Posted by crossharry on 16th of Feb 2023 at 11:45 am
Matt, just want to clarify - didn't you send out an email a few
days ago saying you were manually closing out the DVDS system
short? That said, I note the trade is not updated on the system
page in terms of Gain/Loss. Anyway, I'm in cash.
Posted by crossharry on 6th of Feb 2023 at 12:15 pm
On Friday Matt provided an update to James' comment - here is
the copy and paste of what Matt wrote:
Yesterday James commented on that DVDS trade saying that it was
meeting exit conditions last night, at the moment it no longer is.
That said, I may elect to add some sort of stop using yesterday
prices or I might elect to take off the trade early depending on
what the market does.
as far as this particular system, as I stated I will be
experimenting with some other exit conditions to see if I can
improve that.
also guys the short illustrates my point: for years and
years everyone bugs me, why don't the systems do more shorts? Why
do they take so many more longs than shorts, even in bear
markets?
As I've said - shorts are a real bugaboo. When I did my
extensive testing I found that it was easy to get into situations
where a system would get caught short during a strong rally. MUCH
easier for that to happen than for a long trade to get caught in a
bad decline. Short systems were much more difficult than the long
systems and I had to keep the settings tighter and as a result
there were much less short trades.
Even in bear markets the long systems do way way more trades
than the short systems do
markets do not move up and down in the same way, the psychology
is different, it's not like a Yin and Yan situation where one
behaves opposite to the other: Markets tend to flush down
quickly, get oversold, then bounce as fear ramps up. Rallies on the
other hand can be strong initially (rip your face off rallies) then
price can drift up for long periods of time - it's why topping is
more of a process that needs to develop over time, whereas
bottoming tends to be quick and sharp.
markets trade differently on fear than they do on greed
Posted by crossharry on 2nd of Feb 2023 at 05:13 pm
I'm in the UK and going to bed soon, so would appreciate a
confirmation - apologies if I've missed the message on the board -
did the ES system short trade officially stop out today? I don't
see anything on email. Thanks in advance...
Posted by crossharry on 31st of Jan 2023 at 08:36 am
To clarify, the DeMark 9 signal I am getting is on the UNG ETF
(daily bar chart) rather than NG Futures - obviously correlated but
not exactly the same.
Posted by crossharry on 31st of Jan 2023 at 06:34 am
Btw, I am getting a DeMark 9 Sequential Buy Setup on UNG after
yesterday's close - does anyone else concur? I am tempted to
scale-in nibble.................
Posted by crossharry on 23rd of Jan 2023 at 12:05 pm
I think you need to hit refresh on the page - I believe there is
just one trade open at the moment, a Stoch Rev 1st entry
short, which entered 18 Jan. Cheers.
Posted by crossharry on 13th of Jan 2023 at 02:20 pm
I had a quick play with it over Xmas and it knows TradeStation's
EasyLanguage code. It produced a compiled/ working indicator,
albeit not quite what I asked for (in plain English). I haven't had
chance to work on the code again.
Posted by crossharry on 13th of Dec 2022 at 12:27 pm
Don't get me wrong, I love the systems - I've tried to
second-guess them on a few occasions and the system has won out in
the end every single time. Don't fight the Fed. Don't fight the
system.
Posted by crossharry on 25th of Nov 2022 at 11:53 am
Amazing work, Matt! By the way, does the KISS STS system
generate a strategy performance report in TradeStation, i.e. is it
a strictly mechanical / rules-based system?
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Matt, just want to clarify
example of Chat GPT
Posted by crossharry on 16th of Feb 2023 at 11:45 am
Matt, just want to clarify - didn't you send out an email a few days ago saying you were manually closing out the DVDS system short? That said, I note the trade is not updated on the system page in terms of Gain/Loss. Anyway, I'm in cash.
On Friday Matt provided an
ES systems. Is the DVDS system still open or not? ...
Posted by crossharry on 6th of Feb 2023 at 12:15 pm
On Friday Matt provided an update to James' comment - here is the copy and paste of what Matt wrote:
Yesterday James commented on that DVDS trade saying that it was meeting exit conditions last night, at the moment it no longer is. That said, I may elect to add some sort of stop using yesterday prices or I might elect to take off the trade early depending on what the market does.
as far as this particular system, as I stated I will be experimenting with some other exit conditions to see if I can improve that.
also guys the short illustrates my point: for years and years everyone bugs me, why don't the systems do more shorts? Why do they take so many more longs than shorts, even in bear markets?
As I've said - shorts are a real bugaboo. When I did my extensive testing I found that it was easy to get into situations where a system would get caught short during a strong rally. MUCH easier for that to happen than for a long trade to get caught in a bad decline. Short systems were much more difficult than the long systems and I had to keep the settings tighter and as a result there were much less short trades. Even in bear markets the long systems do way way more trades than the short systems do
markets do not move up and down in the same way, the psychology is different, it's not like a Yin and Yan situation where one behaves opposite to the other: Markets tend to flush down quickly, get oversold, then bounce as fear ramps up. Rallies on the other hand can be strong initially (rip your face off rallies) then price can drift up for long periods of time - it's why topping is more of a process that needs to develop over time, whereas bottoming tends to be quick and sharp.
markets trade differently on fear than they do on greed
I'm in the UK and
The systems returned thousands of points in the past year. ...
