Posted by curranjohn on 19th of May 2023 at 09:31 am
Hi, I have been unable to trade for the last couple of months
while waiting for some legal issue to resolve. That is behind me
and I would now like to use your systems . I am looking at
the STS systems for trades that can potentially generate income on
a weeks to months basis. I can't trade during the day (too
distracting from work).
Have you done any videos on these systems? I am sorry if I am
missing something. Also, I searched the texts alerts for STS but
didn't see anything. If you can point me to any further info
about these systems that's be great. I can pick a few and just
track them on your site as well of course. I am just eager to get
all the details I can.
Posted by curranjohn on 3rd of May 2023 at 08:36 am
You are not considering the fact the post covid money supply has
already had its impact. It has created malinvestment bubbles that
will lead to dislocation and failure. The bigger the post
covid rise in m2 the greater the risk associated with contraction.
Steve is right. The rate of change is what matters.
Posted by curranjohn on 15th of Feb 2023 at 11:24 am
understood. Thanks. I need to stick to swing trading, and
appropriate position sizing to endure the chop, or catch reversals.
I experimented with the shorter duration trades (with small
$$) and now recognize I just can't give it the required
focus. Back to what works for me.
Posted by curranjohn on 15th of Feb 2023 at 11:19 am
Understood. thanks. I prepare for my swing trades. But I just
needed to get clearer on expectations on the alerts. Sorry I
missed out on available information. I am sure I read it in
the past and just forgot. :-) Anyways, I took small trades on those
alerts just to force myself to understand them better, realized I
was doing it wrong, asked my question in the forum, and
heard what i needed to hear. I need to stick to my properly planned
swing trades and let the alerts help me there when there is
alignment. I will get better!
Posted by curranjohn on 15th of Feb 2023 at 10:35 am
Nice move. missed that. Would you sell some here? If it
pulled back to the trendline would you buy? Or would you already be
out and no longer looking at it?
Posted by curranjohn on 15th of Feb 2023 at 10:33 am
Thanks for feedback. I liked the longs as overall the
market seems to be an uptrend despite the ups and down on the short
term. But I guess I should indeed be looking to capture small
gains on an initial move (which are typically tiny in my
experience) and then sell the rest at a trendline reversaL
Unfortunately I have to work my job during the day so maybe the
simple fact is that the alerts aren't appropriate for me as I can't
be glued to the chair.
Posted by curranjohn on 15th of Feb 2023 at 09:49 am
Hey all, I am just curious how folks handle these trade alerts.
I tried my hand at the scco short and xlv, weat and oih
longs. But they all reversed above or below trend lines. Before I
cover my losses I am just curious if everybody simply sells the
reversals. I go though phases where I try these breakouts but
I just keep losing 1-3% every time. Am I doing somehting wrong? I
have tried before and just a few times in the past but I just keep
losing small amounts. I know the trades are supposed to have a high
success rate (and I try to buy the breakout as close to the alert
as possible).
I do pretty good in longer term swing trades buying the dips for
example. But I have absolutely no success with breakouts.
What am I missing? I have zero confidence with
breakouts.
Posted by curranjohn on 10th of Feb 2023 at 04:29 pm
You are correct. I was wrong. Memory failed me. I was trying to
game them on 9 ema pullbacks and support lines. I have a lot to
learn. My apologies for saying that.
I have been building a position recently. A pop through
the 9 ema could become explosive. I subscribe to another
trader names Ross Clark whose exhaustion calls based on history are
remarkable. He is saying his natgas downtrend exhaustion signal is
equivalent to seven others in the last 30 years. all of which had
major reversals.
Posted by curranjohn on 12th of Jan 2023 at 02:57 pm
yes. the most obvious trendline in the stockmarket. I am short
but that thing is begging to be pierced and trigger short squeezes.
I will add to shorts there.
Posted by curranjohn on 11th of Jan 2023 at 06:15 pm
The masses are hoping for a fed pivot. Yet there is no
indication whatsoever that this could happen. Still they hope. If
PPI comes in below expectations then market goes up thinking
inflation is declining and fed can stop increasing rates. If
PPI comes in hotter than expected then fed needs to keep
tightening. Market goes down.
Posted by curranjohn on 11th of Jan 2023 at 06:06 pm
GOLD also posted a daily and weekly demark sequential nine sell
today. I am looking to add around the 20/50 week EMA
confluence. The first leg up in gold is likely over.
I am bearish given the macro env and how these environments play
out historically. But my shorts are light here. If CPI comes in a
tick lower than expectations then the delusional folks who think
this means fed rate cuts will power the index up. I imagine that
trend line will get pierced by the short coverers. I will short
heavy there. I sure as hell hope that plays out.
