all the way to Nov. Oil up, Yields up, TLT down. I'm watching TLT upper bb bands togather with $wtic:$gold 60stochastic. The ratio overbot, goin down, or slightly down, watch 50 level, it moves opposite TLT. Rgds,
BAC higher? Not yet
BAC Set up for higher
Posted by scyee on 9th of Mar 2011 at 12:33 pm
wait until TLT break down its rising uptrend line, then the banks should go up
anyone trade JJG, GRU, DBA, SGG? Grains going down, at some point will be a big Buy.
bond spread
Posted by scyee on 28th of Jan 2011 at 08:56 pm
matt,
watch the bond mkt.
the Spread of 30-10yr bond close to zero now, so bonds goin up, can move mkts. Crude Oil...
IAG
Indu5& 15, no clear reversal ... yet!
Posted by scyee on 26th of Jan 2011 at 12:21 pm
Matt, breakout IAg?
GC & SI
I'm a bit spun here...I own ZSL, and DZZ, ...
Posted by scyee on 26th of Jan 2011 at 11:25 am
Gold, Silver seasonal positive move around March to April http://www.equityclock.com/charts/gold-futures-gc-seasonal-chart/
TY
10 Year Bond
Posted by scyee on 26th of Jan 2011 at 10:53 am
plot spread 30-10yr bond since 1995 vs. TY
TY
10 Year Bond
Posted by scyee on 26th of Jan 2011 at 10:49 am
we have a near zero spread on 30-10yr now. Since 1995, everytime it hit zero or near zero spread, TY, 10 yr bond, always goes up. Bond up, Spx down or slightly down. Dollar doesn't have to plunge down in order Gold to rally, i think.
TLT
GDX 60 min comments
Posted by scyee on 25th of Jan 2011 at 11:13 am
TLT's RSI indicator is oversold as well. I think get out from shorting TLT soon. Bonds up, SPX down or flat down, i sent you an email today via thomas' email on 3month+10yr bond rising trend, lag 2years. the graph in my email was wrong, i was in hurrry, anyway read Kevin's chart, i gave url Link in email. Thanks,
Gold & Bond
GDX 60 min comments
Posted by scyee on 25th of Jan 2011 at 10:48 am
Hi matt,
gold usually go up when bond up & dollar down.
we have a breakout on TLT's on balance volume line today (since Dec.), goin up.
TLT may form a head & shoulder top to around 100s, close to its Fib. retracement at 38%?. Divergence on 30 yr bond on macd.
fyi, thanks & rgds,