Posted by crossharry on 2nd of Feb 2023 at 05:13 pm
I'm in the UK and going to bed soon, so would appreciate a confirmation - apologies if I've missed the message on the board - did the ES system short trade officially stop out today? I don't see anything on email. Thanks in advance...
Must the 0.98 stop be
Whoever is doing the newsletter tonight, can you please comment ...
Posted by crossharry on 2nd of Feb 2023 at 05:40 am
Must the 0.98 stop be confirmed by a daily close or does it stop out as and when it occurs intraday?
From memory, Matt supplied the
DVDS closing?
Posted by crossharry on 31st of Jan 2023 at 08:54 am
From memory, Matt supplied the link in a post a while back.
To clarify, the DeMark 9
Tried to trade UNG today. Tastyworks blocked the trade as ...
Posted by crossharry on 31st of Jan 2023 at 08:36 am
To clarify, the DeMark 9 signal I am getting is on the UNG ETF (daily bar chart) rather than NG Futures - obviously correlated but not exactly the same.
Btw, I am getting a
Tried to trade UNG today. Tastyworks blocked the trade as ...
Posted by crossharry on 31st of Jan 2023 at 06:34 am
Btw, I am getting a DeMark 9 Sequential Buy Setup on UNG after yesterday's close - does anyone else concur? I am tempted to scale-in nibble.................
Hey Vasiboy, have you refreshed
DVDS closing?
Posted by crossharry on 31st of Jan 2023 at 06:30 am
Hey Vasiboy, have you refreshed the Googlesheets page? The SPY short is closed off according to my view of the page. Here is the link:
SPY and ES system trades for 2022 - Google Sheets
docs.google.com
SPY and ES system trades for 2022 - Google Sheets
Hey Matt, out of interest,
U.S NATURAL GAS STORAGE ACTUAL: -91B VS -82B PREVIOUS; EST ...
Posted by crossharry on 26th of Jan 2023 at 12:34 pm
Hey Matt, out of interest, how do all your various mechanical sub-systems handle Natural Gas / UNG? Or perhaps it's too volatile an instrument? :)
I think you need to
My apologies in advance but I’ve been away for a ...
Posted by crossharry on 23rd of Jan 2023 at 12:05 pm
I think you need to hit refresh on the page - I believe there is just one trade open at the moment, a Stoch Rev 1st entry short, which entered 18 Jan. Cheers.
Ha. What did you say
Cramer for years has mentioned his SPY charting system and ...
Posted by crossharry on 14th of Jan 2023 at 11:00 am
Ha. What did you say to him? :)
I had a quick play
reversion to mean systems that are short
Posted by crossharry on 13th of Jan 2023 at 02:20 pm
I had a quick play with it over Xmas and it knows TradeStation's EasyLanguage code. It produced a compiled/ working indicator, albeit not quite what I asked for (in plain English). I haven't had chance to work on the code again.
Yes you can - and
SPY System is long via SSO ETF right. Instead can ...
Posted by crossharry on 29th of Dec 2022 at 08:44 am
Yes you can - and I do myself.
I'm one of IG's bullish
Surprise there are more bulls in the IG you pointed ...
Posted by crossharry on 18th of Dec 2022 at 06:41 pm
I'm one of IG's bullish customers, betting on Matt's systems - no need to believe in Santa Claus, just the man with the plan... ;)
Don't get me wrong, I
Stoch 60 system short still in play!
Posted by crossharry on 13th of Dec 2022 at 12:27 pm
Don't get me wrong, I love the systems - I've tried to second-guess them on a few occasions and the system has won out in the end every single time. Don't fight the Fed. Don't fight the system.
An intraday Xmas Tree formation!
SPY bear long
Posted by crossharry on 13th of Dec 2022 at 12:25 pm
An intraday Xmas Tree formation!
Stoch 60 system short still
Posted by crossharry on 13th of Dec 2022 at 12:19 pm
Stoch 60 system short still in play!
"ES Stoch 60 in 1st
SPY and ES systems trade
Posted by crossharry on 2nd of Dec 2022 at 04:51 pm
"ES Stoch 60 in 1st entry short" -it's on Systems / ES page and has been emailed out by Matt. Cheers.
Very interesting Matt - I
The A's have been the best market timers this year
Posted by crossharry on 28th of Nov 2022 at 02:34 pm
Very interesting Matt - I wonder, were the As as good at market timing during the Dotcom and GFC bear markets? :)
Amazing work, Matt! By the
This video shows an example of the KISS in action
Posted by crossharry on 25th of Nov 2022 at 11:53 am
Amazing work, Matt! By the way, does the KISS STS system generate a strategy performance report in TradeStation, i.e. is it a strictly mechanical / rules-based system?