Table of Contents:
1. General Market Analysis: SPX and Other Major Indices
2. Indicators and Bonds (TLT/HYG)
3. Major Sectors
4. US Dollar, Commodities, Precious Metals and GDX
5. Trade Ideas - remain nimble and respect your triggers and then employ proper stops
Despite the wild market gyrations following the FOMC, the market indexes still formed lower highs (remember the symmetry break we discussed yesterday)
FED Statement: Dovish
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January indicates that the labor market remains strong but that growth of economic activity has slowed from its solid rate in the fourth quarter. Payroll employment was little changed in February, but job gains have been solid, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Recent indicators point to slower growth of household spending and business fixed investment in the first quarter. On a 12-month basis, overall inflation has declined, largely as a result of lower energy prices; inflation for items other than food and energy remains near 2 percent. On balance, market-based measures of inflation compensation have remained low in recent months, and survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed.
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 2-1/4 to 2-1/2 percent. The Committee continues to view sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation near the Committee's symmetric 2 percent objective as the most likely outcomes. In light of global economic and financial developments and muted inflation pressures, the Committee will be patient as it determines what future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate may be appropriate to support these outcomes.
In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent inflation objective. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments.
Major Indexes | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dow Jones | INDU - W | DIA - W | -0.55% | -0.40% | 25,745.67 |
S&P 500 | SPX - W | SPY - W | -0.29% | 0.06% | 2,824.23 |
Wilshire 5000 | WLSH - W | -0.33% | 0.02% | 29,200.55 | |
Nasdaq | COMPQ - W | 0.06% | 0.53% | 7,728.97 | |
NDX 100 | NDX - W | QQQ - W | 0.43% | 1.01% | 7,380.75 |
Russel 2000 (Small Caps) | RUT - W | IWM - W | -0.76% | -0.67% | 1,543.16 |
Market Sectors | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Transports | TRAN - W | IYT - W | -1.30% | -1.62% | 10,143.26 |
Banks | BKX - W | -3.02% | -3.04% | 96.98 | |
Financials | XLF - W | -2.06% | -1.84% | 26.14 | |
Brokers | XBD - W | -1.96% | -1.61% | 258.59 | |
XLE (Energy Select) | XLE - W | 0.88% | 2.00% | 66.82 | |
Oil Service Holders | OIH - W | 1.72% | 4.47% | 17.75 | |
Technology | XLK - W | -0.27% | 0.36% | 73.25 | |
Semiconductor | SOX - W | SMH - W | -1.02% | 0.05% | 1,393.01 |
Communication Services | XLC - W | 0.90% | 0.21% | 47.12 | |
Retail | XRT - W | -0.90% | -0.63% | 44.13 | |
Consumer Staples | XLP - W | -0.42% | -0.35% | 54.51 | |
Consumer Discretionary | XLY - W | 0.14% | 1.62% | 112.39 | |
Industrials | XLI - W | -0.69% | -0.08% | 73.93 | |
Real Estate | IYR - W | 0.33% | -0.52% | 84.96 | |
Homebuilders | HGX - W | XHB - W | -0.56% | -1.14% | 282.33 |
Materials | XLB - W | -0.09% | 0.02% | 55.41 | |
Metals And Mining | XME - W | -0.07% | 0.57% | 29.75 | |
GDX Gold Miners ETF | GDX - W | 2.26% | 1.48% | 22.63 | |