Posted by curranjohn on 29th of Dec 2022 at 01:05 pm
So the big tech companies have historic levels of deep in the
money puts. They are being "arbitraged" he says. I am not sure I
quite understand what he means exactly. I think of arbitraging as
profiting on spreads. He says there are equal numbers of buyers and
sellers and thus this is not a big deal (if I understand
correctly). In plain english, what is he saying exactly? That
there are simply lots of puts being sold but there are tons of
buyers so all is well? Doesn't the put to call ratio still
indicate extreme fear? And cold be considered a contrarian long
signal?
Posted by curranjohn on 29th of Dec 2022 at 12:52 pm
everything tech is so oversold. Demark signals flashing on daily
and weekly. But these put to call ratios show such extreme fear it
surprises me. The contrarian in me says rally. But
wow.
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ok thanks for info. that
Hi, I have been unable to trade for the last ...
Posted by curranjohn on 19th of May 2023 at 09:37 am
ok thanks for info. that helps. and thanks for your kind words as well.
Hi, I have been unable
Posted by curranjohn on 19th of May 2023 at 09:31 am
Hi, I have been unable to trade for the last couple of months while waiting for some legal issue to resolve. That is behind me and I would now like to use your systems . I am looking at the STS systems for trades that can potentially generate income on a weeks to months basis. I can't trade during the day (too distracting from work).
It would seem that a basket of these STS sytems might be the most suitable approach for my needs https://breakpointtrades.com/ts/sts.php?chart_group=BPT_basket
Have you done any videos on these systems? I am sorry if I am missing something. Also, I searched the texts alerts for STS but didn't see anything. If you can point me to any further info about these systems that's be great. I can pick a few and just track them on your site as well of course. I am just eager to get all the details I can.
Thank you.
You are not considering the
M2 money supply
Posted by curranjohn on 3rd of May 2023 at 08:36 am
You are not considering the fact the post covid money supply has already had its impact. It has created malinvestment bubbles that will lead to dislocation and failure. The bigger the post covid rise in m2 the greater the risk associated with contraction. Steve is right. The rate of change is what matters.
understood. Thanks. I need to
Hey all, I am just curious how folks handle these ...
Posted by curranjohn on 15th of Feb 2023 at 11:24 am
understood. Thanks. I need to stick to swing trading, and appropriate position sizing to endure the chop, or catch reversals. I experimented with the shorter duration trades (with small $$) and now recognize I just can't give it the required focus. Back to what works for me.
Understood. thanks. I prepare for
Matt thanks for putting out the Kiss STS table it ...
Posted by curranjohn on 15th of Feb 2023 at 11:19 am
Understood. thanks. I prepare for my swing trades. But I just needed to get clearer on expectations on the alerts. Sorry I missed out on available information. I am sure I read it in the past and just forgot. :-) Anyways, I took small trades on those alerts just to force myself to understand them better, realized I was doing it wrong, asked my question in the forum, and heard what i needed to hear. I need to stick to my properly planned swing trades and let the alerts help me there when there is alignment. I will get better!
thanks. I learned something today.
Hey all, I am just curious how folks handle these ...
Posted by curranjohn on 15th of Feb 2023 at 10:38 am
thanks. I learned something today. Appreciate it.
Nice move. missed that. Would
LTHM Updated View
Posted by curranjohn on 15th of Feb 2023 at 10:35 am
Nice move. missed that. Would you sell some here? If it pulled back to the trendline would you buy? Or would you already be out and no longer looking at it?
Thanks for feedback. I liked
Hey all, I am just curious how folks handle these ...
Posted by curranjohn on 15th of Feb 2023 at 10:33 am
Thanks for feedback. I liked the longs as overall the market seems to be an uptrend despite the ups and down on the short term. But I guess I should indeed be looking to capture small gains on an initial move (which are typically tiny in my experience) and then sell the rest at a trendline reversaL Unfortunately I have to work my job during the day so maybe the simple fact is that the alerts aren't appropriate for me as I can't be glued to the chair.
Hey all, I am just
Posted by curranjohn on 15th of Feb 2023 at 09:49 am
Hey all, I am just curious how folks handle these trade alerts. I tried my hand at the scco short and xlv, weat and oih longs. But they all reversed above or below trend lines. Before I cover my losses I am just curious if everybody simply sells the reversals. I go though phases where I try these breakouts but I just keep losing 1-3% every time. Am I doing somehting wrong? I have tried before and just a few times in the past but I just keep losing small amounts. I know the trades are supposed to have a high success rate (and I try to buy the breakout as close to the alert as possible).
