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Yes, the media has no footing. I will humbly put forth that I was fortunate to figure out that Brexit could pass and Trump could win ahead of each event. My certainty of 0% on an Electoral College disruption is based on understanding who the electors are.

Correct. Absurd ploy with 0% odds.

The fed follows markets rather

Dec Rate Hike

Posted by a_l_ on 22nd of Nov 2016 at 11:23 am

The fed follows markets rather than leads them. The election finally got the market moving to the point where they can play catch-up. It's ridiculous, but that's the way it is.

"Ship happens" - Tim Knight

DRYS

Posted by a_l_ on 17th of Nov 2016 at 05:05 pm

"Ship happens" - Tim Knight

Probably asking about the carrying

general technical question

Posted by a_l_ on 10th of Nov 2016 at 09:45 am

Probably asking about the carrying cost each quarter.

Hope somebody besides myself acted on this.

[not talking about buying puts at elevated IVs]

Reiterate that market is priced

Posted by a_l_ on 8th of Nov 2016 at 03:24 pm

Reiterate that market is priced like pre-Brexit - asymetrically for one outcome. Having some hedges against that outcome probably won't hurt much even if wrong and will pay nicely if right.

We had a Chrysler New

Unreal!

Posted by a_l_ on 7th of Nov 2016 at 10:45 pm

We had a Chrysler New Yorker, built like a tank, when I was a kid. A moderately sized doe hit the driver's door at full speed, rolled over the windshield and kept running, leaving a 3' x 1' x 9" (deep) dent. Like a sledgehammer. 

Like Brexit 2. Not a

Comey Clears Hillary again

Posted by a_l_ on 6th of Nov 2016 at 07:17 pm

Like Brexit 2. Not a prediction because who the heck knows, but there are more signs of it in this contest than that one.

A reliable low-end estimate on all derivatives is $630 Trillion; high-end $1.2 Quadrillion. Nobody -- truly nobody -- knows.

" Today, the official figure for

Guys regarding the SPY system

Posted by a_l_ on 29th of Sep 2016 at 04:42 pm

" Today, the official figure for non-performing bank loans in the eurozone is 1 trillion euros, though we suspect that the actual figure is considerably higher." - Christopher Whalen

Would not be complacent on the DB rumors.

Best OPEC line: "OPEC hopes

Posted by a_l_ on 29th of Sep 2016 at 10:47 am

Best OPEC line: "OPEC hopes the market will view that a deal to agree to a deal in the future is a deal." Let's agree to agree that we will agree.

There is no deal. Just

OVX USO trade

Posted by a_l_ on 28th of Sep 2016 at 08:03 pm

There is no deal. Just talk.

For fed yadda-yadda day

Posted by a_l_ on 28th of Sep 2016 at 10:11 am

For fed yadda-yadda day

Or she's getting paid by

Posted by a_l_ on 15th of Sep 2016 at 08:12 pm

Or she's getting paid by all of the traders fading his every move.

I have a friend who

15th 9-11 Anniversary

Posted by a_l_ on 9th of Sep 2016 at 05:55 pm

I have a friend who was scheduled for a meeting on an upper floor on 9/11. The other party had double-booked and asked him to reschedule. After 9/11 he and his family moved to LA, basically out of survivor guilt.

FYI: COT non-commercials already long

Leuthold RUT BUY signal

Posted by a_l_ on 31st of Aug 2016 at 10:56 am

FYI: COT non-commercials already long Russell futures at nearly 3 standard deviations on a 1 year basis and nearly 2 STD on a 3 year basis. Extremely stretched on a positioning basis.

Not in it at this

Posted by a_l_ on 22nd of Aug 2016 at 04:51 pm

Not in it at this point, but what a ride for Root9b - down 40% in a week on results and then up over 30% in the last hour on a press release announcing a strategic shift to pure play cybersecurity.

Absolutely. Really appreciate that framework and your combined efforts.

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