Biotechnology | BTK - W | XBI - W | -0.72% | -0.86% | 5,102.01 |
Healthcare | XLV - W | -0.69% | -0.05% | 91.94 | |
Drugs | DRG - W | 0.00% | 0.65% | 600.60 | |
Utilities | UTIL - W | XLU - W | 0.35% | -1.08% | 770.92 |
Currencies | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
US Dollar | UUP - W | -0.58% | -0.81% | 25.59 | |
Euro | XEU - W | FXE - W | 0.56% | 0.58% | 114.15 |
Yen | XJY - W | FXY - W | 0.64% | 0.72% | 90.36 |
Australian | XAD - W | FXA - W | 0.36% | 0.35% | 71.15 |
British Pound | XBP - W | FXB - W | -0.44% | -0.69% | 132.07 |
Chinese Yuan | CYB - W | 0.50% | 0.46% | 26.22 | |
Canadian Dollar | CDW - W | FXC - W | 0.12% | 0.32% | 75.16 |
Swiss Franc | XSF - W | FXF - W | 0.71% | 1.02% | 100.78 |
Commodities | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodities | DBC - W | 0.75% | 1.51% | 16.16 | |
Crude Oil | WTIC - W | USO - W | 1.59% | 2.92% | 60.23 |
Gasoline | GASO - W | 1.21% | 2.13% | 1.90 | |
Natural Gas | NATGAS - W | UNG - W | -1.88% | 0.89% | 2.82 |
Copper | COPPER - W | JJCB - W | -0.07% | 0.52% | 2.92 |
Agriculture | DBA - W | 0.24% | 0.06% | 16.69 | |
Corn | CORN - W | CORN - W | 0.07% | -0.47% | 371.50 |
Wheat | WHEAT - W | WEAT - W | 1.81% | 0.54% | 464.75 |
Coffee | BJO - W | -2.04% | -3.06% | 41.78 | |
Sugar | CANE - W | 0.27% | 2.04% | 7.50 |
Precious Metals | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gold Metal | GLD - W | 0.65% | 0.98% | 124.18 | |
Silver | SLV - W | 0.97% | 1.47% | 14.54 | |
Platinum | PPLT - W | 1.63% | 4.32% | 82.13 | |
Palladium | PALL - W | 0.52% | 2.83% | 152.13 | |
GDX Gold Miners ETF | GDX - W | 2.26% | 1.48% | 22.63 |
Bonds | Index Symbol | ETF Symbol | % G / L Day | % G / L Week | Close |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
High Yield Corporate Bond | HYG - W | 0.43% | 0.45% | 86.17 | |
TLT 20 Year Bond ETF | TLT - W | 1.05% | 0.76% | 122.68 | |
10 Year Treasury Yield | TNX - W | -3.02% | -2.24% | 25.35 | |
30 Year Treasury Yield | TYX - W | -1.75% | -1.49% | 29.75 |
Date | ET | Release | For | Actual | Briefing.com Forecast | Briefing.com Consensus | Prior | Revised From |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mar 18 | 10:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | Mar | 62 | 64 | 63 | 62 | |
Mar 19 | 10:00 | Factory Orders | Jan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | -- |
Mar 20 | 07:00 | MBA Mortgage Applications Index | 03/16 | 1.6% | NA | NA | 2.3% | |
Mar 20 | 10:30 | EIA Crude Oil Inventories | 03/16 | -9.6M | NA | NA | -3.9M | |
Mar 20 | 14:00 | FOMC Rate Decision | Mar | 2.375% | 2.375% | 2.375% | 2.375% | |
Mar 20 | 14:30 | Fed Chair Press Conference | Mar | NA | NA | NA | ||
Mar 21 | 08:30 | Initial Claims | 03/16 | 226K | 223K | 229K | ||
Mar 21 | 08:30 | Continuing Claims | 03/09 | NA | NA | 1776K | ||
Mar 21 | 08:30 | Philadelphia Fed Index | Mar | 3.0 | 6.0 | -4.1 | ||
Mar 21 | 10:00 | Leading Indicators | Feb | 0.2% | 0.2% | -0.1% | ||
Mar 21 | 10:30 | EIA Natural Gas Inventories | 03/16 | NA | NA | -204 bcf | ||
Mar 22 | 10:00 | Existing Home Sales | Feb | 5.20M | 5.10M | 4.94M | ||
Mar 22 | 10:00 | Wholesale Inventories | Jan | NA | NA | 1.1% | ||
Mar 22 | 14:00 | Treasury Budget | Feb | NA | -$227.0B | -$215.2B |
Stock Earnings Calender:
Click here for a list of Stocks that are reporting Earnings
**Generally we never hold a position into earnings since the risk/reward is too great