Weekend BPT Newsletter for November 10th, 2019 - free

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Table of Contents:

SPY and ES Systems Discussion: Taking trades from both the SPY and ES systems using options. Statistics such as historical gains, number of trades, capital needed, utilization and draw down.  Differences between ES and SPY options. Hedge Fund etc

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Regarding the General Market clearly no major changes, the trend remains strongly to the upside.  Otherwise in the short-term note that earnings season is winding down, which has histrionically pushed the market higher and we've have seen that this time as well. Also the VIX is near it's lower Bollinger Bands which has historically offered support. Lastly the sentiment is getting a bit one sided with the CNN Greed/Fear Index at 91%, which is quite extreme

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1. Glance at last Week Stats, Upcoming Economic Table, Earnings Release Dates

2. Review of the Major Indexes/Indicators

3. Examine All Sector Charts

4. Commodities (Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, DBA) 

5. Quick Overview of  Bonds via TLT/TNX and HYG

6. Currencies (US Dollar, Euro) and Bitcoin/GBTC

7. Precious Metals (Gold/Silver) and GDX/GDXJ  (we've been spot on Precious Metals). We were bullish in May, June, July but became bearish in Aug and early Sep. We have constantly pointed out the imbalances in the COT data via the Commercials and Large Speculators and how this needs to be worked off before we can see  sustainable rally and so far that's been the case!  

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Major Indexes Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
Dow JonesINDU - WDIA - W 0.02% 1.22% 27,681.24
S&P 500SPX - WSPY - W 0.26% 0.85% 3,093.08
Wilshire 5000WLSH - W 0.28% 0.76% 31,504.52
NasdaqCOMPQ - W 0.48% 1.06% 8,475.31
NDX 100NDX - WQQQ - W 0.44% 1.16% 8,255.89
Russel 2000 (Small Caps)IWM - W 0.27% 0.62% 159.08
Market Sectors Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
TransportsTRAN - WIYT - W -0.22% 3.06% 11,067.16
BanksBKX - W 0.14% 3.71% 109.72
FinancialsXLF - W -0.03% 2.47% 29.84
BrokersXBD - W -0.04% 1.94% 274.19
XLE (Energy Select)XLE - W -0.41% 2.38% 60.69
Oil Service HoldersOIH - W 0.67% 3.33% 12.10
TechnologyXLK - W 0.56% 1.71% 86.12
SemiconductorSOX - WSMH - W 0.53% 2.77% 1,736.78
Communication Services XLC - W 0.27% 1.14% 51.53
RetailXRT - W -0.51% 1.81% 44.47
Consumer StaplesXLP - W -0.07% -0.64% 60.76
Consumer DiscretionaryXLY - W 0.04% -0.25% 121.34
IndustrialsXLI - W 0.13% 1.92% 81.76
Real EstateIYR - W -0.19% -3.22% 91.16
HomebuildersHGX - WXHB - W 0.31% -2.77% 347.92
MaterialsXLB - W 0.40% 1.97% 60.17
Metals And MiningXME - W 0.62% 1.88% 27.64
GDX Gold Miners ETFGDX - W -0.98% -6.35% 26.23
BiotechnologyBTK - WXBI - W 2.73% 1.23% 4,582.68
HealthcareXLV - W 0.73% 0.27% 95.13
DrugsDRG - W 1.13% 0.00% 607.73
UtilitiesUTIL - WXLU - W -0.36% -3.75% 835.30
Currencies Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
US DollarUUP - W 0.22% 1.20% 26.90
EuroXEU - WFXE - W -0.28% -1.32% 110.19
YenXJY - WFXY - W 0.10% -0.93% 91.57
AustralianXAD - WFXA - W -0.57% -0.72% 68.57
British PoundXBP - WFXB - W -0.33% -1.24% 127.75
Chinese YuanCYB - W -0.26% 0.59% 25.42
Canadian DollarCDW - WFXC - W -0.40% -0.55% 75.60
Swiss FrancXSF - WFXF - W -0.26% -1.11% 100.24
Commodities Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
CommoditiesDBC - W 0.26% 0.00% 15.61
Crude OilWTIC - WUSO - W 0.16% 1.85% 57.24
GasolineGASO - W -0.11% -1.33% 1.63
Natural GasNATGAS - WUNG - W 0.61% 2.76% 2.79
CopperCOPPER - WJJCB - W -1.67% 1.09% 2.68
AgricultureDBA - W 0.25% 0.31% 16.12
CornCORN - WCORN - W 0.53% -3.08% 377.25
WheatWHEAT - WWEAT - W -0.44% -1.11% 510.25
CoffeeJO - W -0.69% 4.39% 36.11
SugarCANE - W 1.07% 0.30% 6.63
Precious Metals Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
Gold MetalGLD - W -0.64% -3.63% 137.39
SilverSLV - W -1.88% -7.21% 15.70
PlatinumPPLT - W -2.45% -6.57% 83.62
PalladiumPALL - W -3.21% -3.53% 164.30
GDX Gold Miners ETFGDX - W -0.98% -6.35% 26.23
Bonds Index Symbol ETF Symbol % G / L Day % G / L Week Close
High Yield Corporate BondHYG - W 0.09% 0.03% 86.85
TLT 20 Year Bond ETFTLT - W -0.42% -4.02% 134.91
10 Year Treasury YieldTNX - W 0.36% 11.86% 19.33
30 Year Treasury YieldTYX - W 0.58% 9.27% 24.17

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Release ET For Trading Impact Forecast Consensus Prior
Nov 12
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index06:00OctLowNANA101.8
Nov 13
MBA Mortgage Applications Index07:0011/09LowNANA-0.1%
CPI08:30OctHigh0.2%0.3%0.0%
Core CPI08:30OctHigh0.2%0.2%0.1%
EIA Crude Oil Inventories10:3011/09HighNANA+7.2M
Treasury Budget14:00OctLowNANA-$63.2B
Nov 14
PPI08:30OctMedium0.3%0.3%-0.3%
Core PPI08:30OctMedium0.2%0.2%-0.3%
Initial Claims08:3011/09Low215K214K211K
Continuing Claims08:3011/02LowNANA1689K
EIA Natural Gas Inventories10:3011/09LowNANA+34 bcf
Nov 15
Retail Sales08:30OctHigh0.3%0.2%-0.3%
Retail Sales ex-auto08:30OctHigh0.4%0.4%-0.1%
Empire State Manufacturing08:30NovLow3.06.04.0
Import Prices08:30OctLowNANA0.2%
Import Prices ex-oil08:30OctLowNANA-0.1%
Export Prices08:30OctLowNANA-0.2%
Export Prices ex-ag.08:30OctLowNANA-0.1%
Industrial Production09:15OctLow-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Capacity Utilization09:15OctLow77.0%77.1%77.5%
Business Inventories10:00SepLow0.1%0.1%0.0%
Economic Calendar

Stock Earnings Calender:

Click here for a list of Stocks that are reporting Earnings

**Generally we never hold a position into earnings since the risk/reward is too great

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BPT MA DELUXE

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