I do pretty good in longer term swing trades buying the dips for example. But I have absolutely no success with breakouts. What am I missing? I have zero confidence with breakouts.
You are correct. I was
BITF has been steadily declining since I took a BITE, ...
Posted by curranjohn on 10th of Feb 2023 at 04:29 pm
You are correct. I was wrong. Memory failed me. I was trying to game them on 9 ema pullbacks and support lines. I have a lot to learn. My apologies for saying that.
good stuff. thx.
yuongdinh and icecoldjones - some trade examples from the watchlist with detailed writeups stops, entries, targets, etc
Posted by curranjohn on 10th of Feb 2023 at 04:16 pm
good stuff. thx.
ya. by two cents on
UNG - sleeper stock finally crossed the 9ema just before ...
Posted by curranjohn on 10th of Feb 2023 at 04:10 pm
ya. by two cents on the daily. I am long but man. the widow maker is taking it's time here. C'mon baby. One last push.
I bought BITF, PTON and
BITF has been steadily declining since I took a BITE, ...
Posted by curranjohn on 10th of Feb 2023 at 03:40 pm
I bought BITF, PTON and QUOT on the alerts yesterday. Each one punched me in the mouth. I dumped them.
BPT was monitoring this UNG
Posted by curranjohn on 10th of Feb 2023 at 10:06 am
BPT was monitoring this UNG trendline before. It finally nosed it's way through. https://schrts.co/qEZJCxXj
I have been building a position recently. A pop through the 9 ema could become explosive. I subscribe to another trader names Ross Clark whose exhaustion calls based on history are remarkable. He is saying his natgas downtrend exhaustion signal is equivalent to seven others in the last 30 years. all of which had major reversals.
schrts.co
UNG | SharpCharts | StockCharts.com
Create advanced interactive price charts for UNG, with a wide variety of chart types, technical indicators, overlays, and annotation tools.
yes. the most obvious trendline
SPX right on the dowtrend line and 200 MA....4000 psychological ...
Posted by curranjohn on 12th of Jan 2023 at 02:57 pm
yes. the most obvious trendline in the stockmarket. I am short but that thing is begging to be pierced and trigger short squeezes. I will add to shorts there.
The masses are hoping for
CPI Projections
Posted by curranjohn on 11th of Jan 2023 at 06:15 pm
The masses are hoping for a fed pivot. Yet there is no indication whatsoever that this could happen. Still they hope. If PPI comes in below expectations then market goes up thinking inflation is declining and fed can stop increasing rates. If PPI comes in hotter than expected then fed needs to keep tightening. Market goes down.
GOLD also posted a daily
GLD is posting a hanging man candle today. If it ...
Posted by curranjohn on 11th of Jan 2023 at 06:06 pm
GOLD also posted a daily and weekly demark sequential nine sell today. I am looking to add around the 20/50 week EMA confluence. The first leg up in gold is likely over.
So many people watching this
If CPI comes in good,the squeeze is just going to ...
Posted by curranjohn on 11th of Jan 2023 at 12:41 pm
So many people watching this obvious trend line.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY&p=D&yr=1&mn=4&dy=0&id=p94945487399&a=1327345144
I am bearish given the macro env and how these environments play out historically. But my shorts are light here. If CPI comes in a tick lower than expectations then the delusional folks who think this means fed rate cuts will power the index up. I imagine that trend line will get pierced by the short coverers. I will short heavy there. I sure as hell hope that plays out.
stockcharts.com
SPY | SharpCharts | StockCharts.com
Create advanced interactive price charts for SPY, with a wide variety of chart types, technical indicators, overlays, and annotation tools.
So the big tech companies
Obviously, tech got really banged up recently. But what is ...
Posted by curranjohn on 29th of Dec 2022 at 01:05 pm
So the big tech companies have historic levels of deep in the money puts. They are being "arbitraged" he says. I am not sure I quite understand what he means exactly. I think of arbitraging as profiting on spreads. He says there are equal numbers of buyers and sellers and thus this is not a big deal (if I understand correctly). In plain english, what is he saying exactly? That there are simply lots of puts being sold but there are tons of buyers so all is well? Doesn't the put to call ratio still indicate extreme fear? And cold be considered a contrarian long signal?
everything tech is so oversold.
Obviously, tech got really banged up recently. But what is ...
Posted by curranjohn on 29th of Dec 2022 at 12:52 pm
everything tech is so oversold. Demark signals flashing on daily and weekly. But these put to call ratios show such extreme fear it surprises me. The contrarian in me says rally. But wow.